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AYTU

NEUTRAL
$2.7 Live
Aytu BioPharma, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $9.33 (+245.7%)
$0.95 52W Range $3.07

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$27.51M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-50.2%
Profit margin
-20.5%
Debt/Equity
1.23
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline financial health, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a clear distress risk assessment. Despite unprofitability (ROE: -50.23%, Profit Margin: -20.52%) and declining revenue (YoY -16.20%), the stock has seen strong short-term price momentum (+61.7% 1Y) and a bullish analyst recommendation (strong_buy) with a high target price of $9.33. High gross margins (67.56%) and improving quarterly earnings surprises (avg +98.68% last 4 quarters) suggest operational progress, but weak cash visibility, leverage (Debt/Equity: 1.23), and inconsistent earnings history remain concerns. The stock trades at a forward P/E of 15.88, below sector average, potentially reflecting skepticism around sustainability.

Key Strengths

High gross margin (67.56%) indicates strong pricing power or low production costs
Recent earnings surprises significantly positive (avg +98.68% last 4 quarters)
Analyst consensus is strong_buy with a high target price ($9.33) implying 245% upside
Forward P/E of 15.88 is below sector average (220.68), suggesting relative value
Recent price momentum is positive (+61.7% over 1 year)

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and poor profitability
Profitability remains negative (Profit Margin: -20.52%, ROE: -50.23%)
Revenue declining YoY (-16.20%) and limited financial transparency (missing cash/debt data)
High earnings volatility and inconsistent track record (e.g., -3600% surprise in 2023)
Leverage is elevated with Debt/Equity ratio of 1.23 and no Altman Z-Score to assess bankruptcy risk
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$9.33
+245.6% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
42
Moderate
Value
65
Future
60
Past
45
Health
40
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Cautiously optimistic with significant execution and sustainability risks
Key drivers: Bullish analyst target, Improving recent earnings surprises, Low forward P/E, High gross margin, Weak Piotroski score and profitability
Confidence
70%
Value
65/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Price/Sales of 0.43 is low, suggesting potential undervaluation
  • Forward P/E of 15.88 is well below sector average
  • Price/Book of 1.15 indicates near-book valuation
Watchpoints
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value provided
  • Lack of EV/EBITDA and PEG due to unprofitability
Future
60/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Q/Q Earnings Growth of +33.30%
  • YoY EPS Growth of +40.0%
  • Analyst target implies strong future upside
Watchpoints
  • Revenue Growth YoY is -16.20%
  • Forward earnings still negative
Past
45/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Recent quarters beating estimates (3 of last 4)
  • Some history of large positive earnings surprises
Watchpoints
  • Extremely volatile earnings (e.g., -3600% surprise)
  • Long-term 5Y price return down 98.4%
  • History of large negative surprises
Health
40/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current Ratio of 1.23 and Quick Ratio of 1.00 indicate minimal short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
  • ROE of -50.23% and negative profit margins
  • No Altman Z-Score to assess bankruptcy risk
  • Debt/Equity of 1.23 is high for a loss-making firm
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid (Dividend Yield: N/A)
  • Dividend Strength: 0/100

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$2.7
Analyst Target
$9.33
Upside/Downside
+245.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AYTU and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
AYT
Aytu BioPharma, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-98.4%
3Y
-24.2%
1Y
+61.7%
6M
+2.7%
1M
+6.7%
1W
+1.5%
TEL
TELA Bio, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-95.4%
3Y
-93.3%
1Y
-29.1%
6M
-57.4%
1M
-18.9%
1W
+12.7%
ICC
IceCure Medical Ltd
Peer
5Y
-97.0%
3Y
-71.2%
1Y
-71.9%
6M
-62.9%
1M
-51.7%
1W
+7.7%
KYN
Kyntra Bio, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-98.6%
3Y
-98.5%
1Y
+10.3%
6M
-32.0%
1M
+0.7%
1W
+2.3%
DAR
Daré Bioscience, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-91.0%
3Y
-85.0%
1Y
-38.6%
6M
-21.2%
1M
+15.7%
1W
-2.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
15.88
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.15
P/S Ratio
0.43
EV/Revenue
0.36
EV/EBITDA
3.86
Market Cap
$27.51M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -20.52%
Operating Margin -10.83%
Gross Margin 67.56%
ROE -50.23%
ROA 0.61%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -16.2%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +33.3%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.23
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.23
Good
Quick Ratio
1.0
Poor
Cash/Share
$3.2

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2025-11-13
$-0.09
+52.1% surprise
2025-09-23
$-0.08
-27.3% surprise
2025-05-14
$0.21
+223.5% surprise
2025-02-12
$0.13
+146.4% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing AYTU against 560 companies in the Healthcare sector (34 bullish, 167 neutral, 359 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-50.23%
This Stock
vs
-88.14%
Sector Avg
-43.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-20.52%
This Stock
vs
-16.28%
Sector Avg
+26.1% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.23
This Stock
vs
2.66
Sector Avg
-54.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-16.2%
This Stock
vs
124.04%
Sector Avg
-113.1% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.23
This Stock
vs
4.47
Sector Avg
-72.5% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

LIU VIVIAN H
Director
Stock Award
2025-10-03
10,000 shares
DISBROW JOSHUA R.
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-10-03
53,946 shares
DOCKERY CARL C
Director
Stock Award
2025-10-03
10,000 shares
DISBROW JARRETT T
Officer
Stock Award
2025-10-03
32,106 shares
SELHORN RYAN J
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2025-10-03
33,743 shares
PYSZCZYMUKA GREG
Officer
Stock Award
2025-10-03
12,500 shares
JAIN ABHINAV
Director
Stock Award
2025-10-03
10,000 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
3 analysts
Ascendiant Capital
2025-12-10
Maintains
Buy Buy
Maxim Group
2025-09-25
Maintains
Buy Buy
Ascendiant Capital
2025-09-25
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AYTU from our newsroom.

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