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AVT

NEUTRAL
$50.83 Live
Avnet, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $53.0 (+4.3%)
$39.22 52W Range $57.24

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
AVT's deterministic health score is concerning with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal financial health. The Graham Number suggests a defensive fair value of $59.95, implying the current price of $50.83 is slightly undervalued, though growth-based intrinsic value is much lower at $18.76. Profitability metrics are weak, with low margins and declining earnings, but the balance sheet shows strength via a solid current ratio and moderate leverage. Despite mixed signals, the stock appears fairly valued with moderate risks and limited near-term catalysts.

Key Strengths

Current price ($50.83) is below Graham Number ($59.95), suggesting potential defensive undervaluation
Strong liquidity position with a current ratio of 2.36 and quick ratio of 1.07
Moderate debt/equity of 0.66, below sector average of 0.61, indicating conservative capital structure
Dividend yield of 2.73% is attractive with a sustainable payout ratio near 50%
Consistent history of beating earnings estimates, with 3 out of last 4 quarters above expectations

Key Risks

Low Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health, particularly in profitability and leverage trends
Earnings under pressure with YoY EPS growth at -8.7% and operating margin just 2.58%
Profit margin of only 1.04% is extremely thin, leaving little room for margin of safety
Forward P/E of 8.19 suggests earnings compression, though still low compared to historical P/E of 18.97
Technical trend score of 0/100 indicates strong bearish momentum despite recent short-term rebound
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$55.0
+8.2% above current price

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