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ALT Altimmune, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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ALT Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Healthcare Biotechnology
Current Price Live
$3.5
Analyst Target
$17.22
+392.1% Upside
52W High
$7.73
52W Low
$2.9

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$438.31M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-50.6%
Profit margin
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.16
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
ALT exhibits severe financial distress despite strong revenue growth, as evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9—indicating poor operational and financial health. The Altman Z-Score is unavailable, but the company's negative profitability metrics (ROE: -50.57%, ROA: -28.17%), massive operating losses, and negative earnings suggest high distress risk. While revenue growth is explosive at 420% YoY, this is not translating into profitability or cash flow, and the stock trades at an extreme Price/Sales of 10,690.50, reflecting speculative valuation. Analysts recommend 'buy' with a $17.22 target, but this is likely driven by pipeline optimism rather than fundamentals. The technical trend is bearish, and insider activity is neutral, offering no conviction.

Key Strengths

420% YoY revenue growth indicates strong top-line momentum
High average earnings surprise (+8.52%) in recent quarters suggests potential for upside in earnings execution
Strong current and quick ratios (18.55 and 18.35) indicate exceptional short-term liquidity
Low debt/equity ratio (0.16) suggests minimal leverage risk
Analyst consensus is 'buy' with a high target price of $17.22, implying strong growth expectations

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals extreme financial weakness and poor operational efficiency
Negative ROE (-50.57%) and ROA (-28.17%) reflect deep unprofitability and capital inefficiency
Operating margin of -111,126.92% indicates massive operational losses relative to revenue
Price/Sales ratio of 10,690.50 is astronomically high, implying extreme overvaluation unless growth is sustained
No free cash flow, operating cash flow, or dividend history—no return to investors

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
24
Weak
Value
15
Future
68
Past
25
Health
10
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High risk, speculative
Key drivers: Extremely low Piotroski F-Score (1/9), Negative profitability and cash flow, Unsustainable valuation metrics, High revenue growth without earnings conversion, Lack of dividend or capital return
Confidence
88%
Value
15/100

No reliable valuation metrics exist due to negative earnings; stock trades at a massive premium to sales, likely reflecting speculative growth expectations.

Positives
  • Low debt/equity ratio (0.16)
  • High current and quick ratios (18.55, 18.35)
Watchpoints
  • Price/Sales of 10,690.50 is extreme
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value available
  • No P/E or PEG for valuation
  • Negative earnings and cash flow
Future
68/100

Future potential is high due to explosive revenue growth and positive earnings surprises, but execution risk is extreme without profitability.

Positives
  • 420% YoY revenue growth
  • Recent earnings surprises above estimates (avg +8.52%)
  • Strong analyst target price ($17.22)
  • High analyst coverage (9 analysts)
  • Positive momentum in recent quarters
Watchpoints
  • No free cash flow or operating cash flow
  • Negative earnings growth (Q/Q -28.6%)
  • No clear path to profitability
  • High burn rate implied by losses
  • No guidance or forward metrics
Past
25/100

Past performance shows erratic earnings with periods of extreme underperformance, despite recent improvement in surprise rates.

Positives
  • Consistent earnings beat in 2025 and 2026 (2/4 in last 4 quarters)
  • Improving earnings trend from -0.81 in 2021 to -0.27 in 2026
  • Positive surprises in 2023–2025 (e.g., +30.9%, +28.4%)
Watchpoints
  • Historical losses are massive (e.g., -107.7% surprise in 2021)
  • Negative earnings in 2020 and 2021 were severe
  • No consistent profitability over 25 quarters
  • Earnings volatility is extreme
  • Most recent Q/Q EPS growth is -28.6%
Health
10/100

Despite strong liquidity, the company's financial health is dire due to persistent losses and poor operational efficiency, as confirmed by the Piotroski F-Score.

Positives
  • Low debt/equity (0.16)
  • High current and quick ratios (18.55, 18.35)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 (extremely weak)
  • Negative ROE, ROA, and operating margin
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but financial distress is evident
  • Negative earnings and cash flow
  • No signs of financial stability
Dividend
0/100

ALT is a growth-stage biotech with no dividend policy; this is expected but reflects lack of maturity or profitability.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield or payout
  • Payout ratio is 0.00%
  • No history of dividend payments
  • Company is not a dividend payer

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$3.5
Analyst Target
$17.22
Upside/Downside
+392.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ALT and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-13
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
ALT
Altimmune, Inc.
Primary
-80.3% -68.4% -32.7% -3.9% -24.4% -1.1%
ANGO
AngioDynamics, Inc.
Peer
-53.3% -14.0% +16.2% -0.5% -6.8% -2.1%
ADCT
ADC Therapeutics SA
Peer
-89.4% -22.9% +105.1% +10.1% +2.3% -0.3%
ACRS
Aclaris Therapeutics, Inc.
Peer
-85.2% -56.5% +126.9% +81.5% +4.4% +15.7%
AUNA
Auna SA
Peer
-41.0% -41.0% -30.8% -9.7% +21.7% +22.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-2.59
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.73
P/S Ratio
10690.5
EV/Revenue
5304.32
EV/EBITDA
-2.3
Market Cap
$438.31M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin N/A
Operating Margin -111127.0%
Gross Margin N/A
ROE -50.57%
ROA -28.17%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +420.0%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.16
Low debt
Current Ratio
18.55
Strong
Quick Ratio
18.35
Excellent
Cash/Share
$2.1

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-12
$N/A
2026-03-05
$-0.27
-11.2% surprise
2025-11-06
$-0.21
+21.0% surprise
2025-08-12
$-0.27
+15.8% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing ALT against 147 companies in the Healthcare sector (10 bullish, 55 neutral, 82 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-50.57%
This Stock
vs
-52.77%
Sector Avg
-4.2% (Below Avg)
Debt to Equity
0.16
This Stock
vs
6.16
Sector Avg
-97.4% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
420.0%
This Stock
vs
137.39%
Sector Avg
+205.7% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
18.55
This Stock
vs
3.36
Sector Avg
+452.2% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
ALT
Altimmune, Inc.
BEARISH $438.31M - -50.6% -% $3.5
ANGO
AngioDynamics, Inc.
BEARISH $436.9M - -15.3% -9.0% $10.6
ADCT
ADC Therapeutics SA
NEUTRAL $447.2M - -% -222.0% $3.61
ACRS
Aclaris Therapeutics, Inc.
BEARISH $428.65M - -50.2% -% $3.54
AUNA
Auna SA
NEUTRAL $418.91M 5.78 11.4% 4.3% $5.66

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2026-03-06 WEAVER GREGORY L Chief Financial Officer Purchase 5,000 $17,700
2026-03-06 DURSO JEROME BENEDICT Chief Executive Officer Purchase 20,000 $70,790
2026-02-02 ROBERTS M SCOT Officer Stock Award 17,050 -
2026-01-30 JORDT RAYMOND M Officer Stock Award 4,571 $25,598
2026-01-30 ROBERTS M SCOT Officer Stock Award 5,567 $31,175
2026-01-30 GARG VIPIN K. Director Stock Award 6,926 $38,786
2026-01-30 GARG VIPIN K. Director Stock Award 26,775 -
2026-01-27 GARG VIPIN K. Director Stock Award 41,200 -
2026-01-27 JORDT RAYMOND M Officer Stock Award 15,850 -
2026-01-23 ROBERTS M SCOT Officer Stock Award 14,600 -
2026-01-23 GARG VIPIN K. Director Stock Award 42,050 -
2026-01-23 JORDT RAYMOND M Officer Stock Award 14,600 -
2026-01-08 PISANO WAYNE Director Purchase 5,000 $20,410
2026-01-05 SOHN CATHERINE A Director Purchase 500 $1,755
2025-12-31 JORDT RAYMOND M Officer Stock Award 9,375 -
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
9 analysts
B. Riley Securities
2026-03-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citizens
2025-11-07
Maintains
Market Outperform Market Outperform
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-10-20
reit
Buy Buy
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-10-10
reit
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ALT from our newsroom.

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