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ARVN

BEARISH
$12.18 Live
Arvinas, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $14.56 (+19.6%)
$5.9 52W Range $14.51

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$782.25M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-16.2%
Profit margin
-30.8%
Debt/Equity
0.02
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
ARVN's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals severe financial distress: a Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 indicates extreme operational weakness, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score suggests no solvency validation. Despite a strong gross margin of 100.00%, the company reports a -30.77% profit margin, -754.74% operating margin, and an 84% YoY revenue decline, signaling fundamental business deterioration. Insider selling activity totaling $0.83M over six months, with multiple officer and CEO sales, reinforces bearish sentiment. While the stock has rebounded 42.5% over the past year, this is likely driven by speculative momentum rather than fundamentals, and the current price of $12.18 remains elevated relative to its deteriorating performance.

Key Strengths

Gross margin of 100.00% indicates potential product pricing power or low production costs
Extremely low debt/equity ratio of 0.02 suggests minimal financial leverage risk
High current and quick ratios (4.92 and 4.86) reflect strong short-term liquidity
Analyst consensus recommends 'buy' with a target price of $14.56, indicating some market optimism
Recent 6-month price surge of 57.4% suggests strong short-term momentum

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 signals severe financial distress and operational failure
84% YoY revenue decline and negative operating margin (-754.74%) indicate business contraction and unsustainable operations
Insider selling of $0.83M in the last 6 months, including CEO and officer sales, signals loss of confidence
No positive profitability metrics: negative ROE (-16.23%), ROA (-7.94%), and negative forward P/E (-3.49)
No dividend, no free cash flow, and no intrinsic value or Graham Number available, indicating no defensive or value characteristics

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
8
Weak
Value
10
Future
15
Past
10
Health
5
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 0/9, Negative profitability and revenue contraction, Insider selling, No valuation anchors (Graham, Intrinsic), High price volatility and poor historical returns
Confidence
85%
Value
10/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Price/Sales of 2.98 is below sector average of 164.64 (though meaningless due to sector-wide negative margins)
  • Low debt/equity ratio suggests financial safety
Watchpoints
  • No P/E, PEG, or Graham Number available
  • Forward P/E of -3.49 indicates no earnings expectations
  • Price/Book of 1.78 is not supported by profitability
  • No intrinsic value model applicable due to negative earnings and growth
Future
15/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Analyst target price of $14.56 suggests potential upside
  • Recent 6-month price increase of 57.4% indicates momentum
Watchpoints
  • 84% YoY revenue decline indicates severe business contraction
  • No earnings growth data available, but forward P/E is negative
  • No positive growth indicators in any metric
  • Highly speculative future outlook with no earnings foundation
Past
10/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 52-week high of $14.51 is above current price, suggesting recovery potential
  • 1-year return of +42.5% shows recent outperformance
Watchpoints
  • 5-year return of -84.3% reflects long-term underperformance
  • 3-year return of -57.8% shows persistent decline
  • Recent 1-month and 1-week declines of -7.0% and -10.4% indicate weakening momentum
  • Historical price volatility and poor returns
Health
5/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.02 indicates minimal leverage risk
  • Current and quick ratios of 4.92 and 4.86 suggest strong liquidity
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 is the lowest possible, indicating complete operational failure
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but the financial health indicators are severely deteriorated
  • Negative ROE, ROA, and operating margin signal deep profitability issues
  • No free cash flow or operating cash flow data available
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield or payout ratio
  • Dividend Strength score of 0/100
  • No history or expectation of dividends

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$12.18
Analyst Target
$14.56
Upside/Downside
+19.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ARVN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-13
ARV
Arvinas, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-84.3%
3Y
-57.8%
1Y
+42.5%
6M
+57.4%
1M
-7.0%
1W
-10.4%
MGT
MeiraGTx Holdings plc
Peer
5Y
-29.7%
3Y
+81.4%
1Y
+75.7%
6M
+23.0%
1M
+30.3%
1W
+1.2%
AMN
AMN Healthcare Services, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-72.8%
3Y
-78.8%
1Y
-26.3%
6M
+3.5%
1M
+28.0%
1W
+7.7%
OMD
Omada Health, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-43.0%
3Y
-43.0%
1Y
-43.0%
6M
-48.4%
1M
-11.3%
1W
+4.7%
IAR
Integra LifeSciences Holdings Corporation
Peer
5Y
-85.7%
3Y
-83.0%
1Y
-43.2%
6M
-25.8%
1M
+3.0%
1W
+3.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-3.49
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.78
P/S Ratio
2.98
EV/Revenue
0.39
EV/EBITDA
-0.92
Market Cap
$782.25M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -30.77%
Operating Margin -754.74%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE -16.23%
ROA -7.94%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -84.0%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.02
Low debt
Current Ratio
4.92
Strong
Quick Ratio
4.86
Excellent
Cash/Share
$10.72

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing ARVN against 560 companies in the Healthcare sector (34 bullish, 167 neutral, 359 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-16.23%
This Stock
vs
-88.14%
Sector Avg
-81.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-30.77%
This Stock
vs
-16.28%
Sector Avg
+89.0% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.02
This Stock
vs
2.66
Sector Avg
-99.2% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-84.0%
This Stock
vs
124.04%
Sector Avg
-167.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
4.92
This Stock
vs
4.47
Sector Avg
+9.9% (Better)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

MORRISON BRIGGS W. M.D.
Director
Buy
2026-03-06
20,000 shares · $268,070
HOUSTON JOHN G
Director
Sell
2026-02-27
35,297 shares · $466,154
LOOMIS DAVID K
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
12,420 shares
TEEL RANDY PH.D.
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
147,791 shares
CACACE ANGELA M
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
45,000 shares
BERKOWITZ NOAH
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
45,000 shares
SAIK ANDREW
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-26
45,000 shares
LOOMIS DAVID K
Officer
Sell
2026-02-23
1,108 shares · $13,473
TEEL RANDY PH.D.
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-02-23
4,786 shares · $58,198
CACACE ANGELA M
Officer
Sell
2026-02-23
3,609 shares · $43,885
LOOMIS DAVID K
Officer
Sell
2026-02-13
1,016 shares · $12,080
TEEL RANDY PH.D.
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-02-13
4,403 shares · $52,352
CACACE ANGELA M
Officer
Sell
2026-02-13
4,592 shares · $54,599
BERKOWITZ NOAH
Officer
Sell
2026-02-13
5,685 shares · $67,595
SAIK ANDREW
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-02-13
5,134 shares · $61,043
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
16 analysts
Citigroup
2026-03-05
Maintains
Buy Buy
Piper Sandler
2026-02-25
reit
Overweight Overweight
Evercore ISI Group
2026-02-25
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Wedbush
2026-02-25
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Citigroup
2026-01-06
up
Neutral Buy
Barclays
2025-12-17
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Stephens & Co.
2025-11-10
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Wells Fargo
2025-11-06
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Barclays
2025-11-06
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
BTIG
2025-10-30
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ARVN from our newsroom.

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