BLBD Blue Bird Corporation - Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH
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BLBD Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Industrials
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Current Price
Live
$49.57
Analyst Target
$63.75
+28.6%
Upside
52W High
$61.95
52W Low
$30.04
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
BLBD exhibits strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, indicating robust operational and balance sheet strength. The company is growing rapidly, with 16.9% YoY revenue growth and 51.8% earnings growth, supported by improving margins and high returns on equity and assets. Despite a premium valuation relative to the Graham Number ($26.31) and elevated Price/Book ratio, the stock trades below the growth-based intrinsic value estimate of $113.28 and has a strong analyst consensus. However, recent insider selling activity presents a notable counter-signal to the otherwise positive fundamentals.
Key Strengths
Exceptional Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, signaling strong financial health and operational efficiency
High profitability metrics: ROE of 61.56% and ROA of 18.36% far exceed sector averages
Strong earnings and revenue growth: 51.8% YoY earnings growth and 16.9% revenue growth
Solid balance sheet with low Debt/Equity (0.38) and healthy Current Ratio (1.74)
Analyst consensus is strong_buy with a $63.75 target price, implying ~29% upside
Key Risks
Significant insider selling: $7.29M in insider sales over the last 6 months with no buys
Valuation appears stretched: Price/Book of 6.19 and P/E of 12.91 exceed sector median despite strong growth
Lack of Altman Z-Score limits ability to assess bankruptcy risk quantitatively
High historical earnings volatility, including multiple quarters of large negative surprises in 2022
Dividend strength is 0/100 and no yield, reducing appeal for income investors
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$95.5
+92.7% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare BLBD against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations
Past News Coverage
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