BILI
NEUTRAL
$33.4
Live
Bilibili Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $31.12
(-6.8%)
$14.47
52W Range
$33.74
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$13.63B
P/E
128.46
ROE
5.4%
Profit margin
2.6%
Debt/Equity
0.65
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
65%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals significant concerns with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating poor financial health, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. Despite this, BILI shows strong recent price momentum with a 1Y return of +103.3%, robust revenue surprise trends, and a bullish analyst recommendation, offset by stretched valuation metrics such as a P/E of 128.46 versus a sector average of 19.92. Profitability margins and ROE remain below peer averages, while improving earnings surprises and cash flow trends suggest potential operational turnaround. The stock trades at a large premium to both Graham Number ($5.47) and intrinsic value ($1.82), implying high growth expectations are already priced in.
Key Strengths
Strong recent price performance with 1Y return of +103.3% indicating positive market sentiment
Consistently beats quarterly earnings estimates, with 3 out of last 4 quarters showing beats and an average surprise of 38.18%
Improving earnings trajectory: YoY EPS growth of +84.2% despite negative recent quarters
Solid balance sheet liquidity with Current Ratio of 1.64 and Quick Ratio of 1.49
Analyst consensus is strong_buy with 29 analysts covering, suggesting institutional confidence
Key Risks
Very weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals deteriorating financial health and poor profitability trends
Extremely high P/E ratio of 128.46 vs sector average of 19.92, indicating significant overvaluation risk
Profitability metrics lag peers: ROE of 5.35% vs sector avg 9.64%, profit margin 2.59% vs 56.14%
Revenue growth of 5.20% is well below sector average of 27.84%, raising competitive concerns
Graham Number of $5.47 and intrinsic value of $1.82 suggest current price of $33.40 is vastly overstated
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$8.5
-74.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
33
Weak
28
64
45
30
0
AI Verdict
Cautiously neutral given mixed signals between weak fundamentals and strong market sentiment
Key drivers: High analyst optimism and price momentum, Weak Piotroski score and profitability metrics, Significant valuation premium to value benchmarks, Improving earnings surprise trend
Confidence
68%
Value
28/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price/Sales of 0.46 is below sector average, suggesting possible revenue-based value
Watchpoints
- P/E of 128.46 is extremely high
- Price/Book of 6.53 above sector trends
- Stock trades at 6x Graham Number and 18x intrinsic value
Future
64/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- YoY EPS growth of +84.2%
- Recent earnings surprises averaging +38.18%
- Forward P/E of 29.45 suggests expected improvement
Watchpoints
- Q/Q EPS growth declining -18.6%
- Revenue growth lags sector significantly
Past
45/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Long-term earnings quality improving with narrowing losses since 2020
- History of beating low expectations
Watchpoints
- Multiple quarters with negative EPS
- 5Y price change of -75.1% reflects long-term underperformance
Health
30/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Debt/Equity of 0.65 is manageable
- Current and Quick Ratios indicate short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates weak financial health
- No Altman Z-Score available for distress modeling
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield
- Dividend strength 0/100
- Payout ratio is 0%, but no history of distributions
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$33.4
Analyst Target
$31.12
Upside/Downside
-6.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BILI and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BILI
Bilibili Inc.
Primary
|
-75.1% | +30.3% | +103.3% | +43.0% | +34.8% | +2.8% |
|
ROKU
Roku, Inc.
Peer
|
-71.5% | +43.8% | +34.3% | -5.5% | -3.5% | -1.0% |
|
TIGO
Millicom International Cellular S.A.
Peer
|
+166.5% | +395.8% | +187.8% | +84.1% | +18.8% | +0.4% |
|
PSKY
Paramount Skydance Corporation
Peer
|
-65.5% | -43.5% | +9.0% | -29.4% | +30.4% | +10.6% |
|
NWSA
News Corporation
Peer
|
-0.8% | +49.8% | -3.2% | -4.3% | +4.7% | +1.8% |
BIL
Bilibili Inc.
Primary
5Y
-75.1%
3Y
+30.3%
1Y
+103.3%
6M
+43.0%
1M
+34.8%
1W
+2.8%
ROK
Roku, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-71.5%
3Y
+43.8%
1Y
+34.3%
6M
-5.5%
1M
-3.5%
1W
-1.0%
TIG
Millicom International Cellular S.A.
Peer
5Y
+166.5%
3Y
+395.8%
1Y
+187.8%
6M
+84.1%
1M
+18.8%
1W
+0.4%
PSK
Paramount Skydance Corporation
Peer
5Y
-65.5%
3Y
-43.5%
1Y
+9.0%
6M
-29.4%
1M
+30.4%
1W
+10.6%
NWS
News Corporation
Peer
5Y
-0.8%
3Y
+49.8%
1Y
-3.2%
6M
-4.3%
1M
+4.7%
1W
+1.8%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
128.46
Forward P/E
29.45
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
6.53
P/S Ratio
0.46
EV/Revenue
0.01
EV/EBITDA
0.05
Market Cap
$13.63B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
2.59%
Operating Margin
4.61%
Gross Margin
36.36%
ROE
5.35%
ROA
1.3%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+5.2%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.65
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.64
Good
Quick Ratio
1.49
Good
Cash/Share
$56.26
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-19
$N/A
2025-11-13
$1.05
+46.2% surprise
2025-08-21
$1.29
+7.6% surprise
2025-05-20
$0.85
+60.8% surprise
Communication Services Sector Comparison
Comparing BILI against 190 companies in the Communication Services sector
(13 bullish, 54 neutral, 123 bearish)
P/E Ratio
128.46
This Stock
vs
58.14
Sector Avg
+121.0%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
5.35%
This Stock
vs
-47.35%
Sector Avg
-111.3%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
2.59%
This Stock
vs
-7.97%
Sector Avg
-132.5%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.65
This Stock
vs
1.45
Sector Avg
-55.2%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
5.2%
This Stock
vs
547.84%
Sector Avg
-99.1%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.64
This Stock
vs
2.17
Sector Avg
-24.6%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BILI
Bilibili Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $13.63B | 128.46 | 5.4% | 2.6% | $33.4 | |
|
ROKU
Roku, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $13.95B | 160.37 | 3.4% | 1.9% | $94.62 | Compare |
|
TIGO
Millicom International...
|
NEUTRAL | $13.98B | 10.39 | 37.9% | 22.6% | $83.43 | Compare |
|
PSKY
Paramount Skydance Corporation
|
BEARISH | $13.05B | 391.33 | -0.9% | -2.1% | $11.74 | Compare |
|
NWSA
News Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $14.63B | 32.47 | 6.3% | 13.3% | $25.33 | Compare |
BILI
Bilibili Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$13.6B
P/E
128.5
ROE
5.4%
Price
$33.4
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
29 analysts
B of A Securities
2025-11-28
Buy
Buy
JP Morgan
2025-11-18
Neutral
Neutral
Citigroup
2025-11-14
Neutral
Neutral
Benchmark
2025-11-14
Buy
Buy
Bernstein
2025-10-23
Outperform
Outperform
Macquarie
2025-10-14
Outperform
Barclays
2025-08-22
Overweight
Overweight
Benchmark
2025-08-22
Buy
Buy
JP Morgan
2025-07-28
Overweight
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BILI from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.