AMSF AMERISAFE, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AMSF Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Financial Services
Insurance - Specialty
Current Price
Live
$32.85
Analyst Target
$42.33
+28.9%
Upside
52W High
$53.27
52W Low
$32.0
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
87%
Analysis Accuracy
AMSF's Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial health, with no Altman Z-Score available to confirm solvency. Despite a defensive Graham Number of $27.28 and an intrinsic value estimate of $17.29, the stock trades at $32.85—significantly above both benchmarks. This suggests overvaluation, especially given deteriorating earnings growth (-19.2% YoY) and a recent streak of missed earnings (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters). The bearish technical trend and negative insider activity further undermine confidence.
Key Strengths
Strong profit margins (14.86% net, 29.13% gross)
High ROE of 18.53% indicates efficient use of equity
Healthy current ratio of 2.04 and zero debt/equity ratio
Consistent dividend payments with a 4.81% yield
Solid operating margin of 15.56%
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 signals weak financial stability
Negative earnings growth (-19.2% YoY) and declining Q/Q EPS (-7.3%)
Recent insider selling (2 transactions, $0.10M) with no buys
Stock trading at 13.30x P/E vs. Graham Number of $27.28, indicating overvaluation
Analyst target price of $42.33 implies upside, but consensus is only 'hold' with low conviction
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$17.29
-47.4% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare AMSF against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations
Past News Coverage
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