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AXGN

NEUTRAL
$32.83 Live
Axogen, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $37.0 (+12.7%)
$9.22 52W Range $34.71

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$1.51B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-1.9%
Profit margin
-1.0%
Debt/Equity
0.58
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
AXGN exhibits a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal financial health, and lacks an Altman Z-Score, limiting distress risk assessment. Despite strong revenue growth of 23.5% and improving profitability trends, the company remains unprofitable on a net basis with negative ROE and no meaningful cash flow data. Valuation metrics are stretched, with a high forward P/E of 65.88 and a Price/Book of 12.53, while insider selling of $10.58M in the last six months raises caution. Analysts maintain a strong_buy recommendation, but recent earnings volatility and lack of profitability temper bullish sentiment.

Key Strengths

Strong revenue growth (23.5% YoY) outpaces sector average of 40.81% despite smaller scale
High gross margin of 74.76% reflects pricing power and low production costs
Solid balance sheet with current ratio of 4.09 and quick ratio of 2.38 indicating strong liquidity
Improving operating margin at 3.18%, showing progress toward profitability
Analyst consensus is strong_buy with a $37.00 target price, implying 12.7% upside

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and inconsistent profitability
Negative net profit margin (-0.98%) and ROE (-1.91%) suggest ongoing earnings challenges
Lack of Altman Z-Score prevents clear assessment of bankruptcy risk
Insider selling of $10.58M in last 6 months signals bearish sentiment from leadership
High valuation with forward P/E of 65.88 and Price/Book of 12.53 makes stock vulnerable to multiple contraction
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$28.5
-13.2% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
41
Moderate
Value
40
Future
65
Past
55
Health
45
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Cautiously optimistic with significant financial and valuation risks
Key drivers: Revenue growth and margin expansion, High forward valuation, Weak Piotroski score, Negative earnings quality, Bullish analyst outlook
Confidence
70%
Value
40/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 65.88 is lower than sector average of 220.68
Watchpoints
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value available
  • Price/Book of 12.53 is very high
  • Price/Sales of 7.05 indicates premium pricing
Future
65/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 23.5% YoY revenue growth is strong
  • Year-over-year EPS growth of +400% shows dramatic improvement
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth (YoY) is N/A, indicating instability
  • Q/Q EPS growth is flat at 0.0%
Past
55/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Recent quarters show positive earnings surprises (e.g., +100%, +76.5%)
  • Progressing from deep losses to near-breakeven
Watchpoints
  • Earnings history is volatile with multiple negative quarters
  • Average surprise over last 4 quarters is -16.18%, indicating declining accuracy
Health
45/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio of 4.09 and quick ratio of 2.38 indicate strong liquidity
  • Debt/Equity of 0.58 is below sector average of 2.89
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
  • ROE is negative at -1.91%
  • No Altman Z-Score available for distress risk assessment
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield
  • Dividend strength score of 0/100
  • Payout ratio is 0.00% with no history of returns to shareholders

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$32.83
Analyst Target
$37.0
Upside/Downside
+12.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AXGN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
AXG
Axogen, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+76.4%
3Y
+203.1%
1Y
+75.6%
6M
+145.6%
1M
+0.6%
1W
+5.8%
IOV
Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-87.4%
3Y
-32.7%
1Y
+20.9%
6M
+76.2%
1M
-23.6%
1W
+7.9%
UFP
UFP Technologies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+289.1%
3Y
+40.8%
1Y
-5.7%
6M
-1.3%
1M
+5.3%
1W
+1.4%
NBT
Nanobiotix S.A.
Peer
5Y
+91.8%
3Y
+705.8%
1Y
+855.9%
6M
+12.8%
1M
-6.4%
1W
+5.6%
GEN
Generate Biomedicines, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-8.8%
3Y
-8.8%
1Y
-8.8%
6M
-8.8%
1M
-5.6%
1W
-16.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
65.88
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
12.53
P/S Ratio
7.05
EV/Revenue
7.21
EV/EBITDA
142.18
Market Cap
$1.51B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -0.98%
Operating Margin 3.18%
Gross Margin 74.76%
ROE -1.91%
ROA 1.21%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +23.5%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.58
Moderate
Current Ratio
4.09
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.38
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.78

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-24
$N/A
2025-10-29
$0.12
+76.5% surprise
2025-08-05
$0.12
+100.0% surprise
2025-05-08
$-0.02
-225.0% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing AXGN against 560 companies in the Healthcare sector (34 bullish, 167 neutral, 359 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-1.91%
This Stock
vs
-88.14%
Sector Avg
-97.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-0.98%
This Stock
vs
-16.28%
Sector Avg
-94.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.58
This Stock
vs
2.66
Sector Avg
-78.3% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
23.5%
This Stock
vs
124.04%
Sector Avg
-81.1% (Slower)
Current Ratio
4.09
This Stock
vs
4.47
Sector Avg
-8.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

WEILER KATHY JOHNSON
Director
Sell
2025-12-16
46,653 shares · $1,378,476
MCBRIDE-WENDELL AMY A.
Director
Sell
2025-12-16
43,684 shares · $1,280,465
WEILER KATHY JOHNSON
Director
Option Exercise
2025-12-16
40,073 shares · $280,150
MCBRIDE-WENDELL AMY A.
Director
Option Exercise
2025-12-16
43,684 shares · $301,963
HARTLEY LINDSEY MARIE
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2025-12-15
14,812 shares · $442,294
HARTLEY LINDSEY MARIE
Chief Financial Officer
Option Exercise
2025-12-15
14,812 shares · $122,495
BEGAN MARC A.
General Counsel
Sell
2025-12-11
13,222 shares · $396,660
DALE MICHAEL D
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-12-10
25,000 shares · $750,000
DEVINNEY ERICK WAYNE
Officer
Sell
2025-12-09
19,517 shares · $609,087
BEGAN MARC A.
General Counsel
Sell
2025-12-09
9,278 shares · $289,548
TYNDALL JOSEPH A
Director
Sell
2025-12-09
25,108 shares · $777,771
KEMP JENS SCHROEDER
Officer
Sell
2025-12-09
8,156 shares · $254,532
THOMAS PAUL G
Director
Sell
2025-12-09
21,399 shares · $633,710
DALE MICHAEL D
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-12-09
61,463 shares · $1,918,137
JOHNSON JOHN H.
Director
Sell
2025-12-09
45,379 shares · $1,390,393
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
9 analysts
Canaccord Genuity
2025-12-05
Maintains
Buy Buy
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-12-05
Maintains
Buy Buy
Jefferies
2025-12-04
Maintains
Buy Buy
Lake Street
2025-12-04
Maintains
Buy Buy
Mizuho
2025-12-01
init
Outperform
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-10-30
Maintains
Buy Buy
Raymond James
2025-10-30
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Canaccord Genuity
2025-10-30
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citizens
2025-10-30
Maintains
Market Outperform Market Outperform
HC Wainwright & Co.
2025-09-30
init
Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AXGN from our newsroom.

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