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ATLC

NEUTRAL
$47.96 Live
Atlanticus Holdings Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $90.4 (+88.5%)
$41.37 52W Range $78.91

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$726.19M
P/E
8.52
ROE
19.7%
Profit margin
21.9%
Debt/Equity
10.16
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
78%
ATLC's Piotroski F-Score of 4 indicates a borderline stable financial health, falling short of strong fundamentals. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about bankruptcy risk, particularly given a dangerously high Debt/Equity ratio of 10.16. Despite strong profitability metrics—21.93% profit margin and 19.72% ROE—the company trades at a forward P/E of just 3.64, suggesting market skepticism or deep value positioning. The stock is significantly undervalued relative to its Graham Number ($71.88) and intrinsic value ($166.09), but this may reflect underlying financial fragility. Analysts remain optimistic with a strong_buy consensus, though insider selling and weak technical momentum temper enthusiasm.

Key Strengths

High profitability with 21.93% profit margin and 26.28% operating margin
Strong revenue growth of 50.10% YoY and 25.00% earnings growth
Significant undervaluation relative to Graham Number ($71.88) and intrinsic value ($166.09)
Consistent earnings beat rate over the last 4 quarters (2 out of 4) with positive average surprise of 3.29%
Attractive forward P/E of 3.64, well below sector average of 30.37

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4 indicates weak financial health; below threshold for strong stability
Debt/Equity ratio of 10.16 is extremely high and unsustainable for a financial services firm
No Altman Z-Score available; absence of distress risk model raises red flags for bankruptcy risk
Insider selling activity (1 transaction, $0.10M) with no buys in last 6 months signals bearish sentiment
Technical trend is 0/100 (bearish), with 6-month return of -33.5% and 1-month drop of -13.0%
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$166.09
+246.3% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
53
Moderate
Value
85
Future
78
Past
62
Health
40
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
neutral
Key drivers: High growth and profitability metrics, Extremely low forward P/E and undervaluation, High financial leverage and weak Piotroski score, Absence of Altman Z-Score and insider selling
Confidence
78%
Value
85/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Current price ($47.96) is 32% below Graham Number ($71.88)
  • Intrinsic value estimate ($166.09) implies significant upside potential
  • Forward P/E of 3.64 is deeply undervalued vs. sector average of 30.37
Watchpoints
  • High growth expectations may be priced in, limiting margin of safety
  • Undervaluation may reflect legitimate risk, not opportunity
Future
78/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 50.10% YoY revenue growth and 25.00% earnings growth indicate strong momentum
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth of 44.6% suggests accelerating performance
  • Analyst target price of $90.40 implies 90% upside from current levels
Watchpoints
  • No PEG ratio available, limiting growth-adjusted valuation analysis
  • High leverage could constrain future investment and growth
Past
62/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 25 consecutive quarters of earnings data show consistent reporting
  • Multiple quarters with positive earnings surprises (e.g., +22.4%, +24.4%)
Watchpoints
  • Significant misses in 2025-11-10 (-24.1%) and 2023-03-14 (-35.5%) indicate volatility
  • Historical losses in 2010–2011 suggest cyclical or structural challenges
Health
40/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • High ROE (19.72%) and strong operating margin (26.28%)
  • Current and quick ratios (5.95 and 5.79) suggest strong liquidity
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4 is below threshold for strong health (7-9)
  • Debt/Equity of 10.16 is dangerously high for a financial services firm
  • No Altman Z-Score available; inability to assess bankruptcy risk is a major red flag
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield or payout ratio (0.00%)
  • Dividend strength score of 0/100 indicates no income component

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$47.96
Analyst Target
$90.4
Upside/Downside
+88.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ATLC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-13
ATL
Atlanticus Holdings Corporation
Primary
5Y
+56.2%
3Y
+84.3%
1Y
+9.7%
6M
-33.5%
1M
-13.0%
1W
-12.5%
BTO
John Hancock Financial Opportunities Fund
Peer
5Y
+64.7%
3Y
+35.4%
1Y
+7.9%
6M
+6.5%
1M
+3.0%
1W
+2.1%
ASG
Abrdn Global Infrastructure Income Fund
Peer
5Y
+81.9%
3Y
+71.2%
1Y
+44.0%
6M
+13.2%
1M
+0.7%
1W
+4.0%
IBC
Independent Bank Corporation
Peer
5Y
+71.8%
3Y
+127.0%
1Y
+24.4%
6M
+15.9%
1M
+4.9%
1W
+3.1%
SPF
South Plains Financial, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+109.2%
3Y
+121.3%
1Y
+29.4%
6M
+17.4%
1M
+4.8%
1W
-1.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
8.52
Forward P/E
3.64
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.18
P/S Ratio
1.3
EV/Revenue
11.97
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$726.19M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 21.93%
Operating Margin 26.28%
Gross Margin 71.13%
ROE 19.72%
ROA 2.21%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +50.1%
Earnings Growth +25.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +12.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
10.16
High debt
Current Ratio
5.95
Strong
Quick Ratio
5.79
Excellent
Cash/Share
$41.63

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q3 2025

Revenue
$0.1B
Net Margin
24.2%
Total Assets
$7.1B
Liabilities
$6.5B
Equity
$0.6B
Debt/Equity
11.02x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-03-12
$1.75
+11.6% surprise
2025-11-10
$1.21
-24.1% surprise
2025-08-07
$1.51
+22.4% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing ATLC against 820 companies in the Financial Services sector (141 bullish, 351 neutral, 328 bearish)
P/E Ratio
8.52
This Stock
vs
36.01
Sector Avg
-76.3% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
19.72%
This Stock
vs
-0.73%
Sector Avg
-2791.2% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
21.93%
This Stock
vs
91.62%
Sector Avg
-76.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
10.16
This Stock
vs
1.36
Sector Avg
+647.9% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
50.1%
This Stock
vs
35.27%
Sector Avg
+42.1% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
5.95
This Stock
vs
3.18
Sector Avg
+87.2% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

HUDSON DEAL W
Director
Sell
2026-01-13
1,675 shares · $100,031
MATTINGLY MACK F
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
1,050 shares
HUDSON DEAL W
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
1,050 shares
JONES JOANN G.
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
1,050 shares
HARROD DENISE M
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
1,050 shares
JAMES DENNIS H JR
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
1,050 shares
HANNA DAVID G
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
Gift
2025-12-11
10,000 shares
MCCAMEY WILLIAM R
Chief Financial Officer
Option Exercise
2025-11-11
1,000 shares · $15,300
SAUNDERS MITCHELL
Officer
Option Exercise
2025-11-10
1,000 shares · $15,300
HOWARD JEFFREY A
Chief Executive Officer
Option Exercise
2025-11-07
1,000 shares · $15,300
HANNA DAVID G
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
Option Exercise
2025-10-23
1,000 shares · $15,300
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
5 analysts
Citizens
2025-12-11
Maintains
Market Outperform Market Outperform
BTIG
2025-10-27
reit
Buy Buy
JMP Securities
2025-09-18
Maintains
Market Outperform Market Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ATLC from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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