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ATNI ATN International, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL
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ATNI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Communication Services Telecom Services
Current Price Live
$22.78
Analyst Target
$39.0
+71.2% Upside
52W High
$23.76
52W Low
$13.76

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$347.56M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-1.9%
Profit margin
-1.1%
Debt/Equity
1.1
Dividend yield
4.53%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals significant financial health concerns, with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9 indicating weak operational and balance sheet trends. Despite a high dividend strength and recent strong price momentum, profitability remains inconsistent, with negative net margins and ROE, while the Altman Z-Score is unavailable, leaving bankruptcy risk unconfirmed but plausible. Valuation metrics suggest potential cheapness on a price/book and price/sales basis, yet forward P/E of 63.28 implies aggressive growth expectations not yet supported by earnings stability. The stock's recent 1Y surge of +56.2% contrasts sharply with a 5Y decline of -44.6%, reflecting volatility rather than sustainable value creation.

Key Strengths

High dividend yield of 4.53% with a payout ratio of 68.69%, suggesting sustainability relative to earnings
Recent quarterly EPS growth acceleration: +280.0% Q/Q and +108.0% YoY, indicating strong earnings rebound
Gross margin of 56.37% is robust for the telecom services sector, reflecting pricing power or low-cost structure
Price/Sales of 0.48 and Price/Book of 0.75 suggest potential undervaluation relative to assets and revenue
Analyst target price of $39.00 implies 71% upside, signaling strong external optimism

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress, with poor profitability, leverage, and earnings consistency
Negative profit margin (-1.11%) and ROE (-1.90%) reflect ongoing unprofitability and inefficient equity use
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.10 is elevated, increasing financial risk, especially with unstable earnings
Extreme earnings volatility: multiple large negative surprises (e.g., -786.3% in Oct 2024) undermine predictability
Only one analyst covering the stock, leading to low-confidence consensus and limited market scrutiny
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$32.5
+42.7% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
58
Moderate
Value
70
Future
68
Past
45
Health
30
Dividend
75
AI Verdict
Cautiously optimistic due to valuation and growth rebound, but constrained by weak financial health and earnings instability
Key drivers: High analyst target implies upside, Recent EPS growth acceleration, Low valuation multiples, Earnings volatility, Poor Piotroski score
Confidence
65%
Value
70/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Price/Book of 0.75 < 1.0 suggests asset-backed floor
  • Price/Sales of 0.48 is well below sector average of 1.0+
  • Forward P/E of 63.28 may be misleading due to depressed earnings base
Watchpoints
  • P/E is N/A due to negative earnings, limiting comparability
  • No Graham Number available, reducing confidence in defensive value
Future
68/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • YoY revenue growth of 2.60% is positive despite sector headwinds
  • Recent EPS growth of +108.0% YoY and +280.0% Q/Q shows strong rebound
  • Analyst target implies high growth expectations
Watchpoints
  • Forward P/E of 63.28 is extremely high, pricing in perfection
  • Earnings growth history is erratic, not trended
Past
45/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Some quarters show massive positive earnings surprises (e.g., +535% in 2021)
  • Long-term price decline may have reset expectations
Watchpoints
  • 19 of 25 quarters missed or barely beat estimates
  • 5Y price return of -44.6% shows prolonged underperformance
  • History of large negative earnings surprises (e.g., -786% in 2024)
Health
30/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current Ratio of 1.26 and Quick Ratio of 0.91 indicate short-term liquidity adequacy
  • Operating margin of 7.99% shows some operational efficiency
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals critical financial weakness
  • ROE of -1.90% and negative net margin indicate capital destruction
  • Debt/Equity of 1.10 is high given unstable earnings
Dividend
75/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 4.53% is attractive in current rate environment
  • Payout ratio of 68.69% is sustainable if earnings stabilize
  • Dividend Strength score of 70/100 supports reliability
Watchpoints
  • Negative earnings raise concerns about dividend coverage
  • No 5-year average yield data to assess consistency

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$22.78
Analyst Target
$39.0
Upside/Downside
+71.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ATNI and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
ATNI
ATN International, Inc.
Primary
-44.6% -45.8% +56.2% +31.7% +2.9% +1.1%
AENT
Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation
Peer
-30.5% +50.7% +98.8% +3.4% -1.3% -3.7%
ANGI
Angi Inc.
Peer
-95.6% -68.8% -51.4% -56.9% -19.7% -16.2%
AMCX
AMC Networks Inc.
Peer
-90.5% -56.5% +6.3% -12.4% -3.9% -13.1%
ATEX
Anterix Inc.
Peer
-41.5% -35.5% -19.3% +12.3% +6.6% -5.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
63.28
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.75
P/S Ratio
0.48
EV/Revenue
1.58
EV/EBITDA
6.42
Market Cap
$347.56M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -1.11%
Operating Margin 7.99%
Gross Margin 56.37%
ROE -1.9%
ROA 1.44%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +2.6%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.1
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.26
Good
Quick Ratio
0.91
Poor
Cash/Share
$7.12

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-03-03
$N/A
2025-11-05
$0.18
+400.0% surprise
2025-08-07
$-0.1
-40.4% surprise
2025-04-30
$-0.33
-229.0% surprise

Communication Services Sector Comparison

Comparing ATNI against 36 companies in the Communication Services sector (0 bullish, 18 neutral, 18 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-1.9%
This Stock
vs
-7.47%
Sector Avg
-74.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-1.11%
This Stock
vs
40.35%
Sector Avg
-102.8% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.1
This Stock
vs
1.12
Sector Avg
-1.7% (Lower)
Revenue Growth
2.6%
This Stock
vs
28.6%
Sector Avg
-90.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.26
This Stock
vs
2.2
Sector Avg
-42.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
ATNI
ATN International, Inc.
NEUTRAL $347.56M - -1.9% -1.1% $22.78
AENT
Alliance Entertainment...
NEUTRAL $345.49M 15.77 20.5% 2.1% $6.78
ANGI
Angi Inc.
BEARISH $318.88M 7.86 4.4% 4.3% $7.39
AMCX
AMC Networks Inc.
BEARISH $313.83M 4.34 10.4% 3.9% $7.21
ATEX
Anterix Inc.
BEARISH $446.19M 4.72 50.4% 1614.1% $23.81

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ATNI from our newsroom.

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