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BAERW Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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BAERW Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ N/A N/A
Current Price Live
$0.47
52W High
$0.52
52W Low
$0.4
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Ownership

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
N/A
P/E
N/A
ROE
8.8%
Profit margin
5.0%
Debt/Equity
2.71
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals significant financial health concerns, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating poor fundamental strength. Despite positive operating metrics such as high operating margin (57.44%) and strong earnings growth (20.5% YoY), the company’s balance sheet risks are elevated with a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.71 and a negative Price/Book of -0.08, suggesting shareholder equity may be eroding. The absence of an Altman Z-Score and Graham Number, combined with stagnant price performance across all timeframes, further undermines confidence in valuation and long-term stability. Technical trend at 0/100 confirms a deeply bearish momentum.

Key Strengths

High operating margin of 57.44% indicates strong operational efficiency and pricing power.
Strong year-over-year earnings growth of 20.50% and Q/Q growth of 26.20% signal improving profitability.
Healthy current ratio (3.95) and quick ratio (3.37) suggest adequate short-term liquidity.
Gross margin of 44.22% reflects solid cost control and business model resilience.
Revenue growth of 5.20% YoY demonstrates modest top-line expansion in a niche aerospace services market.

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of only 2/9 indicates severe financial distress and weak earnings quality.
Debt/Equity ratio of 2.71 is very high, increasing financial risk and vulnerability to downturns.
Negative Price/Book ratio (-0.08) implies net liabilities exceed assets, raising solvency concerns.
Lack of Altman Z-Score and Graham Number prevents reliable valuation and distress risk assessment.
Zero price change across 1Y, 3Y, and 5Y periods reflects market apathy and lack of investor confidence.

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
28
Weak
Value
20
Future
65
Past
30
Health
25
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High-risk profile with fragile fundamentals despite pockets of operational strength.
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score, Negative book value, High leverage, Strong operating margins, Absence of analyst coverage
Confidence
70%
Value
20/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Price/Book is negative (-0.08)
  • No Graham Number or P/E available
  • No meaningful valuation multiples
Future
65/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Earnings growth (YoY) of 20.50%
  • Q/Q earnings growth of 26.20%
  • Revenue growth of 5.20% YoY
Watchpoints
  • No forward P/E or analyst targets to validate growth expectations
Past
30/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Historical operating and gross margins are strong
Watchpoints
  • Zero price appreciation over 1Y, 3Y, 5Y
  • No historical cash flow or debt data available
Health
25/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio of 3.95
  • Quick ratio of 3.37
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 (Weak)
  • Debt/Equity of 2.71
  • Negative book value
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend program
  • Dividend strength 0/100

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$0.47

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BAERW and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
BAERW
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Primary
 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
-0.08
P/S Ratio
N/A
EV/Revenue
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
N/A

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 4.96%
Operating Margin 57.44%
Gross Margin 44.22%
ROE 8.75%
ROA 4.95%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +5.2%
Earnings Growth +20.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +26.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
2.71
High debt
Current Ratio
3.95
Strong
Quick Ratio
3.37
Excellent
Cash/Share
$1.04

Ownership Structure

Institutional and insider holdings breakdown

Ownership Breakdown

Top Institutional Holders

LMR Partners LLP
2,977,952 shares • 2025-09-30
Aristeia Capital, LLC
1,604,853 shares • 2025-09-30
Toronto Dominion Bank
1,475,000 shares • 2025-09-30
Clear Street Group Inc.
1,058,129 shares • 2025-09-30
Driehaus Capital Management, LLC
620,220 shares • 2025-09-30
Tenor Capital Management Co., L.p.
274,854 shares • 2025-09-30
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
200,000 shares • 2025-09-30
Davidson Kempner Capital Management LP
195,399 shares • 2025-09-30

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BAERW from our newsroom.

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