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BIRD Allbirds, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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BIRD Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Consumer Cyclical Apparel Retail
Current Price Live
$4.14
Analyst Target
$14.0
+238.2% Upside
52W High
$12.85
52W Low
$3.83

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AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
88%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a critically weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of just 1/9, indicating severe operational and profitability concerns. Despite a low Price/Book of 0.65 and Price/Sales of 0.21 suggesting potential value, the company is deeply unprofitable with negative margins across all key metrics, including a -51.90% profit margin and -93.02% ROE. Revenue is contracting at -23.30% YoY, and insider selling activity over the past six months signals management's lack of confidence. While analysts have a bullish target price of $14.00, the single analyst coverage, deteriorating fundamentals, and absence of Altman Z-Score due to likely negative retained earnings or equity raise serious distress risks.

Key Strengths

Low valuation multiples: Price/Sales of 0.21 and Price/Book of 0.65 suggest potential undervaluation relative to book and sales
Gross margin of 38.77% indicates some pricing power or cost control at the product level
Current ratio of 2.37 shows short-term liquidity is not immediately constrained
Recent earnings surprises have been positive, beating estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters
Analyst target price of $14.00 implies ~238% upside from current levels

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates extremely weak financial health and high risk of continued underperformance
Profitability collapse: -51.90% profit margin and -58.07% operating margin reflect unsustainable business model
Revenue declining at -23.30% YoY, indicating weakening demand or competitive pressures
Insiders have sold $0.07M in shares with zero buys, signaling lack of confidence from executives
ROE of -93.02% and ROA of -30.16% show severe capital inefficiency and asset underperformance
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$6.5
+57.0% above current price

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