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APPS Digital Turbine, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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APPS Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Software - Application
Current Price Live
$3.56
Analyst Target
$8.75
+145.8% Upside
52W High
$8.28
52W Low
$2.11

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$426.84M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-27.5%
Profit margin
-9.1%
Debt/Equity
1.86
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
Digital Turbine (APPS) exhibits weak financial health per the Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating significant distress signals, and lacks an Altman Z-Score, which raises unquantified bankruptcy risk. Despite strong revenue growth (12.5% YoY) and a history of earnings beat consistency (90.88% average surprise), the company operates at a net loss (-9.08% profit margin) and has a high debt-to-equity ratio (1.86), undermining long-term sustainability. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 5.70, which appears attractive on the surface, but this is misleading given the negative earnings and lack of profitability. The 52-week price range ($2.11–$8.28) and recent 6-month decline of 22.9% reflect persistent market skepticism, while insider selling and a 5-year price drop of 95.8% further erode confidence.

Key Strengths

Consistent earnings beat history with 90.88% average surprise over last 4 quarters
Strong gross margin of 47.87% indicates pricing power and cost control
Positive Q/Q EPS growth of 20.0% and YoY EPS growth of 38.5% suggest improving profitability momentum
Forward P/E of 5.70 is low relative to sector average of 75.96, suggesting potential undervaluation on earnings basis
Revenue growth of 12.5% YoY exceeds sector median, indicating top-line expansion

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress and weak operational health
Negative ROE (-27.48%) and ROA (0.98%) signal poor capital efficiency and declining shareholder value
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.86 is dangerously high, especially for a loss-making company
Insider selling activity (1 transaction, 578 shares) with no buys suggests internal skepticism
No dividend, no free cash flow, and no Graham or intrinsic value estimates indicate lack of fundamental safety

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
38
Weak
Value
55
Future
68
Past
45
Health
22
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
cautious
Key drivers: High revenue growth and earnings beat history, Low forward P/E relative to sector, Weak Piotroski F-Score and negative profitability, High leverage and lack of cash flow, Insider selling and prolonged price decline
Confidence
75%
Value
55/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 5.70 is significantly below sector average of 75.96
  • Price/Sales of 0.79 is below 1.0, suggesting potential undervaluation on top-line basis
Watchpoints
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate due to negative earnings and lack of stable cash flow
  • Negative ROE and ROA undermine traditional valuation models
  • Forward P/E is based on projected earnings, not actual profitability
Future
68/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 12.5% YoY revenue growth indicates expanding market presence
  • Recent EPS growth of 38.5% and Q/Q EPS growth of 20.0% suggest improving profitability trajectory
  • Strong earnings surprise history (90.88% average) reflects operational execution
Watchpoints
  • Forward P/E is based on unproven earnings sustainability
  • No free cash flow data raises concerns about capital efficiency
  • High debt levels could constrain future investment and growth
Past
45/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent earnings beats over 25 quarters, including 3 of last 4
  • Historical EPS growth has been strong, with peaks above $0.49 per share
Watchpoints
  • Net losses persist despite revenue growth, indicating structural profitability issues
  • 5-year price decline of 95.8% reflects long-term investor distrust
  • Negative ROE and ROA over multiple years indicate poor capital allocation
Health
22/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Operating margin of 14.32% shows efficient core operations
  • Current ratio of 1.10 and quick ratio of 1.03 indicate minimal liquidity risk
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial distress
  • Debt/Equity of 1.86 is extremely high for a company with negative ROE
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but the financial profile suggests distress risk
  • Negative ROE and ROA indicate poor return on invested capital
  • No free cash flow or operating cash flow data raises red flags
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield, rate, or payout ratio
  • Payout ratio is 0.00%, consistent with no dividend policy

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$3.56
Analyst Target
$8.75
Upside/Downside
+145.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for APPS and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-13
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
APPS
Digital Turbine, Inc.
Primary
-95.8% -66.2% +11.9% -22.9% -18.4% -13.2%
AIOT
PowerFleet, Inc.
Peer
-65.4% +1.0% -44.7% -40.4% -22.3% -7.7%
BAND
Bandwidth Inc.
Peer
-91.3% -38.9% -10.1% -3.3% -3.8% +8.1%
BGIN
Bgin Blockchain Limited
Peer
-29.5% -29.5% -29.5% -29.5% +31.4% -1.0%
BKKT
Bakkt, Inc.
Peer
-96.0% -65.4% -51.6% -15.7% +40.9% -28.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
5.7
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.19
P/S Ratio
0.79
EV/Revenue
1.38
EV/EBITDA
8.22
Market Cap
$426.84M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -9.08%
Operating Margin 14.32%
Gross Margin 47.87%
ROE -27.48%
ROA 0.98%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +12.5%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.86
High debt
Current Ratio
1.1
Good
Quick Ratio
1.03
Good
Cash/Share
$0.34

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-06-15
$N/A
2026-02-03
$0.18
+56.5% surprise
2025-11-04
$0.15
+200.0% surprise
2025-08-05
$-0.13
+16.1% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing APPS against 149 companies in the Technology sector (10 bullish, 66 neutral, 73 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-27.48%
This Stock
vs
-8.13%
Sector Avg
+238.0% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
-9.08%
This Stock
vs
-7.75%
Sector Avg
+17.1% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.86
This Stock
vs
0.76
Sector Avg
+143.8% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
12.5%
This Stock
vs
56.87%
Sector Avg
-78.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.1
This Stock
vs
3.33
Sector Avg
-66.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
APPS
Digital Turbine, Inc.
BEARISH $426.84M - -27.5% -9.1% $3.56
AIOT
PowerFleet, Inc.
BEARISH $419.88M - -6.4% -7.0% $3.13
BAND
Bandwidth Inc.
BEARISH $442.26M - -3.2% -1.5% $14.49
BGIN
Bgin Blockchain Limited
BEARISH $395.52M - -32.7% -28.2% $3.5
BKKT
Bakkt, Inc.
BEARISH $388.33M - -67.5% -1.1% $15.22

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2026-02-23 KINSELL JOSHUA Officer Sale 578 $2,346
2026-01-12 GYANI MOHANBIR SINGH Director Gift 170,121 -
2026-01-09 GYANI MOHANBIR SINGH Director Option Exercise 75,000 $79,500
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning APPS from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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