ASLE AerSale Corporation - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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ASLE Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Industrials
Airports & Air Services
Current Price
Live
$7.8
Analyst Target
$8.0
+2.6%
Upside
52W High
$9.12
52W Low
$5.56
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Feb 28, 2026
Market cap
$368.04M
P/E
70.91
ROE
1.4%
Profit margin
1.7%
Debt/Equity
0.38
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
87%
Analysis Accuracy
AerSale Corporation (ASLE) exhibits weak financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, indicating significant operational and financial vulnerabilities. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about potential distress risk, especially given declining revenue growth and inconsistent earnings performance. While the Graham Number suggests a defensive fair value of $4.68, the current price of $7.80 trades at a premium, supported only by speculative growth expectations. Insider selling in the last six months and a bearish technical trend further undermine confidence. The company's poor profitability metrics and negative revenue growth underscore fundamental weaknesses despite a seemingly low P/E ratio.
Key Strengths
Graham Number of $4.68 provides a defensive floor for valuation
Strong current ratio of 4.41 indicates short-term liquidity strength
Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38 suggests conservative capital structure
Recent insider sales were small in value ($0.02M), limiting immediate red flag severity
Price is below 52-week high of $9.12, offering some near-term downside buffer
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 signals weak financial health and operational instability
Negative year-over-year revenue growth of -13.90% reflects deteriorating business momentum
Inconsistent earnings performance with large negative surprises (e.g., -77.1%, -158.8%)
No analyst recommendations or target price consensus, indicating low institutional interest
Insider selling activity (2 transactions) with no buys, signaling lack of confidence
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$4.68
-40.0% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
25
Weak
52
25
30
20
0
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score (3/9), Negative revenue growth (-13.90%), Inconsistent earnings surprises, Absence of Altman Z-Score, Bearish technical trend
Confidence
85%
Value
52/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Graham Number of $4.68 provides a defensive valuation floor
- Price/Book of 0.88 suggests trading below book value
- Price/Sales of 1.09 is moderate relative to peers
Watchpoints
- Current price ($7.80) is 67% above Graham Number ($4.68)
- Forward P/E of 12.19 is misleading due to volatile earnings
- No PEG ratio available, limiting growth-adjusted valuation
Future
25/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Forward P/E of 12.19 implies potential earnings recovery
- Recent Q/Q EPS growth of -77.8% may represent a cyclical low
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth is declining (-13.90% YoY)
- Earnings growth is not available, suggesting instability
- No clear path to sustainable growth based on historical trends
Past
30/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Historical earnings have shown large positive surprises (e.g., +2350%)
- Some quarters have exceeded estimates by significant margins
Watchpoints
- 4 out of last 4 quarters missed estimates
- Average surprise of +704.68% is driven by extreme outliers, not consistency
- Negative EPS growth of -77.8% Q/Q indicates recent deterioration
Health
20/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current ratio of 4.41 indicates strong liquidity
- Debt/Equity of 0.38 is low and conservative
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates poor financial health
- No Altman Z-Score available, raising bankruptcy risk concerns
- ROE (1.35%) and ROA (1.37%) are extremely low
- Operating margin of 4.04% is below industry average
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield or payout ratio
- Dividend strength is 0/100
- Payout ratio is 0.00%
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$7.8
Analyst Target
$8.0
Upside/Downside
+2.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ASLE and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-02-27
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ASLE
AerSale Corporation
Primary
|
-23.2% | -60.7% | +11.1% | -9.6% | +5.7% | +2.9% |
|
ACCO
ACCO Brands Corporation
Peer
|
-40.4% | -21.1% | -19.6% | +2.5% | +6.5% | -2.5% |
|
FCEL
FuelCell Energy, Inc.
Peer
|
-98.5% | -92.3% | -16.9% | +51.4% | +1.8% | +6.1% |
|
BOC
Boston Omaha Corporation
Peer
|
-57.3% | -54.6% | -16.1% | -10.9% | -3.2% | 0.0% |
|
ADUR
Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.
Peer
|
+150.1% | +150.1% | +117.8% | -12.6% | -2.5% | +2.3% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
70.91
Forward P/E
12.19
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.88
P/S Ratio
1.09
EV/Revenue
1.52
EV/EBITDA
15.57
Market Cap
$368.04M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
1.73%
Operating Margin
4.04%
Gross Margin
30.83%
ROE
1.35%
ROA
1.37%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-13.9%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.38
Low debt
Current Ratio
4.41
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.84
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.25
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-05
$N/A
2025-11-06
$0.04
-77.1% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.18
+2350.0% surprise
2025-05-07
$-0.05
-158.8% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing ASLE against 122 companies in the Industrials sector
(6 bullish, 59 neutral, 57 bearish)
P/E Ratio
70.91
This Stock
vs
73.49
Sector Avg
-3.5%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
1.35%
This Stock
vs
7.83%
Sector Avg
-82.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.73%
This Stock
vs
57.85%
Sector Avg
-97.0%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.38
This Stock
vs
5.46
Sector Avg
-93.1%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-13.9%
This Stock
vs
22.8%
Sector Avg
-161.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
4.41
This Stock
vs
2.64
Sector Avg
+67.2%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ASLE
AerSale Corporation
|
BEARISH | $368.04M | 70.91 | 1.4% | 1.7% | $7.8 | |
|
ACCO
ACCO Brands Corporation
|
BEARISH | $354.24M | 9.59 | 6.4% | 2.6% | $3.93 | |
|
FCEL
FuelCell Energy, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $383.8M | - | -26.2% | -118.8% | $8.04 | |
|
BOC
Boston Omaha Corporation
|
BEARISH | $385.93M | - | -0.3% | -0.2% | $12.27 | |
|
ADUR
Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.
|
BEARISH | $385.94M | - | -130.2% | -% | $11.16 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | PIZZI ENRIQUE | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 1,825 | $13,466 |
| 2025-11-21 | FINAZZO NICOLAS | Chief Executive Officer | Purchase | 6,352 | $38,048 |
| 2025-11-20 | FINAZZO NICOLAS | Chief Executive Officer | Purchase | 3,267 | $19,580 |
| 2025-09-03 | TSCHIRHART BENJAMIN THOMAS | Officer | Sale | 960 | $8,063 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
2 analysts
Truist Securities
2025-11-10
Hold
Hold
Truist Securities
2025-10-15
Hold
Hold
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ASLE from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.