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ASTL Algoma Steel Group Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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ASTL Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Basic Materials Steel
Current Price Live
$4.54
52W High
$8.81
52W Low
$3.02

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Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, indicating borderline stability, and a missing Altman Z-Score, which raises uncertainty around solvency risk. The company is unprofitable across all margins—gross, operating, and net—while reporting negative revenue growth and deeply negative earnings surprises. Valuation metrics appear deceptively cheap with a Price/Book of 0.75 and Price/Sales of 0.22, but these are misleading given the firm's deteriorating fundamentals and lack of earnings power. Despite a 3.42% dividend yield, the poor earnings coverage and declining cash flows cast doubt on sustainability, especially with a technical trend scoring 0/100 indicating strong bearish momentum.

Key Strengths

Current Ratio of 2.29 suggests short-term liquidity is manageable
Dividend yield of 3.42% is above sector average and may attract income seekers
Price/Sales of 0.22 and Price/Book of 0.75 indicate potential deep value if turnaround occurs
Debt/Equity of 0.85 is within moderate range for capital-intensive steel industry
Recent 1-month price increase of +8.9% shows some short-term resilience

Key Risks

Profit Margin of -34.79% and Gross Margin of -18.30% indicate severe operational distress
Revenue Growth (YoY) of -12.70% reflects declining demand or competitive pressures
Forward P/E of -2.66 confirms lack of near-term profitability, increasing valuation risk
Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 is below strong threshold, signaling weak financial momentum
Technical Trend score of 0/100 indicates strong bearish price momentum with no reversal signs

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