APP
BEARISH
$458.67
Live
AppLovin Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $648.57
(+41.4%)
$200.5
52W Range
$745.61
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
AppLovin (APP) exhibits strong profitability and growth metrics, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating borderline financial health, and no Altman Z-Score available, raising concerns about default risk. The stock trades at a premium valuation (P/E 45.68, Price/Sales 28.28) far above sector averages, despite a Graham Number of $37.75 and intrinsic value of $296.18, suggesting overvaluation. Insider selling of $90.62M in the last 6 months signals potential internal skepticism. While earnings growth (84.70% YoY) and margin strength (ROE 212.94%) are impressive, the lack of dividend, weak technical trend, and recent price decline (-21.2% over 6 months) compound downside risk.
Key Strengths
Exceptional profitability with gross margin of 87.86% and ROE of 212.94%
Strong revenue and earnings growth (65.90% and 84.70% YoY respectively)
Consistent earnings beat rate (3 out of last 4 quarters)
High operating margin of 76.92% and robust profit margin of 60.83%
Positive analyst consensus with a 'buy' recommendation from 28 analysts
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, signaling potential operational instability
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.72 is elevated, especially for a high-growth tech firm
Insider selling of $90.62M in 6 months with no buys, suggesting internal caution
Current price of $458.67 is significantly above both Graham Number ($37.75) and intrinsic value ($296.18), implying overvaluation
Technical trend is bearish (0/100), and 6-month price decline of -21.2% reflects recent weakness
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$296.18
-35.4% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare APP against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations
Past News Coverage
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