APA APA Corporation - Fundamental Analysis
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APA Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Energy
Oil & Gas E&P
Current Price
Live
$34.47
Analyst Target
$30.07
-12.8%
Downside
52W High
$34.59
52W Low
$13.58
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$12.18B
P/E
8.64
ROE
25.3%
Profit margin
16.5%
Debt/Equity
0.69
Dividend yield
2.9%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
APA Corporation's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates a weak financial health profile, signaling potential instability despite strong profitability metrics. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk, particularly given a current ratio of 0.82 and quick ratio of 0.61, both below safe thresholds. While the company trades at a compelling P/E of 8.64—well below the sector average of 23.09—it faces significant revenue and earnings contraction (YoY: -28% and -18.2%, respectively), undermining growth credibility. The Graham Number of $39.37 and intrinsic value of $27.93 suggest undervaluation, but the current price of $34.47 reflects a premium to intrinsic value, likely due to recent price momentum and strong earnings surprises. Analysts maintain a 'hold' recommendation, reflecting cautious optimism amid deteriorating top-line trends.
Key Strengths
Strong profitability with gross margin of 68.01% and ROE of 25.32%
Attractive valuation relative to sector with P/E of 8.64 vs. 23.09 average
Consistently beat earnings estimates in 3 of last 4 quarters with average surprise of 46.26%
High dividend yield of 2.90% with low payout ratio of 25.06%
Significant 1-year price appreciation (+90.4%) and strong 5-year return (+84.3%)
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and potential instability
Negative year-over-year revenue and earnings growth (-28.00% and -18.20%)
Current ratio (0.82) and quick ratio (0.61) below 1.0, signaling liquidity concerns
No Altman Z-Score available, raising unquantified bankruptcy risk
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates strong bearish momentum despite recent price gains
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$27.93
-19.0% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
66
Strong
78
52
85
45
68
AI Verdict
neutral
Key drivers: Strong profitability and valuation metrics, Weak financial health per Piotroski F-Score, Negative growth trends and liquidity concerns, High earnings surprise history offset by declining revenue, Lack of Altman Z-Score introduces uncertainty
Confidence
78%
Value
78/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 8.64 is significantly below sector average of 23.09
- Graham Number ($39.37) exceeds current price ($34.47)
- Intrinsic value ($27.93) suggests undervaluation
Watchpoints
- Current price trades at a premium to intrinsic value ($34.47 vs $27.93)
- Forward P/E of 13.56 is elevated relative to current P/E, suggesting growth expectations are priced in
Future
52/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Recent earnings surprises have been consistently positive (avg +46.26%)
- Strong historical EPS growth (15.2% YoY in most recent quarter)
- High Q/Q EPS growth in prior periods (e.g., +79.5% in 2025-08)
Watchpoints
- Revenue and earnings growth are sharply negative YoY (-28.00% and -18.20%)
- Q/Q earnings growth is -21.20%, indicating ongoing contraction
- Forward P/E of 13.56 suggests limited growth upside
Past
85/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 25 consecutive quarters of earnings beat history with strong average surprise (+46.26%)
- Consistent EPS beats in 3 of last 4 quarters
- Historical EPS growth has been robust (e.g., +15.2% YoY in most recent quarter)
Watchpoints
- Significant earnings volatility with multiple quarters of negative surprises
- Negative EPS in 2020 and 2021 quarters, indicating cyclical weakness
Health
45/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Debt/Equity ratio of 0.69 is in line with sector average (0.68)
- ROIC and ROA are positive, indicating efficient capital use
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- Current ratio (0.82) and quick ratio (0.61) below 1.0, signaling liquidity risk
- No Altman Z-Score available, which is a critical red flag for distress risk
Dividend
68/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 2.90% is attractive for an energy stock
- Payout ratio of 25.06% is sustainable and conservative
- Consistent dividend payments with no history of cuts
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score of 35/100 suggests moderate quality
- No 5-year average yield available, limiting long-term trend analysis
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$34.47
Analyst Target
$30.07
Upside/Downside
-12.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for APA and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-03-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
APA
APA Corporation
Primary
|
+84.3% | +10.9% | +90.4% | +54.1% | +22.0% | +5.5% |
|
AR
Antero Resources Corporation
Peer
|
+399.9% | +14.2% | -15.4% | +5.4% | +0.3% | +6.0% |
|
AM
Antero Midstream Corporation
Peer
|
+228.5% | +103.9% | +19.4% | +11.2% | +4.9% | +2.5% |
|
AROC
Archrock, Inc.
Peer
|
+281.4% | +240.6% | -2.8% | +21.6% | +8.0% | +5.2% |
|
BTU
Peabody Energy Corporation
Peer
|
+1129.6% | +41.6% | +99.3% | +128.8% | +23.3% | +4.4% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
8.64
Forward P/E
13.56
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.0
P/S Ratio
1.4
EV/Revenue
2.0
EV/EBITDA
3.38
Market Cap
$12.18B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
16.51%
Operating Margin
30.58%
Gross Margin
68.01%
ROE
25.32%
ROA
8.96%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-28.0%
Earnings Growth
-18.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-21.2%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.69
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.82
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.61
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.46
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-25
$0.91
+41.7% surprise
2025-11-05
$0.93
+17.6% surprise
2025-08-05
$0.87
+79.5% surprise
Energy Sector Comparison
Comparing APA against 26 companies in the Energy sector
(0 bullish, 20 neutral, 6 bearish)
P/E Ratio
8.64
This Stock
vs
23.13
Sector Avg
-62.6%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
25.32%
This Stock
vs
7.95%
Sector Avg
+218.4%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
16.51%
This Stock
vs
8.82%
Sector Avg
+87.2%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.69
This Stock
vs
0.68
Sector Avg
+1.6%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
-28.0%
This Stock
vs
4.1%
Sector Avg
-783.6%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.82
This Stock
vs
1.18
Sector Avg
-30.3%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
APA
APA Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $12.18B | 8.64 | 25.3% | 16.5% | $34.47 | |
|
AR
Antero Resources Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $10.58B | 18.14 | 8.6% | 11.8% | $34.29 | |
|
AM
Antero Midstream Corporation
|
BEARISH | $8.97B | 19.13 | 22.5% | 37.8% | $18.75 | |
|
AROC
Archrock, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.88B | 18.44 | 19.6% | 18.4% | $27.85 | |
|
BTU
Peabody Energy Corporation
|
BEARISH | $4.62B | - | -0.4% | -0.8% | $37.96 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | RINEY STEPHEN J | President | Stock Award | 15,202 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | MADDOX MARK D | Officer | Stock Award | 6,158 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | HENDERSON TRACEY K | Officer | Stock Award | 6,158 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | WARNICA KIMBERLY O | Officer | Stock Award | 5,981 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | RODGERS BEN C | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 4,222 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | CHRISTMANN JOHN J IV | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 26,717 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | CHRISTMANN JOHN J IV | Chief Executive Officer | Gift | 4,314 | - |
| 2026-01-28 | RINEY STEPHEN J | President | Stock Award | 33,950 | - |
| 2026-01-28 | MADDOX MARK D | Officer | Stock Award | 15,374 | - |
| 2026-01-28 | HENDERSON TRACEY K | Officer | Stock Award | 18,682 | - |
| 2026-01-28 | RAYPHOLE ROBERT P. | Officer | Stock Award | 720 | - |
| 2026-01-28 | RODGERS BEN C | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 11,312 | - |
| 2026-01-28 | CHRISTMANN JOHN J IV | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 72,170 | - |
| 2026-01-09 | RAYPHOLE ROBERT P. | Officer | Stock Award | 3,768 | - |
| 2026-01-08 | RINEY STEPHEN J | President | Stock Award | 21,345 | - |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
28 analysts
Piper Sandler
2026-03-12
Neutral
Neutral
Goldman Sachs
2026-03-11
Sell
Sell
Benchmark
2026-03-05
Buy
Buy
Piper Sandler
2026-03-05
Neutral
Neutral
RBC Capital
2026-03-05
Sector Perform
Sector Perform
UBS
2026-03-05
Neutral
Neutral
Evercore ISI Group
2026-02-26
In-Line
In-Line
Stephens & Co.
2026-02-17
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
RBC Capital
2026-01-26
Sector Perform
Sector Perform
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-23
Underweight
Underweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning APA from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.