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ASO

NEUTRAL
$49.9 Live
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $60.56 (+21.4%)
$33.34 52W Range $62.45

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
78%
ASO's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates a borderline stable financial health, falling short of strong fundamentals. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk, particularly given a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.87 and a low quick ratio of 0.25. While the stock trades at a compelling 9.17x P/E and 0.55x Price/Sales, well below sector averages, its intrinsic value of $153.14 suggests significant upside potential if growth sustains. However, recent earnings misses and a bearish insider sentiment undermine confidence in near-term momentum.

Key Strengths

Attractive valuation with P/E of 9.17 and Price/Sales of 0.55, significantly below sector average
Strong ROE of 18.34% and gross margin of 34.42% indicate efficient capital use and pricing power
Intrinsic value estimate of $153.14 suggests substantial upside from current price of $49.90
Positive earnings growth of 14.10% YoY and forward P/E of 7.04 support growth-oriented valuation
Graham Number of $62.77 provides a defensive floor, though current price is below it

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health, indicating potential operational inefficiencies
Low quick ratio of 0.25 suggests poor short-term liquidity and reliance on inventory to meet obligations
Bearish insider sentiment with $1.14M in sales over 6 months, no buys, raising governance concerns
Recent quarterly earnings surprises are negative on average (-3.63%), with multiple misses in 2025
No available Altman Z-Score leaves default risk unquantified, increasing uncertainty despite moderate leverage
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$153.14
+206.9% above current price

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