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ALT

BEARISH
$3.5 Live
Altimmune, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $17.22 (+392.1%)
$2.9 52W Range $7.73

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$438.31M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-50.6%
Profit margin
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.16
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
ALT exhibits severe financial distress despite strong revenue growth, as evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9—indicating poor operational and financial health. The Altman Z-Score is unavailable, but the company's negative profitability metrics (ROE: -50.57%, ROA: -28.17%), massive operating losses, and negative earnings suggest high distress risk. While revenue growth is explosive at 420% YoY, this is not translating into profitability or cash flow, and the stock trades at an extreme Price/Sales of 10,690.50, reflecting speculative valuation. Analysts recommend 'buy' with a $17.22 target, but this is likely driven by pipeline optimism rather than fundamentals. The technical trend is bearish, and insider activity is neutral, offering no conviction.

Key Strengths

420% YoY revenue growth indicates strong top-line momentum
High average earnings surprise (+8.52%) in recent quarters suggests potential for upside in earnings execution
Strong current and quick ratios (18.55 and 18.35) indicate exceptional short-term liquidity
Low debt/equity ratio (0.16) suggests minimal leverage risk
Analyst consensus is 'buy' with a high target price of $17.22, implying strong growth expectations

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals extreme financial weakness and poor operational efficiency
Negative ROE (-50.57%) and ROA (-28.17%) reflect deep unprofitability and capital inefficiency
Operating margin of -111,126.92% indicates massive operational losses relative to revenue
Price/Sales ratio of 10,690.50 is astronomically high, implying extreme overvaluation unless growth is sustained
No free cash flow, operating cash flow, or dividend history—no return to investors

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
24
Weak
Value
15
Future
68
Past
25
Health
10
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High risk, speculative
Key drivers: Extremely low Piotroski F-Score (1/9), Negative profitability and cash flow, Unsustainable valuation metrics, High revenue growth without earnings conversion, Lack of dividend or capital return
Confidence
88%
Value
15/100

No reliable valuation metrics exist due to negative earnings; stock trades at a massive premium to sales, likely reflecting speculative growth expectations.

Positives
  • Low debt/equity ratio (0.16)
  • High current and quick ratios (18.55, 18.35)
Watchpoints
  • Price/Sales of 10,690.50 is extreme
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value available
  • No P/E or PEG for valuation
  • Negative earnings and cash flow
Future
68/100

Future potential is high due to explosive revenue growth and positive earnings surprises, but execution risk is extreme without profitability.

Positives
  • 420% YoY revenue growth
  • Recent earnings surprises above estimates (avg +8.52%)
  • Strong analyst target price ($17.22)
  • High analyst coverage (9 analysts)
  • Positive momentum in recent quarters
Watchpoints
  • No free cash flow or operating cash flow
  • Negative earnings growth (Q/Q -28.6%)
  • No clear path to profitability
  • High burn rate implied by losses
  • No guidance or forward metrics
Past
25/100

Past performance shows erratic earnings with periods of extreme underperformance, despite recent improvement in surprise rates.

Positives
  • Consistent earnings beat in 2025 and 2026 (2/4 in last 4 quarters)
  • Improving earnings trend from -0.81 in 2021 to -0.27 in 2026
  • Positive surprises in 2023–2025 (e.g., +30.9%, +28.4%)
Watchpoints
  • Historical losses are massive (e.g., -107.7% surprise in 2021)
  • Negative earnings in 2020 and 2021 were severe
  • No consistent profitability over 25 quarters
  • Earnings volatility is extreme
  • Most recent Q/Q EPS growth is -28.6%
Health
10/100

Despite strong liquidity, the company's financial health is dire due to persistent losses and poor operational efficiency, as confirmed by the Piotroski F-Score.

Positives
  • Low debt/equity (0.16)
  • High current and quick ratios (18.55, 18.35)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 (extremely weak)
  • Negative ROE, ROA, and operating margin
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but financial distress is evident
  • Negative earnings and cash flow
  • No signs of financial stability
Dividend
0/100

ALT is a growth-stage biotech with no dividend policy; this is expected but reflects lack of maturity or profitability.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield or payout
  • Payout ratio is 0.00%
  • No history of dividend payments
  • Company is not a dividend payer

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$3.5
Analyst Target
$17.22
Upside/Downside
+392.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ALT and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-13
ALT
Altimmune, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-80.3%
3Y
-68.4%
1Y
-32.7%
6M
-3.9%
1M
-24.4%
1W
-1.1%
ASM
Assembly Biosciences, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-54.7%
3Y
+80.2%
1Y
+165.0%
6M
+28.7%
1M
+2.8%
1W
-0.6%
PRT
PureTech Health plc
Peer
5Y
-68.3%
3Y
-33.5%
1Y
+9.3%
6M
+1.7%
1M
+12.6%
1W
+10.9%
ACR
Aclaris Therapeutics, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-85.2%
3Y
-56.5%
1Y
+126.9%
6M
+81.5%
1M
+4.4%
1W
+15.7%
XOM
XOMA Royalty Corporation
Peer
5Y
+0.5%
3Y
+108.7%
1Y
+62.3%
6M
+10.6%
1M
+29.7%
1W
-4.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-2.59
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.73
P/S Ratio
10690.5
EV/Revenue
5304.32
EV/EBITDA
-2.3
Market Cap
$438.31M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin N/A
Operating Margin -111127.0%
Gross Margin N/A
ROE -50.57%
ROA -28.17%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +420.0%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.16
Low debt
Current Ratio
18.55
Strong
Quick Ratio
18.35
Excellent
Cash/Share
$2.1

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-12
$N/A
2026-03-05
$-0.27
-11.2% surprise
2025-11-06
$-0.21
+21.0% surprise
2025-08-12
$-0.27
+15.8% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing ALT against 560 companies in the Healthcare sector (34 bullish, 167 neutral, 359 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-50.57%
This Stock
vs
-88.14%
Sector Avg
-42.6% (Below Avg)
Debt to Equity
0.16
This Stock
vs
2.66
Sector Avg
-94.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
420.0%
This Stock
vs
124.04%
Sector Avg
+238.6% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
18.55
This Stock
vs
4.47
Sector Avg
+314.6% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

WEAVER GREGORY L
Chief Financial Officer
Buy
2026-03-06
5,000 shares · $17,700
DURSO JEROME BENEDICT
Chief Executive Officer
Buy
2026-03-06
20,000 shares · $70,790
ROBERTS M SCOT
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-02
17,050 shares
JORDT RAYMOND M
Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-30
4,571 shares · $25,598
ROBERTS M SCOT
Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-30
5,567 shares · $31,175
GARG VIPIN K.
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-30
6,926 shares · $38,786
GARG VIPIN K.
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-30
26,775 shares
GARG VIPIN K.
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-27
41,200 shares
JORDT RAYMOND M
Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-27
15,850 shares
ROBERTS M SCOT
Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-23
14,600 shares
GARG VIPIN K.
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-23
42,050 shares
JORDT RAYMOND M
Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-23
14,600 shares
PISANO WAYNE
Director
Buy
2026-01-08
5,000 shares · $20,410
SOHN CATHERINE A
Director
Buy
2026-01-05
500 shares · $1,755
JORDT RAYMOND M
Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-31
9,375 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
9 analysts
B. Riley Securities
2026-03-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citizens
2025-11-07
Maintains
Market Outperform Market Outperform
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-10-20
reit
Buy Buy
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-10-10
reit
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ALT from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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