ASO
NEUTRAL
$49.9
Live
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $60.56
(+21.4%)
$33.34
52W Range
$62.45
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Mar 18, 2026
Market cap
$3.33B
P/E
9.17
ROE
18.3%
Profit margin
6.3%
Debt/Equity
0.87
Dividend yield
1.2%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
78%
ASO's Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates a borderline stable financial health, falling short of strong fundamentals. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk, particularly given a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.87 and a low quick ratio of 0.25. While the stock trades at a compelling 9.17x P/E and 0.55x Price/Sales, well below sector averages, its intrinsic value of $153.14 suggests significant upside potential if growth sustains. However, recent earnings misses and a bearish insider sentiment undermine confidence in near-term momentum.
Key Strengths
Attractive valuation with P/E of 9.17 and Price/Sales of 0.55, significantly below sector average
Strong ROE of 18.34% and gross margin of 34.42% indicate efficient capital use and pricing power
Intrinsic value estimate of $153.14 suggests substantial upside from current price of $49.90
Positive earnings growth of 14.10% YoY and forward P/E of 7.04 support growth-oriented valuation
Graham Number of $62.77 provides a defensive floor, though current price is below it
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health, indicating potential operational inefficiencies
Low quick ratio of 0.25 suggests poor short-term liquidity and reliance on inventory to meet obligations
Bearish insider sentiment with $1.14M in sales over 6 months, no buys, raising governance concerns
Recent quarterly earnings surprises are negative on average (-3.63%), with multiple misses in 2025
No available Altman Z-Score leaves default risk unquantified, increasing uncertainty despite moderate leverage
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$153.14
+206.9% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
53
Moderate
85
55
50
45
30
AI Verdict
neutral
Key drivers: Attractive valuation and strong ROE, Weak Piotroski score and low liquidity, Bearish insider activity, Mixed earnings performance, High intrinsic value relative to current price
Confidence
78%
Value
85/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 9.17 is well below sector average of 42.78
- Price/Sales of 0.55 is extremely low, indicating undervaluation
- Graham Number of $62.77 is above current price, suggesting defensive margin of safety
- Intrinsic value of $153.14 implies 207% upside from current price
Watchpoints
- No PEG ratio available, limiting growth-adjusted valuation insight
- Forward P/E of 7.04 is low, but may reflect earnings contraction expectations
Future
55/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 14.10% YoY earnings growth and 3.00% revenue growth suggest modest expansion
- Forward P/E of 7.04 implies market expects continued profitability
- Recent Q/Q EPS growth of 8.80% shows some momentum
Watchpoints
- Most recent Q/Q EPS growth is -45.9%, indicating sharp contraction
- Average earnings surprise over last 4 quarters is -3.63%, signaling underperformance
- No clear guidance on future growth trajectory
Past
50/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Consistent profitability with 6.27% net margin and 18.34% ROE
- Historical earnings beats in 2021–2022 show strong past performance
- 52-week high of $62.45 indicates prior upside potential
Watchpoints
- Recent earnings misses in 2025 (e.g., -9.1%, -14.7%) suggest deteriorating execution
- 2024-12-10 miss of -22.9% was significant and unexplained
- 21 quarters of data show volatility and inconsistency in earnings delivery
Health
45/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Debt/Equity of 0.87 is moderate, below sector average of 1.65
- Current ratio of 1.71 is acceptable for retail
- No Altman Z-Score available, but no immediate distress signals
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is weak, indicating financial instability
- Quick ratio of 0.25 is dangerously low, suggesting liquidity risk
- No available cash or debt figures limit full health assessment
Dividend
30/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 1.20% is modest but stable
- Payout ratio of 9.19% is extremely conservative, indicating safety
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score of 25/100 reflects low yield and lack of history
- No 5-year average yield or ex-dividend date available
- Low payout ratio suggests no growth or reinvestment focus
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$49.9
Analyst Target
$60.56
Upside/Downside
+21.4%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ASO and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-03-17
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.
Primary
|
+105.3% | -19.2% | +8.0% | +7.9% | -14.8% | -16.8% |
|
CARG
CarGurus, Inc.
Peer
|
+41.0% | +102.4% | +36.8% | -0.7% | +4.1% | +3.5% |
|
PATK
Patrick Industries, Inc.
Peer
|
+91.0% | +135.7% | +32.0% | +4.8% | -10.1% | -13.2% |
|
GEF-B
Greif, Inc.
Peer
|
+73.7% | +21.4% | +50.2% | +37.2% | -1.0% | -6.2% |
|
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
Peer
|
-96.0% | -88.2% | -60.6% | -59.9% | -5.0% | -8.0% |
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+105.3%
3Y
-19.2%
1Y
+8.0%
6M
+7.9%
1M
-14.8%
1W
-16.8%
CAR
CarGurus, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+41.0%
3Y
+102.4%
1Y
+36.8%
6M
-0.7%
1M
+4.1%
1W
+3.5%
PAT
Patrick Industries, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+91.0%
3Y
+135.7%
1Y
+32.0%
6M
+4.8%
1M
-10.1%
1W
-13.2%
GEF
Greif, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+73.7%
3Y
+21.4%
1Y
+50.2%
6M
+37.2%
1M
-1.0%
1W
-6.2%
LCI
Lucid Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-96.0%
3Y
-88.2%
1Y
-60.6%
6M
-59.9%
1M
-5.0%
1W
-8.0%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
9.17
Forward P/E
7.04
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.55
P/S Ratio
0.55
EV/Revenue
0.82
EV/EBITDA
8.01
Market Cap
$3.33B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
6.27%
Operating Margin
7.26%
Gross Margin
34.42%
ROE
18.34%
ROA
5.83%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+3.0%
Earnings Growth
+14.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+8.8%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.87
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.71
Good
Quick Ratio
0.25
Poor
Cash/Share
$4.34
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$1.4B
Gross Margin
35.7%
Op. Margin
7.3%
Net Margin
5.2%
Total Assets
$5.4B
Liabilities
$3.3B
Equity
$2.1B
Debt/Equity
1.52x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-28%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2025-12-09
$1.05
+1.7% surprise
2025-09-02
$1.94
-9.1% surprise
2025-06-10
$0.76
-14.7% surprise
2025-03-20
$1.96
+7.6% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing ASO against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
9.17
This Stock
vs
33.98
Sector Avg
-73.0%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
18.34%
This Stock
vs
-43.92%
Sector Avg
-141.8%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
6.27%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
-216.1%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.87
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
-42.4%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
3.0%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
-89.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.71
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
-30.5%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $3.33B | 9.17 | 18.3% | 6.3% | $49.9 | |
|
CARG
CarGurus, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $3.36B | 17.98 | 43.0% | 17.2% | $35.24 | Compare |
|
PATK
Patrick Industries, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $3.42B | 25.47 | 11.7% | 3.4% | $102.9 | Compare |
|
GEF-B
Greif, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $3.17B | 22.96 | -% | 25.0% | $83.34 | Compare |
|
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $3.12B | - | -66.0% | -199.3% | $9.53 | Compare |
ASO
Academy Sports...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$3.3B
P/E
9.2
ROE
18.3%
Price
$49.9
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | HICKS KENNETH C | Director | Stock Award | 4,047 | - |
| 2026-03-04 | LAWRENCE STEVEN PAUL | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 540 | - |
| 2026-03-04 | JOHNSON SAMUEL J | President | Stock Award | 540 | - |
| 2026-03-04 | MCCABE MATTHEW M. | Officer | Stock Award | 135 | - |
| 2026-03-04 | FORD EARL CARLTON IV | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 135 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | HICKS KENNETH C | Director | Stock Award | 1,245 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | LAWRENCE STEVEN PAUL | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 1,991 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | JOHNSON SAMUEL J | President | Stock Award | 1,991 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | MCCABE MATTHEW M. | Officer | Stock Award | 499 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | FORD EARL CARLTON IV | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 499 | - |
| 2025-12-30 | HICKS KENNETH C | Director | Stock Award | 1,244 | - |
| 2025-12-15 | MARLEY BRIAN T | Director | Sale | 20,571 | $1,136,688 |
| 2025-12-05 | JOHNSON SAMUEL J | President | Stock Award | 1,526 | - |
| 2025-11-28 | HICKS KENNETH C | Director | Stock Award | 1,245 | - |
| 2025-10-30 | HICKS KENNETH C | Director | Stock Award | 1,245 | - |
HICKS KENNETH C
Director
2026-03-04
4,047 shares
LAWRENCE STEVEN PAUL
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-04
540 shares
JOHNSON SAMUEL J
President
2026-03-04
540 shares
MCCABE MATTHEW M.
Officer
2026-03-04
135 shares
FORD EARL CARLTON IV
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-04
135 shares
HICKS KENNETH C
Director
2026-01-30
1,245 shares
LAWRENCE STEVEN PAUL
Chief Executive Officer
2026-01-30
1,991 shares
JOHNSON SAMUEL J
President
2026-01-30
1,991 shares
MCCABE MATTHEW M.
Officer
2026-01-30
499 shares
FORD EARL CARLTON IV
Chief Financial Officer
2026-01-30
499 shares
HICKS KENNETH C
Director
2025-12-30
1,244 shares
MARLEY BRIAN T
Director
2025-12-15
20,571 shares
·
$1,136,688
JOHNSON SAMUEL J
President
2025-12-05
1,526 shares
HICKS KENNETH C
Director
2025-11-28
1,245 shares
HICKS KENNETH C
Director
2025-10-30
1,245 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
18 analysts
Telsey Advisory Group
2026-03-17
Outperform
Outperform
Telsey Advisory Group
2026-03-11
Outperform
Outperform
UBS
2026-03-10
Neutral
Neutral
Evercore ISI Group
2026-02-24
In-Line
In-Line
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-15
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Truist Securities
2025-12-10
Hold
Hold
UBS
2025-12-10
Neutral
Neutral
Barclays
2025-12-10
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Telsey Advisory Group
2025-12-10
Outperform
Outperform
B of A Securities
2025-12-10
Neutral
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ASO from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.