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AUPH Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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AUPH Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Healthcare Biotechnology
Current Price Live
$14.53
Analyst Target
$16.67
+14.7% Upside
52W High
$16.54
52W Low
$6.55

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$1.92B
P/E
26.42
ROE
20.7%
Profit margin
29.3%
Debt/Equity
0.21
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
68%
Analysis Accuracy
AUPH exhibits mixed financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating stable but not strong fundamentals, and no available Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The company shows robust profitability (ROE: 20.65%, Gross Margin: 80.16%) and strong recent earnings growth (YoY EPS +130%), yet trades above its Graham Number of $5.86 at a current price of $14.53, supported by a forward P/E of 15.54 that reflects growth optimism. Insider activity is bearish with recent selling, and technical trend is weak at 10/100, offsetting positive momentum from 1Y return of +81%. Analyst target of $16.67 suggests upside potential, but limited analyst coverage (6) and missing financial data constrain conviction.

Key Strengths

Strong profitability metrics: Gross Margin of 80.16%, Operating Margin of 40.49%, and ROE of 20.65% signal efficient operations.
Exceptional earnings growth: YoY EPS growth of 130% and Q/Q EPS growth of 119.9% reflect accelerating profitability.
Solid balance sheet: Current Ratio of 5.76 and Quick Ratio of 5.02 indicate strong liquidity and low near-term financial risk.
Low leverage: Debt/Equity ratio of 0.21 suggests conservative capital structure and low default risk.
Revenue visibility: Consistent revenue growth (8.40% YoY) and a history of earnings beats (3 out of last 4 quarters) enhance predictability.

Key Risks

Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates suboptimal financial strength, particularly in earnings stability and leverage trends.
Missing key financial data (Total Cash, Debt, EV, ROIC, Free Cash Flow) limits comprehensive health assessment and raises transparency concerns.
Bearish insider sentiment: Net selling of $0.21M by an officer in the last 6 months suggests lack of confidence at the executive level.
Overvaluation relative to defensive metrics: Current price of $14.53 is significantly above Graham Number of $5.86, implying high growth dependency.
Weak technical trend: Technical score of 10/100 and recent 1-month decline of -10.7% signal deteriorating market sentiment.
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$16.23
+11.7% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
51
Moderate
Value
52
Future
78
Past
66
Health
58
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Cautiously optimistic with data gaps and mixed signals
Key drivers: High profitability and earnings growth, Low debt and strong liquidity, Bearish insider activity, Missing financial data, Overvaluation relative to Graham metric
Confidence
70%
Value
52/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 15.54 is reasonable for a growth-stage biotech
  • Trading below analyst target of $16.67
Watchpoints
  • Current price ($14.53) is 147% above Graham Number ($5.86)
  • P/E of 26.42 is high relative to earnings stability
Future
78/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • YoY Earnings Growth of 130.00%
  • Q/Q Earnings Growth of 119.90%
  • Forward P/E compression suggests improving efficiency
Watchpoints
  • PEG Ratio not available, limiting growth-adjusted valuation
Past
66/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • History of earnings beats: 3 of last 4 quarters exceeded estimates
  • Average earnings surprise of 37.61% over last 4 quarters
  • Progression from losses to profitability since 2022
Watchpoints
  • Inconsistent quarterly performance with prior losses and volatility
Health
58/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable, not weak, financial condition
  • Current Ratio (5.76) and Quick Ratio (5.02) are excellent
  • Debt/Equity of 0.21 is very low
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski score below 7 signals suboptimal financial strength
  • No Altman Z-Score available for distress risk analysis
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend policy: Dividend Strength 0/100, Yield N/A, Payout Ratio 0%

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$14.53
Analyst Target
$16.67
Upside/Downside
+14.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AUPH and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
AUPH
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Primary
-22.4% +77.0% +81.0% +62.7% -10.7% -2.1%
ATRC
AtriCure, Inc.
Peer
-33.0% -7.6% -3.2% +24.0% -3.6% +0.0%
ADUS
Addus HomeCare Corporation
Peer
-6.0% +1.0% +11.6% -8.1% -10.1% -1.8%
ANAB
AnaptysBio, Inc.
Peer
+227.2% +183.1% +284.9% +177.0% +17.3% +17.0%
AZTA
Azenta, Inc.
Peer
-50.6% -29.6% -26.9% +16.3% +16.1% +0.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
26.42
Forward P/E
15.54
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.24
P/S Ratio
7.21
EV/Revenue
6.18
EV/EBITDA
16.33
Market Cap
$1.92B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 29.28%
Operating Margin 40.49%
Gross Margin 80.16%
ROE 20.65%
ROA 9.41%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +8.4%
Earnings Growth +130.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +119.9%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.21
Low debt
Current Ratio
5.76
Strong
Quick Ratio
5.02
Excellent
Cash/Share
$2.67

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-26
$N/A
2025-11-04
$0.23
+43.8% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.16
+9.1% surprise
2025-05-12
$0.16
+60.0% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing AUPH against 147 companies in the Healthcare sector (10 bullish, 55 neutral, 82 bearish)
P/E Ratio
26.42
This Stock
vs
164.56
Sector Avg
-83.9% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
20.65%
This Stock
vs
-52.77%
Sector Avg
-139.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
29.28%
This Stock
vs
-20.78%
Sector Avg
-240.9% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.21
This Stock
vs
6.16
Sector Avg
-96.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
8.4%
This Stock
vs
137.39%
Sector Avg
-93.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
5.76
This Stock
vs
3.36
Sector Avg
+71.3% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
AUPH
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc.
NEUTRAL $1.92B 26.42 20.7% 29.3% $14.53
ATRC
AtriCure, Inc.
NEUTRAL $1.94B - -6.1% -5.6% $39.07
ADUS
Addus HomeCare Corporation
NEUTRAL $1.88B 19.42 9.3% 6.7% $101.35
ANAB
AnaptysBio, Inc.
BULLISH $1.86B - -24.5% -5.6% $64.81
AZTA
Azenta, Inc.
NEUTRAL $1.84B 77.02 1.4% -9.4% $40.05

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2026-01-02 MILLER JOSEPH M Chief Financial Officer Stock Award 49,038 -
2026-01-02 GREENLEAF PETER S Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 165,384 -
2026-01-02 DONLEY MATTHEW MAXWELL Chief Operating Officer Stock Award 54,166 -
2026-01-02 ROBERTSON STEPHEN P General Counsel Stock Award 48,558 -
2025-08-05 TANG KEVIN C Director Purchase 1,300,000 $13,590,000
2025-08-01 KEENAN GREG Officer Sale 20,000 $210,000
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
6 analysts
Leerink Partners
2025-12-03
down
Outperform Market Perform
Jefferies
2025-11-07
up
Hold Buy
RBC Capital
2025-11-05
down
Outperform Sector Perform
RBC Capital
2025-08-01
Maintains
Outperform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AUPH from our newsroom.

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