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AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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AMD Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Semiconductors
Current Price Live
$193.39
Analyst Target
$289.72
+49.8% Upside
52W High
$267.08
52W Low
$76.48

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$315.31B
P/E
74.1
ROE
7.1%
Profit margin
12.5%
Debt/Equity
0.06
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
AMD's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates a stable but not strong financial health, with no Altman Z-Score available to assess distress risk. The stock trades at a high current P/E of 74.10, significantly above the sector average of 77.53, yet its forward P/E of 17.76 and robust 34.1% YoY revenue growth suggest strong future earnings potential. The intrinsic value estimate of $76.99 is well below the current price of $193.39, indicating a premium valuation driven by growth expectations. Despite bearish insider activity and a lack of dividends, the company's exceptional earnings growth, strong gross margins, and solid balance sheet support a bullish outlook. Price trades at a 75.8% premium to fair value estimate ($110.00), limiting near-term upside from a valuation perspective.

Key Strengths

Exceptional 217.1% YoY earnings growth and 34.1% revenue growth highlight strong business momentum
High gross margin of 52.49% and solid operating margin of 17.06% reflect pricing power and operational efficiency
Extremely low debt/equity ratio of 0.06 and strong current ratio of 2.85 indicate excellent financial health
Consistent earnings beat history with an average surprise of 422.07% over the last four quarters
Strong analyst consensus with a buy recommendation and a target price of $289.72, implying significant upside

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests marginal financial strength, with room for improvement in profitability and cash flow consistency
Current price of $193.39 is nearly 2.5x the Graham Number ($47.64), indicating a substantial valuation premium
Insider selling totaling $65.35M in the last 6 months, including large sales by CEO and CFO, raises governance concerns
Forward P/E of 17.76 is misleadingly low due to one-time earnings spikes; underlying growth sustainability is uncertain
No dividend policy or payout history limits appeal to income investors and may signal reinvestment focus over shareholder returns
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$110.0
-43.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
59
Moderate
Value
45
Future
90
Past
85
Health
65
Dividend
10
AI Verdict
bullish
Key drivers: Exceptional revenue and earnings growth, Strong balance sheet and low leverage, High analyst target price and consensus buy rating, Consistent earnings beats and positive surprises, High gross margins and improving operating efficiency
Confidence
78%
Value
45/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 17.76 is attractive relative to current P/E
  • Intrinsic value of $76.99 provides a baseline for undervaluation
Watchpoints
  • Current price is 2.5x the Graham Number, indicating significant premium
  • High P/E of 74.10 reflects high growth expectations and valuation risk
  • PEG ratio unavailable, limiting growth-adjusted valuation analysis
  • Price trades at a 75.8% premium to fair value estimate ($110.00), limiting near-term upside from a valuation perspective.
Future
90/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 34.1% YoY revenue growth and 217.1% YoY earnings growth signal strong momentum
  • Q/Q earnings growth of 213.5% indicates accelerating performance
  • High forward P/E suggests strong market confidence in future earnings
Watchpoints
  • Sustainability of hypergrowth is uncertain given cyclical semiconductor industry
  • One-time earnings spikes may not be repeatable
Past
85/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 25 consecutive quarters of earnings reporting with 3 out of 4 recent beats
  • Average earnings surprise of 422.07% over last four quarters
  • Consistent improvement in profitability and margin expansion
Watchpoints
  • Historical earnings volatility, including a -4.8% surprise in 2022
  • Negative EPS in 2025 Q2 (est: -$0.05) shows past instability
Health
65/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.06 is exceptionally low
  • Current ratio of 2.85 and quick ratio of 1.78 indicate strong liquidity
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but low leverage reduces distress risk
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates only stable financial health
  • ROE of 7.08% and ROA of 3.20% are below industry leaders
Dividend
10/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield or payout ratio
  • Payout ratio of 0.00% indicates no shareholder return policy
  • Dividend strength score of 0/100 reflects complete absence of income feature

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$193.39
Analyst Target
$289.72
Upside/Downside
+49.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AMD and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-13
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Primary
+134.4% +121.1% +97.1% +22.0% -9.4% +0.5%
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc.
Peer
+92.3% +70.3% +28.8% +11.8% -0.5% +1.8%
IBM
International Business Machines Corporation
Peer
+232.3% +136.3% +50.0% +16.0% +9.5% +0.3%
LRCX
Lam Research Corporation
Peer
+306.0% +388.5% +184.0% +122.3% +43.9% +2.1%
AMAT
Applied Materials, Inc.
Peer
+210.2% +191.2% +129.8% +104.2% +0.6% +5.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
74.1
Forward P/E
17.76
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.0
P/S Ratio
9.1
EV/Revenue
8.91
EV/EBITDA
45.78
Market Cap
$315.31B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 12.52%
Operating Margin 17.06%
Gross Margin 52.49%
ROE 7.08%
ROA 3.2%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +34.1%
Earnings Growth +217.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +213.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.06
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.85
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.78
Excellent
Cash/Share
$6.47

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-05
$N/A
2026-02-03
$1.53
+16.0% surprise
2025-11-04
$0.75
+10.0% surprise
2025-08-05
$0.54
+1240.2% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing AMD against 149 companies in the Technology sector (10 bullish, 66 neutral, 73 bearish)
P/E Ratio
74.1
This Stock
vs
90.97
Sector Avg
-18.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
7.08%
This Stock
vs
-8.13%
Sector Avg
-187.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
12.52%
This Stock
vs
-7.75%
Sector Avg
-261.4% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.06
This Stock
vs
0.76
Sector Avg
-91.7% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
34.1%
This Stock
vs
56.87%
Sector Avg
-40.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.85
This Stock
vs
3.33
Sector Avg
-14.5% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
NEUTRAL $315.31B 74.1 7.1% 12.5% $193.39
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc.
NEUTRAL $297.08B 29.03 22.4% 17.9% $75.19
IBM
International Business...
NEUTRAL $285.74B 36.48 30.2% 12.1% $305.69
LRCX
Lam Research Corporation
NEUTRAL $281.16B 49.33 62.3% 29.7% $222.96
AMAT
Applied Materials, Inc.
NEUTRAL $271.04B 35.1 38.9% 27.8% $341.53

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2026-03-04 PAPERMASTER MARK D Chief Technology Officer Sale 3,034 $606,800
2026-02-27 GUIDO PHILIP Officer Stock Award 44,964 -
2026-02-27 HU JEAN X Chief Financial Officer Stock Award 131,942 -
2026-02-24 PAPERMASTER MARK D Chief Technology Officer Gift 413,212 -
2026-02-18 HAHN AVA M General Counsel Sale 286 $56,814
2026-02-17 HU JEAN X Chief Financial Officer Sale 19,956 $4,023,581
2026-02-13 GRASBY PAUL DARREN Officer Stock Award 7,084 -
2026-02-13 HUYNH JACK M Officer Stock Award 39,044 -
2026-02-13 NORROD FORREST EUGENE Officer Stock Award 76,966 -
2026-02-13 HU JEAN X Chief Financial Officer Stock Award 30,788 -
2026-02-13 HAHN AVA M General Counsel Stock Award 2,268 -
2026-02-11 NORROD FORREST EUGENE Officer Option Exercise 8,200 $280,358
2026-02-11 SU LISA T Chief Executive Officer Sale 125,000 $26,794,875
2026-02-11 NORROD FORREST EUGENE Officer Sale 19,450 $4,216,969
2026-01-16 HAHN AVA M General Counsel Sale 2,442 $572,454
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
46 analysts
Goldman Sachs
2026-02-25
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
RBC Capital
2026-02-25
reit
Sector Perform Sector Perform
Evercore ISI Group
2026-02-25
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Mizuho
2026-02-25
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Benchmark
2026-02-25
reit
Buy Buy
DA Davidson
2026-02-13
init
Neutral
Morgan Stanley
2026-02-04
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Wedbush
2026-02-04
reit
Outperform Outperform
Evercore ISI Group
2026-02-04
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Keybanc
2026-02-04
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AMD from our newsroom.

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