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ENPH

BEARISH
$35.24 Live
Enphase Energy, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $45.42 (+28.9%)
$25.78 52W Range $54.43

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Enphase Energy exhibits significant financial deterioration, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and a current price ($35.24) that trades at a massive premium to its Graham Number ($15.51) and Intrinsic Value ($9.03). The company is facing a severe growth crisis with negative YoY revenue (-10.30%) and earnings (-36.40%) growth. While the forward P/E suggests a potential recovery, the combination of bearish insider selling and a 0/100 technical trend indicates a lack of immediate catalyst. The stock appears to be in a long-term structural decline, losing over 76% of its value over 5 years.

Key Strengths

Strong current ratio (2.06) indicating short-term liquidity
Positive ROE of 17.93% despite earnings decline
Consistent history of beating quarterly earnings estimates
Reasonable Forward P/E (13.18) if growth stabilizes
Healthy gross margins (30.44%) relative to some tech peers

Key Risks

Severe negative growth trajectory in both revenue and earnings
Weak financial health as indicated by Piotroski F-Score (3/9)
Significant overvaluation relative to defensive fair value (Graham Number)
Bearish insider sentiment with $10.61M in net sales and zero buys
Strong bearish technical trend (0/100)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$18.5
-47.5% below current price

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