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AUGO

BEARISH
$68.3 Live
Aura Minerals Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $56.93 (-16.6%)
$22.24 52W Range $70.46

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$5.71B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-15.5%
Profit margin
-5.6%
Debt/Equity
1.41
Dividend yield
2.11%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
75%
The deterministic health scores raise significant concerns, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal financial health and no available Altman Z-Score to confirm safety from distress. Despite strong revenue growth and high operating margins, the company reports negative profit margins and ROE, alongside a dangerously high payout ratio of 780%, suggesting dividends are unsustainable. The stock trades at a steep valuation premium with a Price/Book of 17.69 and Forward P/E of 12.98, while recent earnings have consistently missed estimates—0 out of the last 4 beats and an average surprise of -86.59%. Although analyst consensus is 'strong_buy', price momentum appears disconnected from fundamentals, increasing downside risk.

Key Strengths

Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 58.70%, significantly above sector average of 16.86%
Exceptionally high operating and gross margins (53.82% and 53.54%, respectively), indicating efficient cost control
Solid balance sheet liquidity with Current Ratio of 1.62 and Quick Ratio of 1.33
High analyst recommendation consensus of 'strong_buy' with 9 analysts supporting
Impressive 1-year price performance of +185.0%, reflecting strong market sentiment

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, particularly concerning given negative profitability metrics
No Altman Z-Score available, leaving bankruptcy risk unverified and a critical data gap
Extremely high dividend payout ratio of 780%, signaling unsustainable distributions
Negative profit margin (-5.55%) and ROE (-15.50%) despite revenue growth, indicating underlying profitability issues
Consistent and severe earnings misses: 0/4 beats in last 4 quarters with average surprise of -86.59%
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$45.2
-33.8% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
38
Weak
Value
30
Future
55
Past
38
Health
40
Dividend
25
AI Verdict
Overvalued with deteriorating fundamentals
Key drivers: High valuation multiples despite weak profitability, Negative earnings surprises and declining EPS, Unsustainable dividend policy, Lack of Altman Z-Score for financial distress assessment, Strong revenue growth not translating to bottom-line profits
Confidence
78%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 12.98 is below sector average P/E of 29.27
Watchpoints
  • Price/Book of 17.69 is extremely high, suggesting overvaluation
  • No Graham Number available, limiting defensive valuation benchmark
  • Stock trades at premium without strong earnings support
Future
55/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue Growth (YoY) of 58.70% is robust and well above peer average
  • Analyst target suggests growth expectations are priced in
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth is flat (YoY EPS growth: 0.0%)
  • Q/Q EPS declined by 58.8%, signaling weakening momentum
  • No recent earnings data to confirm growth sustainability
Past
38/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Historical price performance is strong: +185% over 1Y, 3Y, and 5Y
Watchpoints
  • Long history of earnings misses, especially in recent quarters
  • Negative EPS surprises in 15 of last 19 quarters
  • Inconsistent profitability track record over the past decade
Health
40/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current and Quick Ratios indicate short-term liquidity is adequate
  • Debt/Equity of 1.41 is manageable but elevated
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 reflects weak financial health
  • No Altman Z-Score provided, creating a critical blind spot
  • Negative ROE (-15.50%) and profit margin (-5.55%)
Dividend
25/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend Yield of 2.11% is modestly attractive in current rate environment
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 780% is dangerously high and unsustainable
  • Dividend Strength score of 20/100 indicates weak dividend safety
  • No visibility on dividend continuity given negative earnings

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$68.3
Analyst Target
$56.93
Upside/Downside
-16.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AUGO and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
AUG
Aura Minerals Inc.
Primary
5Y
+185.0%
3Y
+185.0%
1Y
+185.0%
6M
+173.8%
1M
+31.9%
1W
+13.4%
CLF
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.
Peer
5Y
-48.4%
3Y
-36.1%
1Y
+23.4%
6M
-25.7%
1M
+14.3%
1W
-1.8%
UFP
UFP Industries, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+29.6%
3Y
+24.0%
1Y
-5.3%
6M
+3.9%
1M
+7.6%
1W
+0.1%
BCP
Balchem Corporation
Peer
5Y
+45.9%
3Y
+30.9%
1Y
+3.9%
6M
+13.3%
1M
+6.7%
1W
-0.7%
SSR
SSR Mining Inc.
Peer
5Y
+106.4%
3Y
+110.4%
1Y
+192.9%
6M
+33.7%
1M
+23.1%
1W
-4.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
12.98
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
17.69
P/S Ratio
7.39
EV/Revenue
7.53
EV/EBITDA
14.18
Market Cap
$5.71B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -5.55%
Operating Margin 53.82%
Gross Margin 53.54%
ROE -15.5%
ROA 18.48%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +58.7%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.41
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.62
Good
Quick Ratio
1.33
Good
Cash/Share
$4.21

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-26
$N/A
2025-11-04
$0.07
-91.8% surprise
2023-02-27
$0.17
-67.9% surprise
2022-11-09
$N/A
-100.0% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing AUGO against 143 companies in the Basic Materials sector (14 bullish, 54 neutral, 75 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-15.5%
This Stock
vs
-6.64%
Sector Avg
+133.4% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
-5.55%
This Stock
vs
-5.75%
Sector Avg
-3.5% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.41
This Stock
vs
0.89
Sector Avg
+58.9% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
58.7%
This Stock
vs
36.56%
Sector Avg
+60.5% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.62
This Stock
vs
5.16
Sector Avg
-68.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
9 analysts
Goldman Sachs
2025-12-03
Maintains
Buy Buy
B of A Securities
2025-10-16
Maintains
Buy Buy
Goldman Sachs
2025-10-13
init
Buy
B of A Securities
2025-09-22
init
Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AUGO from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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