BAER
BEARISH
$2.0
Live
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $5.0
(+150.0%)
$1.02
52W Range
$3.44
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$111.09M
P/E
N/A
ROE
7.0%
Profit margin
3.4%
Debt/Equity
3.79
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
BAER exhibits severe financial distress despite a modest Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating weak operational and financial health. The absence of an Altman Z-Score and a negative Price/Book ratio of -0.33 signal deep value erosion and potential insolvency risk. While the company shows some gross margin strength and a recent insider sentiment of 60/100, its catastrophic -45.2% YoY revenue decline, negative operating margin of -190.24%, and extreme debt/equity ratio of 3.79 undermine any positive signals. The stock trades at a 52-week low of $1.02 but remains volatile, with a 1M drop of 28.6% and a 5Y decline of 79.4%, reflecting persistent investor skepticism.
Key Strengths
Gross margin of 42.08% indicates strong pricing power or cost control in core operations
Positive ROE of 7.01% suggests some return generation despite losses
Current ratio of 2.43 and quick ratio of 2.19 indicate short-term liquidity resilience
Insider sentiment at 60/100 suggests moderate confidence from internal stakeholders
Analyst target price of $5.00 implies a potential upside of 150% from current levels
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial deterioration and weak operational efficiency
Negative operating margin of -190.24% reflects unsustainable core business performance
Debt/Equity ratio of 3.79 is dangerously high, especially for a company with negative earnings
Revenue declined by 45.2% YoY, indicating fundamental business contraction
No available cash flow or free cash flow data raises concerns about solvency and reinvestment capacity
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
20
Weak
25
18
40
15
0
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score, Negative operating margin, High debt/equity, Declining revenue, No available cash flow metrics
Confidence
88%
Value
25/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price/Sales of 0.90 suggests undervaluation relative to revenue
- Current price of $2.00 is near 52-week low of $1.02
Watchpoints
- Negative Price/Book (-0.33) indicates asset value is below book value
- No Graham Number or intrinsic value available due to lack of earnings stability
- P/E and PEG ratios are unavailable, limiting valuation clarity
Future
18/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Analyst target price of $5.00 implies strong growth expectations
- Recent earnings surprises have been positive in some quarters
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth is -45.2% YoY, signaling ongoing business decline
- Q/Q EPS growth is -208.1%, indicating worsening profitability
- No forward P/E or earnings guidance available
Past
40/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Some quarters have beaten estimates (e.g., 2025-11-06, 2025-08-07)
- Average earnings surprise of 13.15% over last 4 quarters
Watchpoints
- Two consecutive quarters with negative surprises exceeding -50%
- Overall earnings trend shows declining performance over time
- 5-year stock return of -79.4% reflects long-term underperformance
Health
15/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current and quick ratios above 2.0 suggest short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 is extremely low, indicating poor financial health
- No Altman Z-Score available, but debt/equity of 3.79 and negative operating margin suggest distress risk
- Negative ROIC and lack of cash flow data raise solvency concerns
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield or payout ratio available
- Dividend strength is 0/100, indicating no dividend history
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$2.0
Analyst Target
$5.0
Upside/Downside
+150.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BAER and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-03-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BAER
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Primary
|
-79.4% | -61.3% | +14.3% | +5.8% | -28.6% | -9.3% |
|
ANPA
Rich Sparkle Holdings Limited
Peer
|
+143.2% | +143.2% | +143.2% | -78.9% | -88.3% | -5.6% |
|
HURC
Hurco Companies, Inc.
Peer
|
-48.8% | -36.6% | +16.6% | -4.9% | +8.1% | +7.6% |
|
DGNX
Diginex Limited
Peer
|
-31.0% | -31.0% | -95.9% | -98.0% | -16.8% | +2.3% |
|
TUSK
Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.
Peer
|
-39.5% | -38.8% | +3.2% | +14.4% | +22.1% | +2.0% |
BAE
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-79.4%
3Y
-61.3%
1Y
+14.3%
6M
+5.8%
1M
-28.6%
1W
-9.3%
ANP
Rich Sparkle Holdings Limited
Peer
5Y
+143.2%
3Y
+143.2%
1Y
+143.2%
6M
-78.9%
1M
-88.3%
1W
-5.6%
HUR
Hurco Companies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-48.8%
3Y
-36.6%
1Y
+16.6%
6M
-4.9%
1M
+8.1%
1W
+7.6%
DGN
Diginex Limited
Peer
5Y
-31.0%
3Y
-31.0%
1Y
-95.9%
6M
-98.0%
1M
-16.8%
1W
+2.3%
TUS
Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-39.5%
3Y
-38.8%
1Y
+3.2%
6M
+14.4%
1M
+22.1%
1W
+2.0%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
-0.33
P/S Ratio
0.9
EV/Revenue
5.95
EV/EBITDA
23.8
Market Cap
$111.09M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
3.37%
Operating Margin
-190.24%
Gross Margin
42.08%
ROE
7.01%
ROA
3.07%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-45.2%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
3.79
High debt
Current Ratio
2.43
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.19
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.59
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q3 2025
Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
68.9%
Op. Margin
57.5%
Net Margin
50.8%
Total Assets
$0.3B
Liabilities
$0.2B
Equity
$0.1B
Debt/Equity
2.99x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
84%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-03-05
$-0.4
-33.3% surprise
2025-11-06
$0.37
+15.6% surprise
2025-08-07
$-0.12
+57.1% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing BAER against 469 companies in the Industrials sector
(39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
7.01%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-136.2%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.37%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
-49.3%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
3.79
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
+43.9%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
-45.2%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-163.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.43
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-21.2%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BAER
Bridger Aerospace Group...
|
BEARISH | $111.09M | - | 7.0% | 3.4% | $2.0 | |
|
ANPA
Rich Sparkle Holdings Limited
|
BEARISH | $107.0M | 856.0 | -% | -% | $8.56 | Compare |
|
HURC
Hurco Companies, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $105.4M | - | -7.3% | -8.2% | $16.35 | Compare |
|
DGNX
Diginex Limited
|
NEUTRAL | $102.98M | - | -% | -276.5% | $0.49 | Compare |
|
TUSK
Mammoth Energy Services, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $122.83M | - | -24.9% | 10.4% | $2.54 | Compare |
BAER
Bridger...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$111M
P/E
-
ROE
7.0%
Price
$2.0
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | KELTER JEFFREY E | Director | Stock Award | 100,000 | - |
| 2026-03-09 | ANDREWS ADOLPHUS WILLIAM | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 210,624 | - |
| 2025-12-03 | KELTER JEFFREY E | Director | Purchase | 300,000 | $540,210 |
| 2025-11-25 | FASCITELLI ELIZABETH COGAN | Director | Stock Award | 154,145 | - |
| 2025-11-25 | KELTER JEFFREY E | Director | Stock Award | 400,000 | - |
| 2025-11-25 | SAVAGE ROBERT F JR | Director | Stock Award | 208,290 | - |
| 2025-11-25 | FREEDMAN ERNEST MICHAEL | Director | Stock Award | 106,768 | - |
| 2025-11-25 | HELLER DEAN | Director | Stock Award | 154,145 | - |
| 2025-11-25 | HOWARD HUGH WYMAN III | Director | Stock Award | 23,799 | - |
| 2025-11-25 | SCHELLENBERG DAVID ALFRED | Director | Stock Award | 154,145 | - |
| 2025-11-25 | DROHAN DAN | Director | Stock Award | 154,145 | - |
| 2025-11-25 | PASRICHA MEGHAN | Director | Stock Award | 140,609 | - |
KELTER JEFFREY E
Director
2026-03-09
100,000 shares
ANDREWS ADOLPHUS WILLIAM
Chief Operating Officer
2026-03-09
210,624 shares
KELTER JEFFREY E
Director
2025-12-03
300,000 shares
·
$540,210
FASCITELLI ELIZABETH COGAN
Director
2025-11-25
154,145 shares
KELTER JEFFREY E
Director
2025-11-25
400,000 shares
SAVAGE ROBERT F JR
Director
2025-11-25
208,290 shares
FREEDMAN ERNEST MICHAEL
Director
2025-11-25
106,768 shares
HELLER DEAN
Director
2025-11-25
154,145 shares
HOWARD HUGH WYMAN III
Director
2025-11-25
23,799 shares
SCHELLENBERG DAVID ALFRED
Director
2025-11-25
154,145 shares
DROHAN DAN
Director
2025-11-25
154,145 shares
PASRICHA MEGHAN
Director
2025-11-25
140,609 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
1 analysts
Canaccord Genuity
2026-03-09
Buy
Buy
Canaccord Genuity
2025-11-25
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BAER from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.