BMBL Bumble Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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BMBL Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Communication Services
Internet Content & Information
Current Price
Live
$3.54
Analyst Target
$4.56
+28.9%
Upside
52W High
$8.82
52W Low
$3.18
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$562.68M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-23.8%
Profit margin
-19.8%
Debt/Equity
0.58
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
88%
Analysis Accuracy
BMBL's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals severe financial distress, highlighted by a critically low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating weak fundamental health. Despite attractive valuation multiples like a Forward P/E of 3.81 and Price/Book of 0.59, the company is plagued by negative earnings, shrinking revenues, and deteriorating profitability, with a -19.82% profit margin and -10.00% YoY revenue growth. Persistent negative earnings surprises, collapsing EPS trends (-87.9% YoY), and substantial insider selling—over $113M in the last six months—further erode confidence. While strong operating margins (26.88%) and solid liquidity (Current Ratio: 3.55) offer limited support, they are insufficient to offset the broader deterioration in earnings quality and investor sentiment.
Key Strengths
High gross margin (70.69%) indicates strong pricing power and low cost of revenue
Low Forward P/E of 3.81 suggests deep value pricing relative to earnings potential
Healthy liquidity position with Current Ratio of 3.55 and Quick Ratio of 3.25
Low Debt/Equity of 0.58 implies manageable leverage relative to equity base
Operating margin remains strong at 26.88%, outperforming many peers
Key Risks
Critically low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial weakness and poor earnings quality
Profit margin of -19.82% and ROE of -23.81% reflect ongoing profitability crisis
Revenue declining YoY by -10.00%, indicating weakening demand or competitive pressures
Massive insider selling ($113.04M in 6 months) signals lack of confidence from insiders
Earnings volatility and consistent negative surprises (avg -24.78% last 4 quarters) undermine reliability
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$4.56
+28.8% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
24
Weak
68
18
22
14
0
AI Verdict
Highly bearish due to poor financial health, declining fundamentals, and negative sentiment
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score (2/9), Negative earnings and shrinking revenue, Poor earnings surprise history, Massive insider selling, Negative ROE and deteriorating profitability
Confidence
90%
Value
68/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 3.81 is exceptionally low
- Price/Book of 0.59 suggests shares trade below book value
- Price/Sales of 0.56 indicates deep discount to revenue
Watchpoints
- P/E is N/A due to negative earnings, limiting comparability
- No Graham Number or Intrinsic Value provided, reducing confidence in formulaic valuation
Future
18/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Analyst target price of $4.56 implies 28.7% upside
Watchpoints
- Revenue Growth (YoY): -10.00%
- Earnings Growth (YoY): N/A (but implied deeply negative)
- Most Recent Q/Q EPS Growth: -32.6%
- Year-over-Year EPS Growth: -87.9%
Past
22/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Some past earnings beats (e.g., +707.4% in 2024-11-06)
Watchpoints
- Highly volatile earnings: 1 beat in last 4 quarters
- Average earnings surprise of -24.78% over last 4 quarters
- History of large negative surprises (e.g., -528.5% in 2021-08-11)
Health
14/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current Ratio of 3.55 indicates strong short-term liquidity
- Quick Ratio of 3.25 supports near-term solvency
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial weakness
- ROE of -23.81% reflects poor return on equity
- Profit Margin of -19.82% shows unprofitable operations
- Altman Z-Score not available, but financial instability evident
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Dividend Strength: 0/100
- No dividend yield or payout history
- No indication of future dividend plans
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$3.54
Analyst Target
$4.56
Upside/Downside
+28.9%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BMBL and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BMBL
Bumble Inc.
Primary
|
-95.0% | -85.5% | -52.8% | -56.9% | -1.1% | -0.8% |
|
ATEX
Anterix Inc.
Peer
|
-41.5% | -35.5% | -19.3% | +12.3% | +6.6% | -5.8% |
|
ANGX
Angel Studios, Inc.
Peer
|
-66.8% | -66.8% | -66.8% | -66.8% | -14.3% | +2.1% |
|
ATNI
ATN International, Inc.
Peer
|
-44.6% | -45.8% | +56.2% | +31.7% | +2.9% | +1.1% |
|
AENT
Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation
Peer
|
-30.5% | +50.7% | +98.8% | +3.4% | -1.3% | -3.7% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
3.81
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.59
P/S Ratio
0.56
EV/Revenue
1.05
EV/EBITDA
3.92
Market Cap
$562.68M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-19.82%
Operating Margin
26.88%
Gross Margin
70.69%
ROE
-23.81%
ROA
6.17%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-10.0%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.58
Moderate
Current Ratio
3.55
Strong
Quick Ratio
3.25
Excellent
Cash/Share
$2.73
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-17
$N/A
2025-11-05
$0.29
-46.2% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.43
+11.9% surprise
2025-05-07
$0.22
-40.0% surprise
Communication Services Sector Comparison
Comparing BMBL against 36 companies in the Communication Services sector
(0 bullish, 17 neutral, 19 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-23.81%
This Stock
vs
-7.47%
Sector Avg
+218.7%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
-19.82%
This Stock
vs
40.35%
Sector Avg
-149.1%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.58
This Stock
vs
1.12
Sector Avg
-48.2%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-10.0%
This Stock
vs
28.6%
Sector Avg
-135.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
3.55
This Stock
vs
2.2
Sector Avg
+61.0%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BMBL
Bumble Inc.
|
BEARISH | $562.68M | - | -23.8% | -19.8% | $3.54 | |
|
ATEX
Anterix Inc.
|
BEARISH | $446.19M | 4.72 | 50.4% | 1614.1% | $23.81 | |
|
ANGX
Angel Studios, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $728.49M | - | -440.9% | -53.8% | $4.32 | |
|
ATNI
ATN International, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $347.56M | - | -1.9% | -1.1% | $22.78 | |
|
AENT
Alliance Entertainment...
|
NEUTRAL | $345.49M | 15.77 | 20.5% | 2.1% | $6.78 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 | BLACKSTONE INC | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Stock Award | 16,566,115 | - |
| 2025-10-06 | HSIAO SISSIE L | Director | Sale | 2,707 | $15,745 |
| 2025-08-26 | COOK KEVIN D. | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 1,657,803 | - |
| 2025-08-13 | HERD WHITNEY WOLFE | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 1,365,116 | $8,545,626 |
| 2025-08-13 | BLACKSTONE HOLDINGS III GP MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Sale | 16,689,884 | $104,478,674 |
| 2025-08-13 | HERD WHITNEY WOLFE | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 1,000,000 | - |
| 2025-08-13 | BLACKSTONE HOLDINGS III GP MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Stock Award | 7,395,159 | - |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
13 analysts
Citigroup
2025-12-22
Neutral
Neutral
Jefferies
2025-12-11
Hold
Hold
Morgan Stanley
2025-11-19
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
UBS
2025-11-10
Neutral
Neutral
Susquehanna
2025-11-10
Neutral
Neutral
Goldman Sachs
2025-11-07
Neutral
Neutral
Evercore ISI Group
2025-11-07
In-Line
In-Line
Wells Fargo
2025-11-06
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
RBC Capital
2025-11-06
Outperform
Sector Perform
Goldman Sachs
2025-10-03
Buy
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BMBL from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.