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ALMU Aeluma, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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ALMU Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Semiconductors
Current Price Live
$14.81
Analyst Target
$25.5
+72.2% Upside
52W High
$25.88
52W Low
$5.79

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Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
ALMU exhibits severe financial distress despite a high gross margin, as evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 (indicating weak financial health) and a lack of Altman Z-Score data, which raises bankruptcy risk concerns. The company reports massive losses with a -52.46% profit margin and negative ROE/ROA, while revenue declined 21.1% YoY. Insider selling totaling $18.7M over six months signals strong bearish sentiment, and the stock trades at an extreme valuation (Price/Sales 51.12) with no earnings support. Analysts rate it 'strong_buy' but this appears disconnected from fundamental deterioration.

Key Strengths

Gross margin of 50.18% indicates strong pricing power or cost control in production
Extremely low debt/equity ratio (0.03) suggests minimal leverage risk
High current and quick ratios (48.80 and 47.97) imply exceptional liquidity
Recent quarterly earnings have shown some upside surprises (avg +11.11%)
Historical price appreciation of +323% over 5 years reflects strong momentum

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals severe financial distress and poor operational efficiency
Negative operating margin (-163.60%) and negative ROE (-13.79%) indicate unsustainable profitability
Revenue declined 21.1% YoY, with no signs of recovery in growth metrics
Insider selling of 14 transactions totaling $18.7M in value over 6 months is a major red flag
No analyst consensus on target price (only 2 analysts, no mean/median) and extreme forward P/E of -67.32 suggest earnings are not reliable

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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