BILI Bilibili Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL
Sign in to save
Save this symbol to a watchlist or track a position.
BILI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Communication Services
Internet Content & Information
Current Price
Live
$33.4
Analyst Target
$31.12
-6.8%
Downside
52W High
$33.74
52W Low
$14.47
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$13.63B
P/E
128.46
ROE
5.4%
Profit margin
2.6%
Debt/Equity
0.65
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals significant concerns with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating poor financial health, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. Despite this, BILI shows strong recent price momentum with a 1Y return of +103.3%, robust revenue surprise trends, and a bullish analyst recommendation, offset by stretched valuation metrics such as a P/E of 128.46 versus a sector average of 19.92. Profitability margins and ROE remain below peer averages, while improving earnings surprises and cash flow trends suggest potential operational turnaround. The stock trades at a large premium to both Graham Number ($5.47) and intrinsic value ($1.82), implying high growth expectations are already priced in.
Key Strengths
Strong recent price performance with 1Y return of +103.3% indicating positive market sentiment
Consistently beats quarterly earnings estimates, with 3 out of last 4 quarters showing beats and an average surprise of 38.18%
Improving earnings trajectory: YoY EPS growth of +84.2% despite negative recent quarters
Solid balance sheet liquidity with Current Ratio of 1.64 and Quick Ratio of 1.49
Analyst consensus is strong_buy with 29 analysts covering, suggesting institutional confidence
Key Risks
Very weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals deteriorating financial health and poor profitability trends
Extremely high P/E ratio of 128.46 vs sector average of 19.92, indicating significant overvaluation risk
Profitability metrics lag peers: ROE of 5.35% vs sector avg 9.64%, profit margin 2.59% vs 56.14%
Revenue growth of 5.20% is well below sector average of 27.84%, raising competitive concerns
Graham Number of $5.47 and intrinsic value of $1.82 suggest current price of $33.40 is vastly overstated
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$8.5
-74.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
33
Weak
28
64
45
30
0
AI Verdict
Cautiously neutral given mixed signals between weak fundamentals and strong market sentiment
Key drivers: High analyst optimism and price momentum, Weak Piotroski score and profitability metrics, Significant valuation premium to value benchmarks, Improving earnings surprise trend
Confidence
68%
Value
28/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price/Sales of 0.46 is below sector average, suggesting possible revenue-based value
Watchpoints
- P/E of 128.46 is extremely high
- Price/Book of 6.53 above sector trends
- Stock trades at 6x Graham Number and 18x intrinsic value
Future
64/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- YoY EPS growth of +84.2%
- Recent earnings surprises averaging +38.18%
- Forward P/E of 29.45 suggests expected improvement
Watchpoints
- Q/Q EPS growth declining -18.6%
- Revenue growth lags sector significantly
Past
45/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Long-term earnings quality improving with narrowing losses since 2020
- History of beating low expectations
Watchpoints
- Multiple quarters with negative EPS
- 5Y price change of -75.1% reflects long-term underperformance
Health
30/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Debt/Equity of 0.65 is manageable
- Current and Quick Ratios indicate short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates weak financial health
- No Altman Z-Score available for distress modeling
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield
- Dividend strength 0/100
- Payout ratio is 0%, but no history of distributions
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$33.4
Analyst Target
$31.12
Upside/Downside
-6.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BILI and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BILI
Bilibili Inc.
Primary
|
-75.1% | +30.3% | +103.3% | +43.0% | +34.8% | +2.8% |
|
ROKU
Roku, Inc.
Peer
|
-76.1% | +103.1% | +37.9% | +11.1% | -3.7% | -6.8% |
|
SIRI
Sirius XM Holdings Inc.
Peer
|
-59.5% | -62.1% | -2.1% | -11.0% | -6.0% | -6.1% |
|
AD
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.
Peer
|
+103.5% | +199.9% | +9.2% | -7.1% | -11.0% | -17.1% |
|
BCE
BCE Inc.
Peer
|
-19.2% | -32.5% | +14.9% | +5.5% | +9.5% | +4.4% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
128.46
Forward P/E
29.45
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
6.53
P/S Ratio
0.46
EV/Revenue
0.01
EV/EBITDA
0.05
Market Cap
$13.63B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
2.59%
Operating Margin
4.61%
Gross Margin
36.36%
ROE
5.35%
ROA
1.3%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+5.2%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.65
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.64
Good
Quick Ratio
1.49
Good
Cash/Share
$56.26
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-19
$N/A
2025-11-13
$1.05
+46.2% surprise
2025-08-21
$1.29
+7.6% surprise
2025-05-20
$0.85
+60.8% surprise
Communication Services Sector Comparison
Comparing BILI against 36 companies in the Communication Services sector
(0 bullish, 17 neutral, 19 bearish)
P/E Ratio
128.46
This Stock
vs
21.75
Sector Avg
+490.6%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
5.35%
This Stock
vs
-7.47%
Sector Avg
-171.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
2.59%
This Stock
vs
40.35%
Sector Avg
-93.6%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.65
This Stock
vs
1.12
Sector Avg
-41.7%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
5.2%
This Stock
vs
28.6%
Sector Avg
-81.8%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.64
This Stock
vs
2.2
Sector Avg
-25.7%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BILI
Bilibili Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $13.63B | 128.46 | 5.4% | 2.6% | $33.4 | |
|
ROKU
Roku, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $15.32B | - | -1.1% | -0.6% | $103.66 | |
|
SIRI
Sirius XM Holdings Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $6.89B | 5.02 | 8.9% | 11.6% | $20.45 | |
|
AD
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.14B | 28.19 | 5.3% | 0.4% | $47.92 | |
|
BCE
BCE Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $23.5B | 5.13 | 31.4% | 25.9% | $25.2 |
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
29 analysts
B of A Securities
2025-11-28
Buy
Buy
JP Morgan
2025-11-18
Neutral
Neutral
Citigroup
2025-11-14
Neutral
Neutral
Benchmark
2025-11-14
Buy
Buy
Bernstein
2025-10-23
Outperform
Outperform
Macquarie
2025-10-14
Outperform
Barclays
2025-08-22
Overweight
Overweight
Benchmark
2025-08-22
Buy
Buy
JP Morgan
2025-07-28
Overweight
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BILI from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.