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BRFH Barfresh Food Group, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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BRFH Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Consumer Defensive Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Current Price Live
$3.16
Analyst Target
$6.0
+89.9% Upside
52W High
$6.08
52W Low
$2.0

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$50.46M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-167.4%
Profit margin
-24.0%
Debt/Equity
1.21
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a critically weak financial profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 0/9, indicating severe deterioration in fundamental health. Despite positive revenue growth of 16.3% and a bullish analyst target price of $6.00, the company is deeply unprofitable with a -24.04% profit margin, -167.45% ROE, and negative earnings momentum. High valuation multiples, deteriorating earnings quality, and lack of Altman Z-Score due to financial instability further signal distress. While insiders show mildly positive sentiment at 40/100, the technical trend is bearish and recent price strength appears speculative rather than fundamental.

Key Strengths

Revenue growth of 16.3% YoY outpaces sector average of 15.22%
Gross margin of 31.86% indicates some pricing power or cost control at production level
Analyst target price of $6.00 implies 89.9% upside from current $3.16
Insider sentiment at 40/100 suggests no major red flags in insider selling
Current ratio of 1.25 shows minimal short-term liquidity coverage

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 indicates extreme financial weakness and high risk of operational failure
ROE of -167.45% and ROA of -31.82% reflect severe capital inefficiency and losses
Price/Book of 26.12 is extremely elevated for a loss-making company with negative equity returns
Debt/Equity of 1.21 in context of losses increases bankruptcy risk, especially with no Altman Z-Score
Earnings surprises have been overwhelmingly negative, averaging -194.44% over last four quarters
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$1.25
-60.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
18
Weak
Value
15
Future
45
Past
20
Health
10
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High-risk speculative position with unsustainable fundamentals
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 0, Negative ROE and operating margins, Extreme valuation disconnect from earnings, Poor earnings surprise history, Lack of Altman Z-Score due to financial distress
Confidence
88%
Value
15/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Analyst target implies significant upside
Watchpoints
  • P/B of 26.12 is unjustifiably high for a loss-making firm
  • Forward P/E of -48.62 indicates deep losses
  • No Graham Number due to unprofitability
  • No meaningful cash flow or EBITDA for valuation anchoring
Future
45/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue growth of 16.3% YoY is above sector average
  • Analyst coverage suggests growth expectations
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth not available and trending negative
  • Q/Q EPS growth of +66.7% is from deeply negative base
  • No evidence of margin expansion or path to profitability
Past
20/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Some quarters show improved EPS vs estimates (e.g., +40% in 2024-05-15)
Watchpoints
  • 22 of 25 quarters show losses
  • Consistent negative earnings surprises averaging -194.44% over last 4
  • EPS has never turned positive in tracked history
  • Historical ROE consistently negative and worsening
Health
10/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio of 1.25 provides minimal short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 indicates systemic financial failure
  • No Altman Z-Score due to insolvency risk or missing data
  • Debt/Equity of 1.21 with no profitability increases default risk
  • Quick ratio of 0.98 indicates inability to cover short-term liabilities without inventory
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Dividend Strength of 0/100
  • No dividend yield or payout history
  • No capacity to pay dividends given losses

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$3.16
Analyst Target
$6.0
Upside/Downside
+89.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BRFH and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
BRFH
Barfresh Food Group, Inc.
Primary
-42.1% +145.0% -15.3% +2.6% +23.4% -5.7%
ABVE
Above Food Ingredients Inc.
Peer
-68.9% -68.9% +205.3% -29.3% -34.1% +5.5%
BOF
BranchOut Food Inc.
Peer
-32.3% -32.3% +52.3% +20.5% -11.0% -9.9%
BRID
Bridgford Foods Corporation
Peer
-55.5% -33.0% -25.5% -3.2% +4.1% -6.9%
AACG
ATA Creativity Global
Peer
-78.8% -48.4% +4.2% -53.5% +6.5% +2.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-48.62
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
26.12
P/S Ratio
4.36
EV/Revenue
4.4
EV/EBITDA
-20.87
Market Cap
$50.46M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -24.04%
Operating Margin -6.14%
Gross Margin 31.86%
ROE -167.45%
ROA -31.82%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +16.3%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.21
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.25
Good
Quick Ratio
0.98
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.12

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2025-11-06
$-0.02
-100.0% surprise
2025-08-13
$-0.06
2025-05-01
$-0.05
+16.7% surprise
2025-03-27
$-0.06
-500.0% surprise

Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison

Comparing BRFH against 48 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector (2 bullish, 27 neutral, 19 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-167.45%
This Stock
vs
4.7%
Sector Avg
-3661.4% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-24.04%
This Stock
vs
-1.11%
Sector Avg
+2066.5% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.21
This Stock
vs
1.71
Sector Avg
-29.2% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
16.3%
This Stock
vs
8.8%
Sector Avg
+85.3% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.25
This Stock
vs
1.98
Sector Avg
-37.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
BRFH
Barfresh Food Group, Inc.
BEARISH $50.46M - -167.4% -24.0% $3.16
ABVE
Above Food Ingredients Inc.
BEARISH $59.38M - -% -23.4% $1.16
BOF
BranchOut Food Inc.
BEARISH $40.14M - -168.2% -49.8% $3.0
BRID
Bridgford Foods Corporation
BEARISH $69.3M - -5.8% -3.2% $7.63
AACG
ATA Creativity Global
BEARISH $31.45M - -13.6% -3.0% $0.99

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
2 analysts
Maxim Group
2025-09-19
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BRFH from our newsroom.

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