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ALMU

BEARISH
$14.81 Live
Aeluma, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $25.5 (+72.2%)
$5.79 52W Range $25.88

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$267.31M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-13.8%
Profit margin
-52.5%
Debt/Equity
0.03
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
ALMU exhibits severe financial distress despite a high gross margin, as evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 (indicating weak financial health) and a lack of Altman Z-Score data, which raises bankruptcy risk concerns. The company reports massive losses with a -52.46% profit margin and negative ROE/ROA, while revenue declined 21.1% YoY. Insider selling totaling $18.7M over six months signals strong bearish sentiment, and the stock trades at an extreme valuation (Price/Sales 51.12) with no earnings support. Analysts rate it 'strong_buy' but this appears disconnected from fundamental deterioration.

Key Strengths

Gross margin of 50.18% indicates strong pricing power or cost control in production
Extremely low debt/equity ratio (0.03) suggests minimal leverage risk
High current and quick ratios (48.80 and 47.97) imply exceptional liquidity
Recent quarterly earnings have shown some upside surprises (avg +11.11%)
Historical price appreciation of +323% over 5 years reflects strong momentum

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals severe financial distress and poor operational efficiency
Negative operating margin (-163.60%) and negative ROE (-13.79%) indicate unsustainable profitability
Revenue declined 21.1% YoY, with no signs of recovery in growth metrics
Insider selling of 14 transactions totaling $18.7M in value over 6 months is a major red flag
No analyst consensus on target price (only 2 analysts, no mean/median) and extreme forward P/E of -67.32 suggest earnings are not reliable

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
20
Weak
Value
20
Future
15
Past
55
Health
10
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High risk, low confidence
Key drivers: Severe profitability collapse, Negative earnings and declining revenue, Extreme valuation without earnings support, Massive insider selling, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9
Confidence
80%
Value
20/100

Stock trades at a massive premium to sales with no earnings support; valuation is not grounded in fundamentals.

Positives
  • High gross margin (50.18%)
  • Low debt/equity (0.03)
Watchpoints
  • Price/Sales of 51.12 is extremely high
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value available
  • Forward P/E of -67.32 indicates no earnings
  • No cash flow or FCF data
Future
15/100

Growth trajectory is deteriorating despite some short-term earnings beats; long-term outlook is bleak.

Positives
  • Some recent earnings surprises (avg +11.11%)
  • Analyst 'strong_buy' recommendation
Watchpoints
  • Revenue down 21.1% YoY
  • Q/Q EPS growth -33.3%
  • No forward guidance or growth indicators
  • Negative operating margin and ROIC
Past
55/100

Historical performance shows strong momentum but is built on unsustainable fundamentals.

Positives
  • 5-year price return of +323.1%
  • High liquidity ratios (current/quick)
  • Consistent gross margin
Watchpoints
  • Persistent losses over 4 quarters
  • Negative ROE and ROA
  • Declining revenue trend
Health
10/100

Financial health is critically weak despite low leverage; Piotroski score confirms operational failure.

Positives
  • Extremely low debt/equity (0.03)
  • High current and quick ratios
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 (very weak)
  • No Altman Z-Score available (risk of distress)
  • Negative ROE and ROA
  • Negative operating margin
Dividend
0/100

No dividend policy; not applicable for income investors.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield or payout
  • Dividend strength 0/100
  • Payout ratio 0.00%

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$14.81
Analyst Target
$25.5
Upside/Downside
+72.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ALMU and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-13
ALM
Aeluma, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+323.1%
3Y
+298.1%
1Y
+140.8%
6M
-4.1%
1M
-11.8%
1W
-1.4%
SVC
Silvaco Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-56.9%
3Y
-56.9%
1Y
+93.9%
6M
+53.1%
1M
+40.8%
1W
+17.8%
MRA
Everspin Technologies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+122.2%
3Y
+79.6%
1Y
+135.8%
6M
+6.3%
1M
+28.0%
1W
+24.6%
AVN
Aviat Networks, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+10.8%
3Y
-30.8%
1Y
+8.6%
6M
-8.8%
1M
-1.1%
1W
-5.5%
CUR
CURRENC Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
-18.4%
3Y
-18.4%
1Y
+135.1%
6M
+107.6%
1M
+56.4%
1W
+23.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-67.32
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
6.54
P/S Ratio
51.12
EV/Revenue
43.96
EV/EBITDA
-45.38
Market Cap
$267.31M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -52.46%
Operating Margin -163.6%
Gross Margin 50.18%
ROE -13.79%
ROA -13.91%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -21.1%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.03
Low debt
Current Ratio
48.8
Strong
Quick Ratio
47.97
Excellent
Cash/Share
$2.14

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-14
$N/A
2026-02-11
$-0.04
+20.0% surprise
2025-11-12
$-0.03
-20.0% surprise
2025-09-09
$-0.01
+33.3% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing ALMU against 565 companies in the Technology sector (45 bullish, 197 neutral, 323 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-13.79%
This Stock
vs
-33.47%
Sector Avg
-58.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-52.46%
This Stock
vs
-11.75%
Sector Avg
+346.5% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.03
This Stock
vs
0.74
Sector Avg
-96.3% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-21.1%
This Stock
vs
4383.21%
Sector Avg
-100.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
48.8
This Stock
vs
3.59
Sector Avg
+1261.1% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

KLAMKIN JONATHAN PH.D.
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-03-04
50,000 shares · $902,600
DENBAARS STEVEN P
Director
Sell
2026-02-26
25,000 shares · $417,860
TOMPKINS MARK N
Former
Sell
2026-02-04
34,500 shares · $507,653
TOMPKINS MARK N
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2026-02-02
95,000 shares · $1,534,585
TOMPKINS MARK N
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2026-01-22
105,000 shares · $2,009,667
TOMPKINS MARK N
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2025-12-26
60,000 shares · $997,445
TOMPKINS MARK N
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2025-12-22
85,000 shares · $1,247,450
TOMPKINS MARK N
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2025-12-10
50,000 shares · $854,323
TOMPKINS MARK N
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2025-12-08
100,000 shares · $1,607,596
PAGLIA JOHN KENNETH
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-03
10,861 shares
ENSLEY CRAIG H
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-03
10,633 shares
BYRON MICHAEL J
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-03
13,343 shares
DENBAARS STEVEN P
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-03
10,121 shares
TOMPKINS MARK N
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2025-10-20
77,500 shares · $1,291,919
TOMPKINS MARK N
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2025-10-16
65,000 shares · $1,305,675
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
2 analysts
Benchmark
2026-03-03
reit
Buy Buy
Benchmark
2025-12-29
reit
Buy Buy
Benchmark
2025-09-24
reit
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ALMU from our newsroom.

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