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BLBX Blackboxstocks Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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BLBX Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Software - Application
Current Price Live
$13.1
52W High
$17.75
52W Low
$2.48

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$56.4M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-68.1%
Profit margin
-157.8%
Debt/Equity
0.39
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
88%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals severe financial health concerns with a Piotroski F-Score of just 1/9, indicating weak operational and balance sheet fundamentals. Despite strong recent price momentum and modest revenue growth, the company is deeply unprofitable with negative margins across all levels, deteriorating earnings surprises, and alarming liquidity ratios. The current ratio of 0.04 and quick ratio of 0.03 suggest imminent solvency risk, while insider selling and lack of analyst coverage further undermine confidence. Although the stock has surged over 200% in the past year, this appears disconnected from fundamentals, increasing the risk of a sharp correction.

Key Strengths

Strong short-term price momentum with +231.7% 1-year return
Modest YoY revenue growth of 7.60% in a challenging sector environment
Gross margin of 39.39% indicates some pricing power or cost control at the product level
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.39 suggests limited long-term leverage risk
Outperforms many peers on recent stock performance despite weak fundamentals

Key Risks

Critically low Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 signals severe financial distress
Extremely weak liquidity: current ratio of 0.04 and quick ratio of 0.03 indicate near-term solvency risk
Deeply negative profitability: -157.79% profit margin and -68.14% ROE
Consistently missing earnings estimates: 1 beat out of last 4 quarters with average surprise of -40.83%
Insider selling activity: $0.13M in sales over last 6 months with no buys

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
16
Weak
Value
15
Future
35
Past
20
Health
10
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High-risk speculative position with unsustainable fundamentals
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, Negative earnings and cash flow metrics, Extreme valuation multiples, Deteriorating earnings quality, Insider selling
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Price/Sales and Price/Book are high but not outliers in tech sector context
Watchpoints
  • P/E is negative (Forward P/E: -30.47)
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value available due to unprofitability
  • Price/Sales of 23.62 and Price/Book of 10.85 are extremely high for a loss-making company
Future
35/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 7.60% YoY revenue growth shows some top-line traction
  • Year-over-year EPS growth of +53.4% (from deeply negative base)
Watchpoints
  • Q/Q EPS growth is -28.6%, indicating recent deterioration
  • No earnings growth visibility due to consistent misses
Past
20/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Stock has delivered strong price returns: +631% over 3 years
Watchpoints
  • History of large earnings misses: average surprise of -40.83%
  • Persistent unprofitability across all historical quarters
Health
10/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.39 is moderate
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates critical financial weakness
  • Current ratio of 0.04 and quick ratio of 0.03 signal severe liquidity crisis
  • ROA of -22.34% and ROE of -68.14% show capital destruction
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength of 0/100
  • No dividend yield or payout history

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$13.1

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BLBX and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
BLBX
Blackboxstocks Inc.
Primary
+0.1% +631.0% +231.7% +75.8% +57.6% +18.7%
AIRG
Airgain, Inc.
Peer
-83.0% -24.1% -11.1% -2.2% -25.6% -2.7%
ALAR
Alarum Technologies Ltd.
Peer
-59.0% +304.9% -1.6% -58.2% -4.7% -10.0%
AMPG
AmpliTech Group, Inc.
Peer
-74.5% -6.6% +64.1% -36.8% -8.6% +0.8%
ACFN
Acorn Energy, Inc.
Peer
+108.8% +221.6% +12.7% -36.0% -0.5% -2.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-30.47
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
10.85
P/S Ratio
23.62
EV/Revenue
23.46
EV/EBITDA
-16.73
Market Cap
$56.4M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -157.79%
Operating Margin -62.97%
Gross Margin 39.39%
ROE -68.14%
ROA -22.35%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +7.6%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.39
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.04
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.03
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.02

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2024-05-15
$-0.27
-92.9% surprise
2024-04-01
$-0.21
-10.5% surprise
2023-11-14
$-0.21
+27.6% surprise
2023-08-14
$-0.45
-87.5% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing BLBX against 149 companies in the Technology sector (10 bullish, 66 neutral, 73 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-68.14%
This Stock
vs
-8.13%
Sector Avg
+738.1% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
-157.79%
This Stock
vs
-7.75%
Sector Avg
+1934.8% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.39
This Stock
vs
0.76
Sector Avg
-49.2% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
7.6%
This Stock
vs
56.87%
Sector Avg
-86.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.04
This Stock
vs
3.33
Sector Avg
-98.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
BLBX
Blackboxstocks Inc.
BEARISH $56.4M - -68.1% -157.8% $13.1
AIRG
Airgain, Inc.
BEARISH $49.14M - -21.7% -12.4% $4.02
ALAR
Alarum Technologies Ltd.
BEARISH $48.39M 33.4 4.2% 3.3% $6.68
AMPG
AmpliTech Group, Inc.
BEARISH $64.46M - -27.1% -33.8% $2.56
ACFN
Acorn Energy, Inc.
BEARISH $47.69M 7.16 36.6% 21.9% $19.04

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2025-10-23 SMITH CHARLES BRANDON Chief Technology Officer Sale 9,167 $83,191
2025-10-21 REID KELLER CHARLES Director Sale 5,000 $46,176
2025-10-16 WINSPEAR ROBERT L Chief Financial Officer Stock Award 50,000 $534,500
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BLBX from our newsroom.

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