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API Agora, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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API Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Software - Application
Current Price Live
$4.34
Analyst Target
$6.05
+39.4% Upside
52W High
$5.71
52W Low
$2.52

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 07, 2026
Market cap
$393.75M
P/E
62.0
ROE
1.7%
Profit margin
6.8%
Debt/Equity
0.15
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
API's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, falling short of the stable threshold and signaling potential operational inefficiencies. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about bankruptcy risk, especially given negative ROA (-0.83%) and inconsistent profitability. While the stock trades below its Graham Number ($3.19) and intrinsic value ($2.07), the current price of $4.34 reflects a significant premium to these conservative benchmarks, driven by speculative growth expectations. Despite strong revenue growth (10.7% YoY) and a recent surge in earnings growth (2444.5% YoY), the company remains unprofitable with negative operating margins (-2.57%) and erratic earnings surprises. The technical trend is bearish (0/100), and insider sentiment is neutral, further undermining confidence.

Key Strengths

Gross margin of 66.40% indicates strong pricing power and cost control in core operations
Low debt-to-equity ratio (0.15) suggests conservative capital structure and low financial leverage
High current and quick ratios (4.58 and 4.30) reflect strong short-term liquidity and buffer against near-term obligations
Recent earnings growth of 2444.5% YoY signals potential turnaround momentum despite historical losses
Trading below Graham Number ($3.19) suggests potential undervaluation on a defensive basis

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, with signs of declining profitability and inconsistent earnings quality
Negative operating margin (-2.57%) and negative ROA (-0.83%) suggest core operations are not generating sustainable returns
Forward P/E of -48.22 and lack of positive earnings guidance imply continued unprofitability in the near term
Erratic earnings surprises (e.g., -275% in 2023 Q3) indicate poor forecasting accuracy and earnings volatility
Technical trend is bearish (0/100), and 52-week high is $5.71, suggesting resistance at current levels
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$2.07
-52.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
40
Moderate
Value
65
Future
70
Past
35
Health
30
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
cautious
Key drivers: Weak Piotroski F-Score and negative operating margin, High revenue growth but unprofitable operations, Trading above intrinsic value despite negative fundamentals, Lack of Altman Z-Score raises distress risk concerns, Bearish technical trend and inconsistent earnings
Confidence
85%
Value
65/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Stock trades below Graham Number ($3.19)
  • Price/Book of 0.67 suggests potential asset-based undervaluation
Watchpoints
  • Current price ($4.34) is 109% above intrinsic value ($2.07)
  • Forward P/E is negative, indicating no earnings visibility
  • P/S of 2.79 is elevated for a company with negative earnings
Future
70/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue growth of 10.7% YoY is above sector average
  • Earnings growth of 2444.5% YoY signals potential inflection point
  • Recent Q/Q earnings growth of 3012.70% suggests momentum
Watchpoints
  • Forward P/E is negative, indicating no near-term profitability
  • Earnings volatility and erratic surprises reduce confidence in projections
  • No PEG ratio available due to negative earnings
Past
35/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent revenue growth over 18 quarters
  • Improving trend in recent quarters (e.g., +66.7% surprise in 2024 Q1)
Watchpoints
  • Persistent losses with negative ROE (1.68%) and ROA (-0.83%)
  • Multiple quarters with large negative earnings surprises
  • 5-year stock performance down 91.7%, indicating long-term underperformance
Health
30/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Low debt-to-equity (0.15) and strong liquidity (current ratio 4.58)
  • No indication of immediate solvency issues
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
  • Negative ROA and operating margin suggest poor capital efficiency
  • No Altman Z-Score available, raising red flags about bankruptcy risk
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield or payout ratio
  • Dividend strength is 0/100, indicating no dividend policy

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$4.34
Analyst Target
$6.05
Upside/Downside
+39.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for API and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-06
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
API
Agora, Inc.
Primary
-91.7% +28.4% -17.0% +26.9% +5.1% -7.1%
BGIN
Bgin Blockchain Limited
Peer
-29.5% -29.5% -29.5% -29.5% +31.4% -1.0%
BKKT
Bakkt, Inc.
Peer
-96.0% -65.4% -51.6% -15.7% +40.9% -28.9%
ARQQ
Arqit Quantum Inc.
Peer
-89.9% -59.8% -9.4% -36.9% -4.3% -9.0%
BAND
Bandwidth Inc.
Peer
-91.3% -38.9% -10.1% -3.3% -3.8% +8.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
62.0
Forward P/E
-48.22
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.67
P/S Ratio
2.79
EV/Revenue
9.78
EV/EBITDA
-396.89
Market Cap
$393.75M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 6.75%
Operating Margin -2.57%
Gross Margin 66.4%
ROE 1.68%
ROA -0.83%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +10.7%
Earnings Growth +2444.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +3012.7%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.15
Low debt
Current Ratio
4.58
Strong
Quick Ratio
4.3
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.63

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-26
$N/A
2024-08-19
$-0.1
-42.9% surprise
2024-05-22
$-0.1
-11.1% surprise
2024-02-26
$-0.03
+66.7% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing API against 149 companies in the Technology sector (10 bullish, 66 neutral, 73 bearish)
P/E Ratio
62.0
This Stock
vs
77.56
Sector Avg
-20.1% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
1.68%
This Stock
vs
-8.13%
Sector Avg
-120.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
6.75%
This Stock
vs
-9.07%
Sector Avg
-174.5% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.15
This Stock
vs
0.76
Sector Avg
-80.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
10.7%
This Stock
vs
55.69%
Sector Avg
-80.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
4.58
This Stock
vs
3.32
Sector Avg
+37.9% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
API
Agora, Inc.
BEARISH $393.75M 62.0 1.7% 6.8% $4.34
BGIN
Bgin Blockchain Limited
BEARISH $395.52M - -32.7% -28.2% $3.5
BKKT
Bakkt, Inc.
BEARISH $388.33M - -67.5% -1.1% $15.22
ARQQ
Arqit Quantum Inc.
BEARISH $378.78M - -181.4% -% $24.2
BAND
Bandwidth Inc.
BEARISH $442.26M - -3.2% -1.5% $14.49

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning API from our newsroom.

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