AVO Mission Produce, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
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AVO Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Consumer Defensive
Food Distribution
Current Price
Live
$13.46
Analyst Target
$17.33
+28.8%
Upside
52W High
$14.23
52W Low
$9.56
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
The company exhibits a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability. Despite this, Mission Produce has demonstrated strong recent earnings surprises and positive short-term momentum, with a bullish analyst recommendation and significant EPS growth acceleration. However, declining revenue, low profitability margins, and lack of Altman Z-Score data raise concerns about long-term sustainability. The stock trades above its Graham Number of $9.96 at $13.46, suggesting potential overvaluation relative to defensive value standards, though forward P/E of 16.72 implies improving earnings expectations.
Key Strengths
Strong recent earnings surprise streak: 3 out of last 4 quarters beat estimates with an average surprise of 77.42%
Improving earnings momentum: YoY EPS growth of +10.7% and Q/Q EPS growth of +19.2%
Healthy balance sheet: Current ratio of 1.95 and quick ratio of 1.25 indicate solid short-term liquidity
Low leverage: Debt/Equity ratio of 0.32 is well below sector average of 2.06
Bullish analyst sentiment: Strong buy consensus from 3 analysts with a target price of $17.33
Key Risks
Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests suboptimal financial health and limited strength across profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency
Revenue contraction: YoY revenue growth of -10.00% indicates top-line pressure despite earnings growth
Low profitability: Profit margin of 2.71% and ROE of 6.77% lag significantly behind sector averages of 0.36% and 26.66% respectively
Missing Altman Z-Score prevents definitive solvency assessment, creating uncertainty around distress risk
Overvaluation risk: Current price of $13.46 exceeds Graham Number ($9.96) and intrinsic value estimate ($3.71), implying reliance on future growth that may not materialize
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$11.0
-18.3% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare AVO against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
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Past News Coverage
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