AUGO Aura Minerals Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AUGO Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Basic Materials
Gold
Current Price
Live
$68.3
Analyst Target
$56.93
-16.6%
Downside
52W High
$70.46
52W Low
$22.24
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$5.71B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-15.5%
Profit margin
-5.6%
Debt/Equity
1.41
Dividend yield
2.11%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
75%
Analysis Accuracy
The deterministic health scores raise significant concerns, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal financial health and no available Altman Z-Score to confirm safety from distress. Despite strong revenue growth and high operating margins, the company reports negative profit margins and ROE, alongside a dangerously high payout ratio of 780%, suggesting dividends are unsustainable. The stock trades at a steep valuation premium with a Price/Book of 17.69 and Forward P/E of 12.98, while recent earnings have consistently missed estimates—0 out of the last 4 beats and an average surprise of -86.59%. Although analyst consensus is 'strong_buy', price momentum appears disconnected from fundamentals, increasing downside risk.
Key Strengths
Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 58.70%, significantly above sector average of 16.86%
Exceptionally high operating and gross margins (53.82% and 53.54%, respectively), indicating efficient cost control
Solid balance sheet liquidity with Current Ratio of 1.62 and Quick Ratio of 1.33
High analyst recommendation consensus of 'strong_buy' with 9 analysts supporting
Impressive 1-year price performance of +185.0%, reflecting strong market sentiment
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, particularly concerning given negative profitability metrics
No Altman Z-Score available, leaving bankruptcy risk unverified and a critical data gap
Extremely high dividend payout ratio of 780%, signaling unsustainable distributions
Negative profit margin (-5.55%) and ROE (-15.50%) despite revenue growth, indicating underlying profitability issues
Consistent and severe earnings misses: 0/4 beats in last 4 quarters with average surprise of -86.59%
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$45.2
-33.8% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
38
Weak
30
55
38
40
25
AI Verdict
Overvalued with deteriorating fundamentals
Key drivers: High valuation multiples despite weak profitability, Negative earnings surprises and declining EPS, Unsustainable dividend policy, Lack of Altman Z-Score for financial distress assessment, Strong revenue growth not translating to bottom-line profits
Confidence
78%
Value
30/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 12.98 is below sector average P/E of 29.27
Watchpoints
- Price/Book of 17.69 is extremely high, suggesting overvaluation
- No Graham Number available, limiting defensive valuation benchmark
- Stock trades at premium without strong earnings support
Future
55/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Revenue Growth (YoY) of 58.70% is robust and well above peer average
- Analyst target suggests growth expectations are priced in
Watchpoints
- Earnings growth is flat (YoY EPS growth: 0.0%)
- Q/Q EPS declined by 58.8%, signaling weakening momentum
- No recent earnings data to confirm growth sustainability
Past
38/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Historical price performance is strong: +185% over 1Y, 3Y, and 5Y
Watchpoints
- Long history of earnings misses, especially in recent quarters
- Negative EPS surprises in 15 of last 19 quarters
- Inconsistent profitability track record over the past decade
Health
40/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current and Quick Ratios indicate short-term liquidity is adequate
- Debt/Equity of 1.41 is manageable but elevated
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 reflects weak financial health
- No Altman Z-Score provided, creating a critical blind spot
- Negative ROE (-15.50%) and profit margin (-5.55%)
Dividend
25/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend Yield of 2.11% is modestly attractive in current rate environment
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 780% is dangerously high and unsustainable
- Dividend Strength score of 20/100 indicates weak dividend safety
- No visibility on dividend continuity given negative earnings
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$68.3
Analyst Target
$56.93
Upside/Downside
-16.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AUGO and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AUGO
Aura Minerals Inc.
Primary
|
+185.0% | +185.0% | +185.0% | +173.8% | +31.9% | +13.4% |
|
BCPC
Balchem Corporation
Peer
|
+45.9% | +30.9% | +3.9% | +13.3% | +6.7% | -0.7% |
|
ALM
Almonty Industries Inc.
Peer
|
+830.3% | +1788.7% | +749.0% | +341.1% | +38.8% | +5.1% |
|
AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.
Peer
|
+21.2% | +22.1% | -8.8% | +13.8% | +4.1% | +0.1% |
|
AAUC
Allied Gold Corporation
Peer
|
+341.5% | +341.5% | +272.8% | +127.9% | +24.3% | +10.1% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
12.98
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
17.69
P/S Ratio
7.39
EV/Revenue
7.53
EV/EBITDA
14.18
Market Cap
$5.71B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-5.55%
Operating Margin
53.82%
Gross Margin
53.54%
ROE
-15.5%
ROA
18.48%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+58.7%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.41
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.62
Good
Quick Ratio
1.33
Good
Cash/Share
$4.21
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-26
$N/A
2025-11-04
$0.07
-91.8% surprise
2023-02-27
$0.17
-67.9% surprise
2022-11-09
$N/A
-100.0% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing AUGO against 41 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(1 bullish, 21 neutral, 19 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-15.5%
This Stock
vs
0.39%
Sector Avg
-4026.3%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-5.55%
This Stock
vs
-2.52%
Sector Avg
+120.0%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.41
This Stock
vs
0.61
Sector Avg
+133.4%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
58.7%
This Stock
vs
14.81%
Sector Avg
+296.4%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.62
This Stock
vs
2.28
Sector Avg
-29.1%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AUGO
Aura Minerals Inc.
|
BEARISH | $5.71B | - | -15.5% | -5.6% | $68.3 | |
|
BCPC
Balchem Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $5.44B | 36.74 | 12.1% | 14.7% | $167.54 | |
|
ALM
Almonty Industries Inc.
|
BEARISH | $5.05B | - | -57.3% | -216.3% | $19.68 | |
|
AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.
|
NEUTRAL | $7.17B | 16.32 | 21.3% | 8.8% | $33.62 | |
|
AAUC
Allied Gold Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $3.79B | - | 2.6% | -3.6% | $30.4 |
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
9 analysts
Goldman Sachs
2025-12-03
Buy
Buy
B of A Securities
2025-10-16
Buy
Buy
Goldman Sachs
2025-10-13
Buy
B of A Securities
2025-09-22
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AUGO from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.