ASLE
BEARISH
$6.24
Live
AerSale Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $8.0
(+28.2%)
$5.56
52W Range
$9.12
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$294.43M
P/E
56.73
ROE
1.9%
Profit margin
2.6%
Debt/Equity
0.34
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
AerSale Corporation (ASLE) exhibits weak financial health per the Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating significant distress risk, and lacks an Altman Z-Score, which raises red flags for potential bankruptcy risk. Despite a seemingly attractive Graham Number of $4.72 and intrinsic value of $3.25, the stock trades at $6.24—over 30% above both benchmarks—suggesting a substantial premium driven by speculative growth expectations. The company shows erratic earnings performance with a volatile track record of earnings surprises, including multiple negative results and extreme positive outliers, undermining reliability. Technical trends are bearish, insider sentiment is weak with a recent sale, and analyst consensus is only 'hold' despite a high forward P/E of 6.90, signaling limited conviction.
Key Strengths
Strong current ratio of 3.71 indicates solid short-term liquidity
Low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.34 suggests conservative capital structure
Significant Q/Q earnings growth of 99.70% and YoY EPS growth of 128.90% point to recent operational improvement
Gross margin of 31.55% reflects decent pricing power and cost control
Trading below 52-week high of $9.12 offers some near-term downside buffer
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial distress and poor operational health
No Altman Z-Score available, but the low Piotroski score implies high bankruptcy risk
Negative revenue growth of -4.00% YoY contradicts earnings rebound, suggesting unsustainable profitability
Insider selling activity (1 transaction, $0.01M) with no buys indicates bearish sentiment among insiders
Technical trend is bearish (0/100), and long-term price performance shows deep declines (5Y: -44.2%, 3Y: -60.6%)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$4.72
-24.4% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
29
Weak
45
52
30
20
0
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score (2/9), Negative revenue growth, High valuation relative to intrinsic value, Bearish technicals and insider activity
Confidence
85%
Value
45/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Graham Number of $4.72 suggests defensive fair value
- Price/Book of 0.69 indicates trading below book value
- Forward P/E of 6.90 is attractive relative to historical P/E of 56.73
Watchpoints
- Current price ($6.24) exceeds Graham Number by 30%
- Intrinsic value estimate ($3.25) is significantly below current price
- High forward P/E may not be sustainable given revenue decline
Future
52/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Strong Q/Q and YoY earnings growth (99.70% and 128.90%)
- Recent EPS growth of +300% Q/Q suggests momentum
- Analyst target price of $8.00 implies upside potential
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth is negative (-4.00% YoY)
- Earnings volatility and inconsistent beat rate (only 1/4 in last 4 quarters)
- Lack of PEG ratio and uncertain sustainability of earnings rebound
Past
30/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Historical earnings have shown extreme positive surprises (e.g., +574.6%, +310.0%)
- Some quarters show strong performance (e.g., 2022-08-08: +211.1% surprise)
Watchpoints
- Frequent negative earnings surprises (e.g., -158.8%, -151.7%)
- Persistent revenue decline over multiple quarters
- Long-term price decline (5Y: -44.2%) reflects deteriorating investor confidence
Health
20/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Low debt-to-equity (0.34) and high current ratio (3.71) suggest strong balance sheet liquidity
- No reported cash or debt figures, but ratios imply manageable leverage
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 is extremely low, indicating poor financial health
- No Altman Z-Score available, but low Piotroski score implies high distress risk
- ROE (1.95%) and ROA (1.58%) are below industry average and barely positive
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield or payout ratio
- Dividend strength is 0/100
- No history of dividend payments
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$6.24
Analyst Target
$8.0
Upside/Downside
+28.2%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ASLE and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-03-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ASLE
AerSale Corporation
Primary
|
-44.2% | -60.6% | -23.3% | -26.5% | -13.1% | -3.4% |
|
CIX
CompX International Inc.
Peer
|
+43.7% | +69.6% | -4.4% | +5.6% | +4.2% | +2.2% |
|
KELYA
Kelly Services, Inc.
Peer
|
-58.8% | -43.8% | -23.4% | -28.8% | -1.6% | -0.8% |
|
DSX
Diana Shipping Inc.
Peer
|
+11.0% | -27.8% | +66.5% | +43.3% | -1.2% | -5.1% |
|
EVI
EVI Industries, Inc.
Peer
|
-26.2% | +16.7% | +19.4% | -25.8% | -4.0% | -7.2% |
ASL
AerSale Corporation
Primary
5Y
-44.2%
3Y
-60.6%
1Y
-23.3%
6M
-26.5%
1M
-13.1%
1W
-3.4%
CIX
CompX International Inc.
Peer
5Y
+43.7%
3Y
+69.6%
1Y
-4.4%
6M
+5.6%
1M
+4.2%
1W
+2.2%
KEL
Kelly Services, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-58.8%
3Y
-43.8%
1Y
-23.4%
6M
-28.8%
1M
-1.6%
1W
-0.8%
DSX
Diana Shipping Inc.
Peer
5Y
+11.0%
3Y
-27.8%
1Y
+66.5%
6M
+43.3%
1M
-1.2%
1W
-5.1%
EVI
EVI Industries, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-26.2%
3Y
+16.7%
1Y
+19.4%
6M
-25.8%
1M
-4.0%
1W
-7.2%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
56.73
Forward P/E
6.9
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.69
P/S Ratio
0.88
EV/Revenue
1.28
EV/EBITDA
12.25
Market Cap
$294.43M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
2.56%
Operating Margin
7.75%
Gross Margin
31.55%
ROE
1.95%
ROA
1.58%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-4.0%
Earnings Growth
+128.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+99.7%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.34
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.71
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.8
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.2
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q3 2025
Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
30.2%
Op. Margin
4.0%
Net Margin
-0.2%
Total Assets
$0.6B
Liabilities
$0.2B
Equity
$0.4B
Debt/Equity
0.55x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
119%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-03-05
$0.16
-17.9% surprise
2025-11-06
$0.04
-77.1% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.2
+566.7% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing ASLE against 469 companies in the Industrials sector
(39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
56.73
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
-42.3%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
1.95%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-110.1%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
2.56%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
-61.6%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.34
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-87.0%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-4.0%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-105.6%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
3.71
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
+20.2%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ASLE
AerSale Corporation
|
BEARISH | $294.43M | 56.73 | 1.9% | 2.6% | $6.24 | |
|
CIX
CompX International Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $292.18M | 15.01 | 13.7% | 12.3% | $23.71 | Compare |
|
KELYA
Kelly Services, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $297.98M | - | -23.0% | -6.0% | $8.71 | Compare |
|
DSX
Diana Shipping Inc.
|
BEARISH | $301.44M | 22.18 | 3.5% | 8.3% | $2.44 | Compare |
|
EVI
EVI Industries, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $287.4M | 43.35 | 5.2% | 1.7% | $19.94 | Compare |
ASLE
AerSale Corporation
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$294M
P/E
56.7
ROE
1.9%
Price
$6.24
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | PIZZI ENRIQUE | Chief Technology Officer | Sale | 1,825 | $13,466 |
| 2025-11-21 | FINAZZO NICOLAS | Chief Executive Officer | Purchase | 6,352 | $38,048 |
| 2025-11-20 | FINAZZO NICOLAS | Chief Executive Officer | Purchase | 3,267 | $19,580 |
PIZZI ENRIQUE
Chief Technology Officer
2026-01-08
1,825 shares
·
$13,466
FINAZZO NICOLAS
Chief Executive Officer
2025-11-21
6,352 shares
·
$38,048
FINAZZO NICOLAS
Chief Executive Officer
2025-11-20
3,267 shares
·
$19,580
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
2 analysts
Truist Securities
2025-11-10
Hold
Hold
Truist Securities
2025-10-15
Hold
Hold
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ASLE from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.