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BANF

NEUTRAL
$112.94 Live
BancFirst Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $123.67 (+9.5%)
$101.48 52W Range $138.77

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 16, 2026
Market cap
$3.79B
P/E
15.88
ROE
13.8%
Profit margin
35.1%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
1.74%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
BancFirst Corporation presents a stable fundamental profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating a stable but not strong financial health trajectory. The stock is currently trading at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($94.04) and Intrinsic Value ($94.56), suggesting it is overvalued based on deterministic models. While revenue growth remains robust at 11.2%, earnings growth is lagging at 4.2%, and technical indicators combined with insider selling signal short-term bearishness. Overall, the company is a high-quality regional bank trading at a price that leaves little margin of safety.

Key Strengths

Strong Return on Assets (ROA) of 1.70%, indicating efficient asset utilization
Robust year-over-year revenue growth of 11.20%
Very sustainable dividend payout ratio of 26.72%
Consistent historical earnings track record over 25 quarters
Healthy Return on Equity (ROE) of 13.85%

Key Risks

Current price ($112.94) is ~20% above the Graham Number and Intrinsic Value
Bearish technical trend (0/100) suggesting lack of price momentum
Insider sentiment is bearish with recent selling activity
Earnings growth (4.2%) is significantly trailing revenue growth (11.2%)
Recent earnings performance has weakened, beating only 1 of the last 4 estimates
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$98.3
-13.0% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
58
Moderate
Value
40
Future
60
Past
75
Health
50
Dividend
65
AI Verdict
Stable business, unattractive entry price
Key drivers: Valuation premium, Strong ROA, Bearish technicals, Stable Piotroski score
Confidence
90%
Value
40/100

Ref P/E, Graham Number, and Intrinsic Value

Positives
  • P/E of 15.88 is reasonable for the sector
Watchpoints
  • Price exceeds Graham Number by $18.90
  • Price exceeds Intrinsic Value by $18.38
Future
60/100

Ref Growth rates and Earnings track record

Positives
  • Double-digit revenue growth (11.2%)
Watchpoints
  • Slowing EPS growth
  • Recent earnings misses
Past
75/100

Ref Historical price and earnings trends

Positives
  • Strong 5-year price appreciation (+76%)
  • Long-term history of earnings surprises
Watchpoints
  • Recent 6-month price decline (-7.1%)
Health
50/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score and Profitability metrics

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is in the 'Stable' range
  • Strong profit margins (35.13%)
Watchpoints
  • F-Score is not in the 'Strong' (7-9) category
Dividend
65/100

Ref Yield and Payout Ratio

Positives
  • Low payout ratio (26.72%) ensures safety
Watchpoints
  • Low dividend yield (1.74%) compared to typical regional bank yields

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$112.94
Analyst Target
$123.67
Upside/Downside
+9.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BANF and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-15
BAN
BancFirst Corporation
Primary
5Y
+76.0%
3Y
+44.0%
1Y
+8.3%
6M
-7.1%
1M
+5.8%
1W
+0.0%
FG
F&G Annuities & Life, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+82.7%
3Y
+70.4%
1Y
-18.2%
6M
-4.0%
1M
+13.6%
1W
+3.2%
MRX
Marex Group plc
Peer
5Y
+188.9%
3Y
+188.9%
1Y
+40.5%
6M
+70.5%
1M
+51.5%
1W
+13.3%
WSF
WSFS Financial Corporation
Peer
5Y
+47.0%
3Y
+95.9%
1Y
+38.6%
6M
+33.6%
1M
+8.5%
1W
+1.2%
IND
Independent Bank Corp.
Peer
5Y
+14.0%
3Y
+41.0%
1Y
+48.8%
6M
+18.9%
1M
+7.2%
1W
-0.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
15.88
Forward P/E
15.88
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.04
P/S Ratio
5.54
EV/Revenue
-0.83
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$3.79B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 35.13%
Operating Margin 49.21%
Gross Margin N/A
ROE 13.85%
ROA 1.7%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +11.2%
Earnings Growth +4.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +11.09%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +5.3%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$134.66

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.2B
Net Margin
32.9%
Total Assets
$14.8B
Liabilities
$13.0B
Equity
$1.9B
Debt/Equity
7.00x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
79%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-16
$N/A
2026-01-22
$1.75
-2.0% surprise
2025-10-17
$1.85
-0.5% surprise
2025-07-17
$1.85
+12.3% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing BANF against 820 companies in the Financial Services sector (141 bullish, 351 neutral, 328 bearish)
P/E Ratio
15.88
This Stock
vs
36.01
Sector Avg
-55.9% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
13.85%
This Stock
vs
-0.73%
Sector Avg
-1989.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
35.13%
This Stock
vs
91.62%
Sector Avg
-61.7% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
11.2%
This Stock
vs
35.27%
Sector Avg
-68.2% (Slower)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

FORAKER RANDY P
Officer
Sell
2026-02-10
3,000 shares · $359,735
FORAKER RANDY P
Officer
Option Exercise
2026-02-10
3,000 shares · $62,490
RAINBOLT DAVID E
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Gift
2026-02-03
225,000 shares
MARTIN WILLIAM SCOTT
Director
Gift
2025-12-18
5,000 shares
SCHMIDT DARRYL
Officer and Director
Gift
2025-12-09
600 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
3 analysts
DA Davidson
2026-03-09
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2026-01-23
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2025-10-20
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BANF from our newsroom.

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