AVO
NEUTRAL
$13.46
Live
Mission Produce, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $17.33
(+28.8%)
$9.56
52W Range
$14.23
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$953.5M
P/E
25.4
ROE
6.8%
Profit margin
2.7%
Debt/Equity
0.32
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
65%
The company exhibits a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability. Despite this, Mission Produce has demonstrated strong recent earnings surprises and positive short-term momentum, with a bullish analyst recommendation and significant EPS growth acceleration. However, declining revenue, low profitability margins, and lack of Altman Z-Score data raise concerns about long-term sustainability. The stock trades above its Graham Number of $9.96 at $13.46, suggesting potential overvaluation relative to defensive value standards, though forward P/E of 16.72 implies improving earnings expectations.
Key Strengths
Strong recent earnings surprise streak: 3 out of last 4 quarters beat estimates with an average surprise of 77.42%
Improving earnings momentum: YoY EPS growth of +10.7% and Q/Q EPS growth of +19.2%
Healthy balance sheet: Current ratio of 1.95 and quick ratio of 1.25 indicate solid short-term liquidity
Low leverage: Debt/Equity ratio of 0.32 is well below sector average of 2.06
Bullish analyst sentiment: Strong buy consensus from 3 analysts with a target price of $17.33
Key Risks
Weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests suboptimal financial health and limited strength across profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency
Revenue contraction: YoY revenue growth of -10.00% indicates top-line pressure despite earnings growth
Low profitability: Profit margin of 2.71% and ROE of 6.77% lag significantly behind sector averages of 0.36% and 26.66% respectively
Missing Altman Z-Score prevents definitive solvency assessment, creating uncertainty around distress risk
Overvaluation risk: Current price of $13.46 exceeds Graham Number ($9.96) and intrinsic value estimate ($3.71), implying reliance on future growth that may not materialize
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$11.0
-18.3% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
46
Moderate
45
62
55
50
20
AI Verdict
Cautiously optimistic with structural concerns
Key drivers: Earnings beat streak, Low debt, Analyst optimism, Revenue decline, Weak Piotroski score
Confidence
70%
Value
45/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 16.72 is below current P/E of 25.40, suggesting earnings improvement priced in
- Price/Sales of 0.69 is below 1.0, indicating possible undervaluation on sales basis
Watchpoints
- Current price ($13.46) is 35% above Graham Number ($9.96)
- Intrinsic value estimate of $3.71 implies substantial overvaluation
- No PEG ratio due to inconsistent growth or negative earnings in prior periods
Future
62/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Year-over-year EPS growth of +10.7%
- Most recent Q/Q EPS growth of +19.2%
- Forward P/E implies earnings expansion
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth (YoY) of -10.00% contradicts earnings growth, raising sustainability concerns
- No Q/Q revenue growth data available
Past
55/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Recent quarters show dramatic turnaround in earnings performance
- 6 of last 8 quarters beat estimates by wide margins
Watchpoints
- History includes multiple negative quarters and large misses (e.g., Q3 2023 -33.9%, Q1 2023 -734.3%)
- Volatility in earnings surprises suggests inconsistent execution
Health
50/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is in 'Stable' range (not weak)
- Current ratio (1.95) and quick ratio (1.25) indicate adequate liquidity
- Debt/Equity of 0.32 is conservative
Watchpoints
- Piotroski score below 5 signals weaknesses in profitability, leverage, or operating efficiency
- Altman Z-Score missing, preventing comprehensive distress risk evaluation
Dividend
20/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Dividend Strength: 0/100
- No dividend yield or payout history
- Payout ratio is 0.00%, indicating no return to shareholders
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$13.46
Analyst Target
$17.33
Upside/Downside
+28.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AVO and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AVO
Mission Produce, Inc.
Primary
|
-17.1% | +10.2% | +11.6% | +11.7% | +14.5% | +8.2% |
|
JBSS
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.
Peer
|
+8.7% | -6.4% | +29.0% | +35.0% | +8.4% | +0.3% |
|
SENEA
Seneca Foods Corporation
Peer
|
+185.3% | +183.8% | +69.9% | +14.9% | -2.6% | -16.2% |
|
COUR
Coursera, Inc.
Peer
|
-88.9% | -46.9% | -31.4% | -42.6% | -10.1% | -17.0% |
|
ODD
Oddity Tech Ltd.
Peer
|
-67.3% | -67.3% | -65.5% | -67.0% | +17.6% | +5.5% |
AVO
Mission Produce, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-17.1%
3Y
+10.2%
1Y
+11.6%
6M
+11.7%
1M
+14.5%
1W
+8.2%
JBS
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+8.7%
3Y
-6.4%
1Y
+29.0%
6M
+35.0%
1M
+8.4%
1W
+0.3%
SEN
Seneca Foods Corporation
Peer
5Y
+185.3%
3Y
+183.8%
1Y
+69.9%
6M
+14.9%
1M
-2.6%
1W
-16.2%
COU
Coursera, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-88.9%
3Y
-46.9%
1Y
-31.4%
6M
-42.6%
1M
-10.1%
1W
-17.0%
ODD
Oddity Tech Ltd.
Peer
5Y
-67.3%
3Y
-67.3%
1Y
-65.5%
6M
-67.0%
1M
+17.6%
1W
+5.5%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
25.4
Forward P/E
16.72
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.62
P/S Ratio
0.69
EV/Revenue
0.8
EV/EBITDA
11.19
Market Cap
$953.5M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
2.71%
Operating Margin
8.78%
Gross Margin
11.57%
ROE
6.77%
ROA
4.18%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-10.0%
Earnings Growth
-4.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-7.5%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.32
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.95
Good
Quick Ratio
1.25
Good
Cash/Share
$0.92
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-09
$N/A
2025-12-18
$0.31
+34.8% surprise
2025-09-08
$0.26
+79.3% surprise
2025-06-05
$0.12
+118.2% surprise
Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison
Comparing AVO against 170 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector
(9 bullish, 60 neutral, 101 bearish)
P/E Ratio
25.4
This Stock
vs
37.45
Sector Avg
-32.2%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
6.77%
This Stock
vs
-13.91%
Sector Avg
-148.6%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
2.71%
This Stock
vs
-7.77%
Sector Avg
-134.9%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.32
This Stock
vs
1.89
Sector Avg
-82.8%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-10.0%
This Stock
vs
111.74%
Sector Avg
-108.9%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.95
This Stock
vs
2.29
Sector Avg
-15.0%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AVO
Mission Produce, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $953.5M | 25.4 | 6.8% | 2.7% | $13.46 | |
|
JBSS
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $963.93M | 13.77 | 20.2% | 6.2% | $82.48 | Compare |
|
SENEA
Seneca Foods Corporation
|
BULLISH | $965.2M | 10.81 | 13.6% | 5.6% | $140.27 | Compare |
|
COUR
Coursera, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $893.98M | - | -8.3% | -6.7% | $5.28 | Compare |
|
ODD
Oddity Tech Ltd.
|
NEUTRAL | $893.17M | 8.64 | 32.6% | 13.7% | $15.55 | Compare |
AVO
Mission Produce, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$953M
P/E
25.4
ROE
6.8%
Price
$13.46
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | GLOBALHARVEST HOLDINGS VENTURE LTD | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Purchase | 624,295 | $7,761,529 |
| 2026-01-15 | GLOBALHARVEST HOLDINGS VENTURE LTD | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Purchase | 986,386 | $11,599,435 |
| 2026-01-08 | GLOBALHARVEST HOLDINGS VENTURE LTD | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Purchase | 21,155 | $250,399 |
| 2026-01-06 | GLOBALHARVEST HOLDINGS VENTURE LTD | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Purchase | 66,569 | $770,377 |
| 2026-01-06 | BARNARD STEPHEN J | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 20,526 | - |
| 2026-01-06 | BARNARD STEPHEN J | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 100,723 | - |
| 2026-01-06 | GILES BRYAN E | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 20,526 | - |
| 2026-01-06 | GILES BRYAN E | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 34,246 | - |
| 2026-01-06 | WU JOANNE C | General Counsel | Stock Award | 16,421 | - |
| 2026-01-06 | WU JOANNE C | General Counsel | Stock Award | 25,181 | - |
| 2026-01-06 | PAWLOWSKI JOHN | President | Stock Award | 17,105 | - |
| 2026-01-06 | RICKETTS DAMIAN | Officer | Stock Award | 3,703 | - |
| 2026-01-06 | RICKETTS DAMIAN | Officer | Stock Award | 9,442 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | GLOBALHARVEST HOLDINGS VENTURE LTD | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Purchase | 289,953 | $3,361,590 |
| 2025-12-29 | GLOBALHARVEST HOLDINGS VENTURE LTD | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Purchase | 201,310 | $2,336,868 |
GLOBALHARVEST HOLDINGS VENTURE LTD
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
2026-01-20
624,295 shares
·
$7,761,529
GLOBALHARVEST HOLDINGS VENTURE LTD
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
2026-01-15
986,386 shares
·
$11,599,435
GLOBALHARVEST HOLDINGS VENTURE LTD
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
2026-01-08
21,155 shares
·
$250,399
GLOBALHARVEST HOLDINGS VENTURE LTD
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
2026-01-06
66,569 shares
·
$770,377
BARNARD STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
2026-01-06
20,526 shares
BARNARD STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
2026-01-06
100,723 shares
GILES BRYAN E
Chief Financial Officer
2026-01-06
20,526 shares
GILES BRYAN E
Chief Financial Officer
2026-01-06
34,246 shares
WU JOANNE C
General Counsel
2026-01-06
16,421 shares
WU JOANNE C
General Counsel
2026-01-06
25,181 shares
PAWLOWSKI JOHN
President
2026-01-06
17,105 shares
RICKETTS DAMIAN
Officer
2026-01-06
3,703 shares
RICKETTS DAMIAN
Officer
2026-01-06
9,442 shares
GLOBALHARVEST HOLDINGS VENTURE LTD
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
2026-01-02
289,953 shares
·
$3,361,590
GLOBALHARVEST HOLDINGS VENTURE LTD
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
2025-12-29
201,310 shares
·
$2,336,868
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
3 analysts
Roth Capital
2025-09-09
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AVO from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.