AVBH Avidbank Holdings, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AVBH Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Financial Services
Banks - Regional
Current Price
Live
$27.58
Analyst Target
$31.62
+14.7%
Upside
52W High
$27.99
52W Low
$19.75
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals significant concerns: a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates marginal financial health, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite a current price of $27.58, profitability metrics are deeply problematic with a -90.58% profit margin and negative ROE/ROA, undermining valuation appeal. Although the stock has delivered strong price performance over the past year (+34.9%), this is not supported by consistent earnings growth or cash flow visibility. The high P/E relative to peers and deteriorating recent earnings trends further suggest overvaluation and weakening fundamentals.
Key Strengths
Recent price performance has been strong, with a 1-year return of +34.9% and 5-year return of +48.3%, indicating investor interest.
Forward P/E of 8.69 suggests potential earnings improvement expectations, below current P/E of 12.10.
Analyst target price of $31.62 implies ~14.6% upside, indicating some external optimism.
Operating margin of 134.08% is unusually high, possibly reflecting low operating expenses relative to revenue, though this may be an accounting anomaly.
Quarterly earnings have beaten estimates in 10 of the last 17 quarters, showing intermittent execution capability.
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health, particularly concerning for a financial institution where stability is critical.
Profit margin of -90.58% and ROE of -8.68% indicate severe unprofitability and poor capital efficiency.
Missing financial data (Debt/Equity, Cash, Debt, EV, ROIC) raises transparency concerns and limits risk assessment.
Recent earnings momentum is deteriorating: last 4 quarters show only 1 beat with an average surprise of just 5.4% and negative YoY EPS growth of -6.5%.
Technical trend score of 10/100 signals strong bearish momentum despite recent price appreciation, suggesting potential reversal risk.
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$15.96
-42.1% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare AVBH against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
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