BLMN
BEARISH
$7.71
Live
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $7.75
(+0.5%)
$5.9
52W Range
$12.97
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$657.02M
P/E
20.84
ROE
12.4%
Profit margin
-1.5%
Debt/Equity
6.35
Dividend yield
7.83%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and a lack of Altman Z-Score raises concerns about bankruptcy risk assessment. Despite a high dividend yield of 7.83%, the unsustainable payout ratio of 186.49% and negative profitability metrics signal severe earnings pressure. Valuation multiples appear deceptively attractive due to low P/E and P/S ratios, but these are distorted by weak or negative margins and declining earnings. The technical trend is bearish, insider activity shows net selling, and long-term price performance remains deeply negative, reinforcing a high-risk profile.
Key Strengths
High dividend yield of 7.83% offers income appeal despite sustainability risks
Forward P/E of 8.49 is significantly below sector average, suggesting potential value if turnaround succeeds
Recent quarterly earnings surprises have been positive in 2 of the last 4 quarters, showing some operational resilience
Price/Sales ratio of 0.17 is extremely low, indicating possible undervaluation relative to revenue
Analyst target price of $7.75 is nearly in line with current price, implying limited downside in consensus view
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and low resilience to shocks
Debt/Equity ratio of 6.35 is extremely high, far above sector average of 1.52, increasing financial risk
Negative profit and operating margins (-1.46%, -0.43%) show ongoing unprofitability
Current and quick ratios of 0.45 and 0.31 indicate severe liquidity risk
Earnings growth YoY is -114.3%, reflecting a sharp deterioration in profitability
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$5.8
-24.8% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
33
Weak
58
24
30
20
35
AI Verdict
High-risk investment with severe financial health and profitability concerns
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score, Negative earnings and margins, Extremely high debt burden, Unsustainable dividend payout, Bearish technical and insider signals
Confidence
88%
Value
58/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Low Forward P/E of 8.49
- Very low Price/Sales ratio of 0.17
- Current price near Graham Number of $5.8
Watchpoints
- P/E ratio may be misleading due to negative earnings base
- No EV/EBITDA or PEG due to unprofitability
- Graham Number not adjusted for debt or cash flow risk
Future
24/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Revenue growth YoY at 2.10% shows minimal top-line expansion
- Forward P/E implies some growth expectations priced in
Watchpoints
- Earnings growth YoY at -114.3% indicates severe profit collapse
- No Q/Q growth data available, but recent EPS trend is sharply negative
- No PEG ratio due to unreliable growth estimates
Past
30/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- History of beating earnings estimates in prior years (e.g., +124% surprise in 2021)
- Some quarters showed strong positive surprises pre-2024
Watchpoints
- Recent quarters show declining accuracy and negative surprises
- Most recent Q/Q EPS growth is -109.1%, indicating rapid deterioration
- 5Y price return of -58.5% reflects long-term underperformance
Health
20/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- ROE of 12.43% suggests some equity efficiency, though potentially inflated by high leverage
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- Debt/Equity of 6.35 is dangerously high
- Current ratio of 0.45 and quick ratio of 0.31 signal acute liquidity risk
- No Altman Z-Score available, but debt and margin levels suggest distress risk
Dividend
35/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 7.83% is high and attractive on surface
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 186.49% is unsustainable
- Dividend strength score of 40/100 indicates weak reliability
- No dividend growth history or consistency data available
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$7.71
Analyst Target
$7.75
Upside/Downside
+0.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BLMN and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BLMN
Bloomin' Brands, Inc.
Primary
|
-58.5% | -61.9% | -33.9% | -21.6% | +17.9% | +0.5% |
|
HZO
MarineMax, Inc.
Peer
|
-48.9% | +3.0% | +32.2% | +11.3% | +16.3% | -1.8% |
|
BZH
Beazer Homes USA, Inc.
Peer
|
+9.2% | +32.1% | +16.8% | -7.0% | +14.0% | +1.4% |
|
KRUS
Kura Sushi USA, Inc.
Peer
|
+76.8% | -24.3% | +8.5% | -0.7% | -6.3% | -18.9% |
|
BWMX
Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.
Peer
|
-41.0% | +96.5% | +74.8% | +30.6% | -0.2% | -8.8% |
BLM
Bloomin' Brands, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-58.5%
3Y
-61.9%
1Y
-33.9%
6M
-21.6%
1M
+17.9%
1W
+0.5%
HZO
MarineMax, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-48.9%
3Y
+3.0%
1Y
+32.2%
6M
+11.3%
1M
+16.3%
1W
-1.8%
BZH
Beazer Homes USA, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+9.2%
3Y
+32.1%
1Y
+16.8%
6M
-7.0%
1M
+14.0%
1W
+1.4%
KRU
Kura Sushi USA, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+76.8%
3Y
-24.3%
1Y
+8.5%
6M
-0.7%
1M
-6.3%
1W
-18.9%
BWM
Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.
Peer
5Y
-41.0%
3Y
+96.5%
1Y
+74.8%
6M
+30.6%
1M
-0.2%
1W
-8.8%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
20.84
Forward P/E
8.49
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.91
P/S Ratio
0.17
EV/Revenue
0.71
EV/EBITDA
8.34
Market Cap
$657.02M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-1.46%
Operating Margin
-0.43%
Gross Margin
13.58%
ROE
12.43%
ROA
2.93%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+2.1%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
6.35
High debt
Current Ratio
0.45
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.31
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.78
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-26
$N/A
2025-11-06
$-0.03
+76.0% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.33
+13.1% surprise
2025-05-07
$0.5
-9.8% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing BLMN against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
20.84
This Stock
vs
33.98
Sector Avg
-38.7%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
12.43%
This Stock
vs
-43.92%
Sector Avg
-128.3%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-1.46%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
-72.9%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
6.35
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
+319.6%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
2.1%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
-92.6%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.45
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
-81.5%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BLMN
Bloomin' Brands, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $657.02M | 20.84 | 12.4% | -1.5% | $7.71 | |
|
HZO
MarineMax, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $660.62M | - | -6.5% | -2.8% | $29.99 | Compare |
|
BZH
Beazer Homes USA, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $662.46M | 77.41 | 0.8% | 0.4% | $22.45 | Compare |
|
KRUS
Kura Sushi USA, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $671.29M | - | -0.9% | -0.6% | $55.26 | Compare |
|
BWMX
Betterware de México,...
|
NEUTRAL | $637.62M | 10.63 | 83.2% | 7.3% | $17.12 | Compare |
BLMN
Bloomin' Brands, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$657M
P/E
20.8
ROE
12.4%
Price
$7.71
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 | HAFNER PATRICK M | Officer | Sale | 4,256 | $27,281 |
| 2025-11-11 | KUNKEL JULIE T. | Director | Purchase | 1,500 | $9,555 |
| 2025-11-10 | CHRISTEL ERIC C | Chief Financial Officer | Purchase | 150,000 | $957,000 |
| 2025-10-31 | GRAFF MARK E | Officer | Stock Award | 4,861 | - |
| 2025-10-31 | GONZALEZ LISSETTE R | Officer | Stock Award | 4,018 | - |
| 2025-10-13 | HEALY WILLIAM MICHAEL | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 8,101 | - |
| 2025-10-01 | SPANOS MICHAEL | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 60,082 | - |
| 2025-09-03 | LEFFERTS KELLY | Officer | Stock Award | 12,962 | - |
| 2025-09-03 | PACE PHILIP J | Officer | Stock Award | 6,481 | - |
| 2025-09-03 | GRAFF MARK E | Officer | Stock Award | 9,721 | - |
| 2025-09-03 | GONZALEZ LISSETTE R | Officer | Stock Award | 9,721 | - |
| 2025-09-03 | HEALY WILLIAM MICHAEL | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 16,202 | - |
| 2025-09-03 | HAFNER PATRICK M | Officer | Stock Award | 16,202 | - |
HAFNER PATRICK M
Officer
2025-11-11
4,256 shares
·
$27,281
KUNKEL JULIE T.
Director
2025-11-11
1,500 shares
·
$9,555
CHRISTEL ERIC C
Chief Financial Officer
2025-11-10
150,000 shares
·
$957,000
GRAFF MARK E
Officer
2025-10-31
4,861 shares
GONZALEZ LISSETTE R
Officer
2025-10-31
4,018 shares
HEALY WILLIAM MICHAEL
Chief Financial Officer
2025-10-13
8,101 shares
SPANOS MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
2025-10-01
60,082 shares
LEFFERTS KELLY
Officer
2025-09-03
12,962 shares
PACE PHILIP J
Officer
2025-09-03
6,481 shares
GRAFF MARK E
Officer
2025-09-03
9,721 shares
GONZALEZ LISSETTE R
Officer
2025-09-03
9,721 shares
HEALY WILLIAM MICHAEL
Chief Financial Officer
2025-09-03
16,202 shares
HAFNER PATRICK M
Officer
2025-09-03
16,202 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
13 analysts
Freedom Capital Markets
2025-12-17
Buy
Goldman Sachs
2025-08-07
Sell
Sell
BMO Capital
2025-08-07
Market Perform
Market Perform
Barclays
2025-08-06
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BLMN from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.