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BIRD

BEARISH
$4.14 Live
Allbirds, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $14.0 (+238.2%)
$3.83 52W Range $12.85

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$34.0M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-93.0%
Profit margin
-51.9%
Debt/Equity
0.83
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
88%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a critically weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of just 1/9, indicating severe operational and profitability concerns. Despite a low Price/Book of 0.65 and Price/Sales of 0.21 suggesting potential value, the company is deeply unprofitable with negative margins across all key metrics, including a -51.90% profit margin and -93.02% ROE. Revenue is contracting at -23.30% YoY, and insider selling activity over the past six months signals management's lack of confidence. While analysts have a bullish target price of $14.00, the single analyst coverage, deteriorating fundamentals, and absence of Altman Z-Score due to likely negative retained earnings or equity raise serious distress risks.

Key Strengths

Low valuation multiples: Price/Sales of 0.21 and Price/Book of 0.65 suggest potential undervaluation relative to book and sales
Gross margin of 38.77% indicates some pricing power or cost control at the product level
Current ratio of 2.37 shows short-term liquidity is not immediately constrained
Recent earnings surprises have been positive, beating estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters
Analyst target price of $14.00 implies ~238% upside from current levels

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates extremely weak financial health and high risk of continued underperformance
Profitability collapse: -51.90% profit margin and -58.07% operating margin reflect unsustainable business model
Revenue declining at -23.30% YoY, indicating weakening demand or competitive pressures
Insiders have sold $0.07M in shares with zero buys, signaling lack of confidence from executives
ROE of -93.02% and ROA of -30.16% show severe capital inefficiency and asset underperformance
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$6.5
+57.0% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
24
Weak
Value
58
Future
18
Past
32
Health
12
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Highly Unfavorable
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, Negative profitability across all metrics, Declining revenue and earnings, Insider selling pressure, Lack of analyst coverage (only 1 analyst)
Confidence
90%
Value
58/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Low Price/Sales ratio (0.21)
  • Price/Book below 1 (0.65)
Watchpoints
  • Negative earnings make P/E and PEG ratios meaningless
  • No Graham Number due to unprofitability
Future
18/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Analyst target price implies significant upside
Watchpoints
  • Forward P/E of -0.54 indicates expected losses
  • Revenue growth at -23.30% YoY
  • Earnings growth not available due to losses
Past
32/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Recent quarters have beaten earnings estimates (3 of last 4)
Watchpoints
  • Consistent history of negative EPS
  • Long-term price performance down 99.3% over 5 years
  • EPS surprises often due to low expectations, not real improvement
Health
12/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio of 2.37 suggests short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates critical financial weakness
  • ROE of -93.02% and ROA of -30.16%
  • No Altman Z-Score due to likely negative retained earnings or equity
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield
  • Dividend strength score of 0/100
  • No history of payouts

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$4.14
Analyst Target
$14.0
Upside/Downside
+238.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BIRD and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
BIR
Allbirds, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-99.3%
3Y
-92.3%
1Y
-34.9%
6M
-62.4%
1M
+1.7%
1W
+2.0%
ABL
Able View Global Inc.
Peer
5Y
-93.1%
3Y
-93.3%
1Y
-31.0%
6M
-29.2%
1M
-12.7%
1W
-3.1%
RAV
Rave Restaurant Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+94.5%
3Y
+62.5%
1Y
+8.8%
6M
-8.9%
1M
-6.8%
1W
+5.1%
CUL
Culp, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-80.2%
3Y
-45.4%
1Y
-32.0%
6M
-34.5%
1M
-9.5%
1W
+4.0%
WPR
Westport Fuel Systems Inc.
Peer
5Y
-97.0%
3Y
-73.4%
1Y
-24.7%
6M
+5.0%
1M
+13.5%
1W
+2.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-0.54
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.65
P/S Ratio
0.21
EV/Revenue
0.33
EV/EBITDA
-0.72
Market Cap
$34.0M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -51.9%
Operating Margin -58.07%
Gross Margin 38.77%
ROE -93.02%
ROA -30.16%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -23.3%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.83
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.37
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.99
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.89

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-03-10
$N/A
2025-11-06
$-2.4
+10.3% surprise
2025-08-07
$-1.92
+31.9% surprise
2025-05-08
$-2.73
+29.9% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing BIRD against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-93.02%
This Stock
vs
-43.92%
Sector Avg
+111.8% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
-51.9%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
+862.1% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.83
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
-45.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-23.3%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
-182.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.37
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
-3.6% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

VERNACHIO JOSEPH
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-12-02
4,384 shares · $21,334
MITCHELL ANNIE
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2025-12-02
1,837 shares · $8,948
HUGHES LILY YAN
Director
Stock Award
2025-10-31
22,222 shares
VERNACHIO JOSEPH
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-09-03
3,666 shares · $23,352
MITCHELL ANNIE
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2025-09-03
2,188 shares · $13,938
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
1 analysts
Morgan Stanley
2025-08-11
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BIRD from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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Fundamentals • Valuation • Risk
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