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BL

BEARISH
$53.08 Live
BlackLine, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $61.54 (+15.9%)
$40.82 52W Range $66.25

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$3.29B
P/E
48.25
ROE
22.2%
Profit margin
11.1%
Debt/Equity
2.51
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
72%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite strong gross margins and a history of consistent earnings surprises, the company faces significant headwinds including negative earnings growth, high leverage, and deteriorating profitability. Valuation metrics are stretched relative to fundamentals, with a P/E of 48.25 and a Graham Number of just $11.64, implying the stock is trading at a substantial premium. Persistent insider selling and weak technical sentiment further reinforce caution.

Key Strengths

Consistently beats earnings estimates, with 3 out of the last 4 quarters exceeding expectations and an average surprise of 16.22%
High gross margin of 75.34%, reflecting strong pricing power and low cost of sales in its software business model
Solid return on equity (ROE) of 22.18%, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital
Current and quick ratios above 1.5 and 1.48 respectively, suggesting adequate short-term liquidity
Revenue growth remains positive at 7.50% YoY, showing continued demand for its financial automation platform

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of only 4/9 signals weak financial health, particularly concerning given declining profitability and earnings
Earnings growth is sharply negative at -67.90% YoY and -69.30% QoQ, raising sustainability concerns
High debt/equity ratio of 2.51, significantly above sector average of 0.58, increasing financial risk
Valuation appears inflated with P/E of 48.25 vs. sector average of 91.41 but weak growth and negative earnings trajectory
Insider activity is bearish, with $0.49M in net sales over the past 6 months and no insider buys
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$11.64
-78.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
30
Weak
Value
25
Future
30
Past
65
Health
32
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Overvalued with deteriorating fundamentals and elevated risk
Key drivers: High valuation multiples not supported by earnings growth, Deteriorating profitability and negative earnings momentum, Strong historical earnings beats but recent deceleration, Elevated leverage relative to peers, Bearish insider and technical signals
Confidence
75%
Value
25/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Sector peers trade at even higher P/E (avg 91.41), providing relative context
Watchpoints
  • Current price ($53.08) is 356% above Graham Number ($11.64)
  • P/E of 48.25 is high for a company with negative earnings growth
  • Price/Book of 9.69 and Price/Sales of 4.78 indicate premium valuation
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 22.55 suggests some earnings recovery is priced in
  • Revenue growth still positive at 7.50% YoY
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth is sharply negative (-67.90% YoY)
  • Q/Q earnings decline of -69.30% shows accelerating deterioration
  • No PEG ratio due to unreliable growth assumptions
Past
65/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Long history of beating earnings estimates (22 out of 25 quarters positive surprises)
  • Impressive earnings surprise streak, including +544.9% and multiple +100%+ beats
  • Revenue growth has been consistently positive
Watchpoints
  • Most recent quarters show declining EPS and negative growth trends
  • Year-over-year EPS growth is now -15.0%
Health
32/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio (1.52) and quick ratio (1.48) indicate short-term liquidity adequacy
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
  • ROA of only 1.23% suggests poor asset efficiency
  • Debt/Equity of 2.51 is very high vs. sector avg of 0.58
  • Altman Z-Score unavailable, limiting distress risk analysis
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield or payout history
  • Dividend strength score of 0/100
  • No indication of capital return to shareholders

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$53.08
Analyst Target
$61.54
Upside/Downside
+15.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BL and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
BL
BlackLine, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-60.8%
3Y
-23.5%
1Y
-12.2%
6M
-5.2%
1M
-7.6%
1W
+0.8%
GTL
GitLab Inc.
Peer
5Y
-81.3%
3Y
-41.3%
1Y
-54.8%
6M
-56.5%
1M
-16.1%
1W
-14.0%
SYN
Synaptics Incorporated
Peer
5Y
-37.3%
3Y
-12.7%
1Y
+69.7%
6M
+14.4%
1M
+16.9%
1W
+12.3%
PI
Impinj, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+107.6%
3Y
-20.9%
1Y
+67.3%
6M
-45.1%
1M
+11.2%
1W
+4.7%
DIO
Diodes Incorporated
Peer
5Y
-9.8%
3Y
-15.3%
1Y
+99.8%
6M
+43.6%
1M
+17.6%
1W
+7.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
48.25
Forward P/E
22.55
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
9.69
P/S Ratio
4.78
EV/Revenue
4.82
EV/EBITDA
57.37
Market Cap
$3.29B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 11.07%
Operating Margin 5.54%
Gross Margin 75.34%
ROE 22.18%
ROA 1.23%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +7.5%
Earnings Growth -67.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -69.3%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
2.51
High debt
Current Ratio
1.52
Good
Quick Ratio
1.48
Good
Cash/Share
$13.52

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-10
$N/A
2025-11-06
$0.51
+0.9% surprise
2025-08-05
$0.61
+19.7% surprise
2025-05-06
$0.49
+28.0% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing BL against 565 companies in the Technology sector (45 bullish, 197 neutral, 323 bearish)
P/E Ratio
48.25
This Stock
vs
82.88
Sector Avg
-41.8% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
22.18%
This Stock
vs
-33.47%
Sector Avg
-166.3% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
11.07%
This Stock
vs
-11.75%
Sector Avg
-194.3% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
2.51
This Stock
vs
0.74
Sector Avg
+237.5% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
7.5%
This Stock
vs
4383.21%
Sector Avg
-99.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.52
This Stock
vs
3.59
Sector Avg
-57.6% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

UNG JEREMY
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-25
1,910 shares
RYAN OWEN
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-25
33,330 shares
MORGAN-PRAGER KAROLE
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-25
2,860 shares
UNTERMAN THOMAS E
Director
Sell
2025-10-27
910 shares · $50,050
UNTERMAN THOMAS E
Director
Sell
2025-09-22
7,255 shares · $400,739
STALICK MICHELLE D
Officer
Sell
2025-08-22
664 shares · $35,876
HENSHALL DAVID J
Director
Buy
2025-08-08
10,000 shares · $486,000
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
13 analysts
Rosenblatt
2025-12-02
init
Buy
Morgan Stanley
2025-11-10
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Baird
2025-11-07
down
Outperform Neutral
JMP Securities
2025-09-11
reit
Market Outperform Market Outperform
Truist Securities
2025-08-07
Maintains
Hold Hold
Morgan Stanley
2025-08-06
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
BMO Capital
2025-08-06
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform
Raymond James
2025-07-29
up
Market Perform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BL from our newsroom.

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