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BNGO

BEARISH
$1.15 Live
Bionano Genomics, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $5.5 (+378.3%)
$1.06 52W Range $5.5

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AI Analysis

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Confidence
85%
BNGO exhibits severe financial distress despite modest revenue growth, as reflected in its Piotroski F-Score of 1/9—indicating weak operational and financial health. The absence of an Altman Z-Score and the company's negative profitability metrics (e.g., -134.36% profit margin, -78.22% ROE) signal deep operational inefficiencies and high risk of insolvency. Although the stock shows a recent technical uptick and strong earnings surprise history, these are overshadowed by deteriorating fundamentals, massive losses, and a 5-year price decline of 100%. The lack of a Graham Number and intrinsic value estimate further underscores the absence of a reliable valuation anchor. Analysts have a target price of $5.50, but this is not supported by current fundamentals and appears speculative.

Key Strengths

21.30% year-over-year revenue growth indicates market traction in a high-growth sector
Gross margin of 45.97% suggests strong pricing power and cost control in product delivery
Recent quarterly earnings surprises (average +42.66%) show potential for better-than-expected execution
Positive Q/Q EPS growth (+19.3%) and high YoY EPS improvement (+90.1%) signal improving loss trajectory
Current ratio of 2.12 and quick ratio of 1.14 indicate short-term liquidity resilience

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 is critically low, signaling severe financial deterioration and poor operational efficiency
Negative ROE (-78.22%) and ROA (-19.31%) reflect deep capital inefficiency and sustained losses
Profit margin of -134.36% and operating margin of -115.89% indicate unsustainable business model at current scale
No available Altman Z-Score raises unquantified bankruptcy risk; debt/equity of 0.35 is misleading without cash/debt context
5-year price decline of 100% and 1-year drop of 64.6% reflect persistent market skepticism and capital erosion

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