COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL
COIN Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
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Financial Services
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Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Current Price
$236.53
Analyst Target
$365.17
+54.4% Upside
52W High
$444.65
52W Low
$142.58
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a mixed financial profile: the Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial health, while the Altman Z-Score of 91826622233.6 suggests an extremely low distress risk, likely due to high market capitalization and strong equity position. Despite robust profitability metrics—such as a 43.66% profit margin and 26% ROE—recent insider selling, volatile earnings surprises, and a high forward P/E of 34.77 temper optimism. Revenue and earnings growth are exceptionally strong year-over-year, but the stock trades significantly above its Graham Number of $124.59, reflecting premium valuation on future expectations. Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation with a $365.17 target, implying 54% upside, though technical trend and insider signals are bearish.
Key Strengths
Exceptionally high Altman Z-Score indicates near-zero bankruptcy risk and strong balance sheet resilience
Outstanding profitability with 43.66% net margin, 25.25% operating margin, and 84.82% gross margin
Impressive year-over-year revenue growth of 58.90% and earnings growth of 430.60%
Strong ROE of 26.00%, outperforming sector average of 26.06%
Analyst consensus supports upside with a $365.17 target price, implying substantial appreciation potential
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 signals weak financial health, particularly concerning profitability consistency and leverage trends
High forward P/E of 34.77 suggests overvaluation relative to near-term earnings, increasing vulnerability to sentiment shifts
Insiders have been aggressively selling—$43.55M in net sales over last 6 months—indicating lack of confidence at current levels
Earnings volatility is extreme, with recent quarters missing estimates by wide margins (e.g., -87.2% surprise)
Technical trend score of 0/100 and negative short-term price performance (-33.5% over 6M) reflect strong bearish momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$341.31
+44.3% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare COIN against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations