DOCU DocuSign, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL

DOCU Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NASDAQ • Technology • Software - Application

Current Price Live

$56.71

Analyst Target

$85.11

+50.1% Upside

52W High

$99.3

52W Low

$56.63

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AI Analysis

Confidence Score

65%

Analysis Accuracy

DOCU's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. The stock trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($17.84) and even above the growth-based intrinsic value of $42.18, currently priced at $56.71, reflecting high market expectations. Despite solid recent earnings beats and strong YoY earnings growth of 33.3%, weak insider sentiment and deteriorating technical trends weigh on near-term momentum. Relative to peers, DOCU exhibits above-average profitability and low leverage but faces headwinds from slowing revenue growth and stretched valuation multiples.

Key Strengths

Strong and consistent earnings growth with YoY EPS growth of 12.2% and Q/Q EPS growth of 9.8%

High gross margin of 79.50%, indicating strong pricing power and low cost of sales

Low debt/equity ratio of 0.08, reflecting a conservative capital structure

Consistent history of beating earnings estimates, with 3 out of last 4 quarters exceeding expectations and an average surprise of 9.77%

Operating margin expansion to 10.43% and ROE of 15.22%, above sector averages for efficiency

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests below-average financial health, particularly concerning liquidity and profitability stability

Current ratio of 0.73 and quick ratio of 0.68 indicate potential short-term liquidity pressure

Valuation appears stretched with a P/E of 39.66 despite a forward P/E of 13.78, suggesting high near-term expectations

Insider selling activity totaling $5.35M in the last 6 months signals lack of confidence from executives

Technical trend score of 0/100 and 1-year price decline of 37.8% reflect weak market sentiment and momentum

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$42.18

-25.6% below current price

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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