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ATHE

BEARISH
$3.55 Live
Alterity Therapeutics Limited · NASDAQ
Target $12.0 (+238.0%)
$2.52 52W Range $7.0

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$64.35M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-43.2%
Profit margin
-223.3%
Debt/Equity
0.0
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and no available Altman Z-Score limits bankruptcy risk assessment. Despite strong revenue growth of 80.90% YoY and a pristine balance sheet with zero debt and a current ratio of 12.98, the company is deeply unprofitable with a profit margin of -223.35% and negative ROE of -43.23%. Valuation metrics are extreme, with a Price/Book of 1038.03 and a negative Forward P/E of -4.49, suggesting significant overvaluation relative to book and earnings. While insider sentiment is moderately positive at 40/100 and analysts project a high target price of $12.00, the lack of profitability, inconsistent cash flow data, and weak technical trend (0/100) raise serious concerns about sustainability.

Key Strengths

Exceptional revenue growth of 80.90% YoY, significantly above sector average of 23.74%
Zero debt with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00, indicating strong capital structure flexibility
Very high liquidity with Current Ratio of 12.98 and Quick Ratio of 12.62
Perfect quarterly earnings surprise record: 2/2 beats with 100% average surprise
Gross margin of 97.66% reflects high-margin biotech business model

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and limited profitability strength
Extremely high valuation: Price/Book of 1038.03 and negative Forward P/E suggest severe overvaluation
Deeply negative profitability: Profit margin of -223.35% and ROE of -43.23% signal ongoing losses
No Altman Z-Score available, creating uncertainty around bankruptcy risk
Lack of cash flow data (Free Cash Flow, Operating Cash Flow = N/A) obscures true financial viability

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
36
Weak
Value
20
Future
65
Past
50
Health
45
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High-risk speculative biotech with unsustainable valuation and weak profitability despite strong growth and clean balance sheet
Key drivers: Revenue growth (positive), Profitability metrics (negative), Valuation multiples (negative), Piotroski F-Score (negative), Liquidity position (positive)
Confidence
70%
Value
20/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Graham Number not applicable due to unprofitability
Watchpoints
  • Price/Book of 1038.03 is extremely elevated
  • Forward P/E of -4.49 indicates negative earnings
  • No meaningful intrinsic value calculation possible due to losses
Future
65/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue growth of 80.90% YoY is robust
  • Analyst target price of $12.00 implies 239% upside
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth data unavailable
  • No visibility on path to profitability
Past
50/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Perfect earnings surprise history (2/2 beats)
  • 1Y price return of +6.3% outperforms sector median
Watchpoints
  • 5Y price change of -80.8% indicates long-term underperformance
  • 6M return of -45.8% shows recent volatility and weakness
Health
45/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.00 eliminates leverage risk
  • Current and Quick Ratios above 12 indicate exceptional short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 reflects weak financial health
  • No Altman Z-Score available for distress risk assessment
  • ROE of -43.23% and ROA of -28.09% indicate poor asset utilization
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength of 0/100
  • No dividend yield or payout history

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$3.55
Analyst Target
$12.0
Upside/Downside
+238.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ATHE and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
ATH
Alterity Therapeutics Limited
Primary
5Y
-80.8%
3Y
-8.5%
1Y
+6.3%
6M
-45.8%
1M
+14.5%
1W
+2.9%
XGN
Exagen Inc.
Peer
5Y
-83.8%
3Y
+7.2%
1Y
-53.1%
6M
-77.5%
1M
-2.2%
1W
-12.1%
ICC
ImmuCell Corporation
Peer
5Y
-21.2%
3Y
+44.8%
1Y
+39.6%
6M
+4.1%
1M
+6.5%
1W
+9.9%
NSP
InspireMD, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-78.0%
3Y
+31.1%
1Y
-45.1%
6M
-43.3%
1M
-17.7%
1W
-1.5%
FOR
Forian Inc.
Peer
5Y
-82.8%
3Y
-35.5%
1Y
+13.5%
6M
-7.0%
1M
+2.9%
1W
+1.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-4.49
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1038.03
P/S Ratio
11.83
EV/Revenue
6003.13
EV/EBITDA
-2231.26
Market Cap
$64.35M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -223.35%
Operating Margin -185.73%
Gross Margin 97.66%
ROE -43.23%
ROA -28.09%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +80.9%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.0
Low debt
Current Ratio
12.98
Strong
Quick Ratio
12.62
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.0

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2015-08-25
$N/A
+100.0% surprise
2013-02-26
$N/A
+100.0% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing ATHE against 560 companies in the Healthcare sector (34 bullish, 167 neutral, 359 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-43.23%
This Stock
vs
-88.14%
Sector Avg
-51.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-223.35%
This Stock
vs
-16.28%
Sector Avg
+1271.9% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.0
This Stock
vs
2.66
Sector Avg
-99.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
80.9%
This Stock
vs
124.04%
Sector Avg
-34.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
12.98
This Stock
vs
4.47
Sector Avg
+190.0% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
1 analysts
Canaccord Genuity
2025-12-17
init
Speculative Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ATHE from our newsroom.

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