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EQIX Equinix, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL
EQIX Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Real Estate REIT - Specialty
Current Price
$785.57
Analyst Target
$964.8
+22.8% Upside
52W High
$994.03
52W Low
$701.41

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Nov 16, 2025
Market cap
$77.23B
P/E
72.47
ROE
7.7%
Profit margin
11.8%
Debt/Equity
1.48
Dividend yield
2.39%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
Equinix (EQIX) trades at a significant premium to peers with a P/E of 72.47 versus sector average of 32.47, reflecting its high-quality data center infrastructure and consistent earnings execution, though recent insider selling and stretched valuation temper near-term upside. The company has delivered strong earnings growth of 22.9% YoY and beat estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, supported by resilient demand for digital infrastructure. However, the stock has underperformed over the past year (-11.1%) amid macro concerns and elevated leverage (Debt/Equity: 1.48), while the dividend payout ratio of 168.47% raises sustainability concerns. Analysts maintain a 'buy' rating with a $964.80 target, implying ~22.8% upside, but this is counterbalanced by lackluster price momentum and insider skepticism.

Key Strengths

Consistent earnings outperformance: 3 beats in last 4 quarters with average surprise of 14.76%
Strong YoY earnings growth of 22.9%, outpacing revenue growth (6.6%) and indicating margin leverage
High gross margin of 50.35%, reflecting pricing power and asset quality in the data center REIT niche
Superior operating cash flow generation implied by stable operating margin (21.85%) and REIT structure
Attractive dividend yield of 2.39%, above sector median and providing income support in volatile markets

Key Risks

Extremely high valuation: P/E of 72.47 vs sector avg 32.47 and forward P/E of 58.71, leaving little margin for error
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 168.47%, indicating dividends exceed earnings and require external financing
Recent insider selling: $4.68M in net sales over last 6 months, signaling management caution
Underperformance in price momentum: -11.1% 1Y return vs PLD's +11.0%, despite stronger earnings growth
Leverage risk: Debt/Equity of 1.48, while manageable, is elevated in a rising rate environment and limits flexibility
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$964.8
+22.8% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
56
Moderate
Value
40
Future
75
Past
70
Health
65
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
EQIX demonstrates strong fundamental execution and leadership in the digital infrastructure space, but its premium valuation, deteriorating dividend coverage, and insider selling constrain near-term upside relative to peers like AMT and PLD, which offer better risk-reward in the specialty REIT sector
Key drivers: Earnings growth and beat rate, Valuation premium to peers, Dividend sustainability concerns
Confidence
75%
Value
40/100

EQIX trades at more than double the sector's average P/E of 32.47, with only PLD (35.71) coming close, suggesting the market is pricing in perfection

Positives
  • High growth justifies some premium to sector average P/E of 32.47
  • Price/Sales of 8.51 reflects high-margin, recurring revenue model
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 72.47 is extremely elevated, even for a growth-oriented REIT
  • Forward P/E of 58.71 still indicates overvaluation relative to projected earnings
Future
75/100

Despite solid earnings trajectory and digital infrastructure tailwinds, EQIX's revenue growth is decelerating relative to peers, and short-term price action shows weakening momentum despite positive earnings surprises

Positives
  • Robust earnings growth of 22.9% YoY and 25.9% Q/Q
  • Continued digital transformation tailwinds supporting long-term data center demand
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth of 6.6% lags peer average of 8.2%, indicating market share or pricing challenges
  • Slowing price momentum with -4.8% 1W return and -9.3% 6M return
Past
70/100

EQIX has demonstrated strong earnings consistency over the last two years with improving beat rates, but historical volatility and recent share price weakness highlight sensitivity to macro and rate environments

Positives
  • Consistent earnings beat rate: 3 out of last 4 quarters above estimates
  • High-quality profitability with stable gross (50.35%) and operating margins (21.85%)
Watchpoints
  • Earnings volatility evident in 2020–2021 with multiple large negative surprises (e.g., -62% in Q1 2021)
  • 1Y price return of -11.1% underperforms both 3Y (+26.5%) and 5Y (+14.3%) trends
Health
65/100

EQIX maintains manageable leverage compared to sector average (1.48 vs 2.40) and better liquidity than many REITs, though its debt load remains a concern given interest rate exposure and dividend funding needs

Positives
  • Current ratio of 1.34 and quick ratio of 1.07 indicate adequate short-term liquidity
  • Debt/Equity of 1.48 is below sector average of 2.40, suggesting relatively prudent leverage
Watchpoints
  • Missing EV, debt, and cash data limits full capital structure assessment
  • High leverage relative to PLD (0.63) increases refinancing risk in high-rate regime
Dividend
30/100

While the 2.39% yield is appealing, the unsustainable payout ratio of 168.47% raises red flags about long-term dividend integrity, especially given insider selling and high leverage

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 2.39% is attractive in current rate environment and supports investor demand
  • REIT structure mandates distributions, providing policy consistency
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 168.47% indicates dividends are not covered by earnings, requiring FCF or debt to fund
  • No data on dividend growth history or policy clarity increases sustainability risk

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$785.57
Analyst Target
$964.8
Upside/Downside
+22.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for EQIX and closest competitors.

Updated 2025-11-14
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
EQIX
Equinix, Inc.
Primary
+14.3% +26.5% -11.1% -9.3% -4.5% -4.8%
SPG
Simon Property Group, Inc.
Peer
+202.9% +79.3% +7.6% +13.4% +2.5% -0.5%
AMT
American Tower Corporation
Peer
-11.4% -7.7% -2.5% -12.5% -3.4% +3.2%
DLR
Digital Realty Trust, Inc.
Peer
+32.5% +57.2% -8.6% -5.7% -9.7% -6.9%
O
Realty Income Corporation
Peer
+16.8% +3.4% +7.2% +3.9% -4.0% -0.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
72.47
Forward P/E
58.71
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.45
P/S Ratio
8.51
EV/Revenue
10.58
EV/EBITDA
24.63
Market Cap
$77.23B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 11.8%
Operating Margin 21.85%
Gross Margin 50.35%
ROE 7.7%
ROA 3.2%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +6.6%
Earnings Growth +22.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +25.9%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.48
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.34
Good
Quick Ratio
1.07
Good
Cash/Share
$21.15

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-11
$N/A
2025-10-29
$3.89
+13.2% surprise
2025-07-30
$3.79
+10.3% surprise
2025-04-30
$3.59
+20.8% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing EQIX against 10 companies in the Real Estate sector (2 bullish, 7 neutral, 1 bearish)
P/E Ratio
72.47
This Stock
vs
47.97
Sector Avg
+51.1% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
7.7%
This Stock
vs
-4.04%
Sector Avg
-290.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
11.8%
This Stock
vs
20.01%
Sector Avg
-41.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.48
This Stock
vs
2.09
Sector Avg
-29.3% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
6.6%
This Stock
vs
8.64%
Sector Avg
-23.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.34
This Stock
vs
5.05
Sector Avg
-73.5% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
EQIX
Equinix, Inc.
NEUTRAL $77.23B 72.47 7.7% 11.8% $785.57
SPG
Simon Property Group, Inc.
NEUTRAL $69.25B 26.6 82.5% 36.5% $182.73
AMT
American Tower Corporation
NEUTRAL $85.95B 29.23 28.8% 28.1% $183.59
DLR
Digital Realty Trust, Inc.
NEUTRAL $55.29B 40.98 5.8% 24.0% $158.18
O
Realty Income Corporation
NEUTRAL $52.25B 53.08 2.5% 17.1% $56.8

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2025-11-03 MORANDI BRANDI GALVIN Officer Sale 100 $84,047
2025-10-07 PALADIN MICHAEL SHANE Officer Stock Award 824 -
2025-09-09 ABDEL RAOUF F Officer Sale 404 $311,527
2025-09-03 PLETCHER KURT Officer Sale 58 $44,579
2025-09-03 MILLER SIMON Officer Sale 561 $427,931
2025-09-02 PLETCHER KURT Officer Stock Award 142 -
2025-09-02 MILLER SIMON Officer Stock Award 1,132 -
2025-08-18 PAISLEY CHRISTOPHER B. Director Sale 75 $58,612
2025-06-03 FOX-MARTIN ADAIRE Chief Executive Officer Sale 2,949 $2,609,586
2025-06-02 LIN JONATHAN Officer Stock Award 274 -
2025-06-02 PLETCHER KURT Officer Stock Award 183 -
2025-06-02 FOX-MARTIN ADAIRE Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 5,645 -
2025-06-02 ABDEL RAOUF F Officer Stock Award 365 -
2025-05-23 PAISLEY CHRISTOPHER B. Director Stock Award 338 -
2025-05-23 HROMADKO GARY F Director Stock Award 338 -
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
25 analysts
JP Morgan
2025-10-30
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
TD Cowen
2025-10-30
Maintains
Buy Buy
Morgan Stanley
2025-10-16
init
Overweight
Barclays
2025-08-20
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Truist Securities
2025-08-07
Maintains
Buy Buy
JP Morgan
2025-07-31
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
JMP Securities
2025-07-22
reit
Market Outperform Market Outperform
UBS
2025-07-11
Maintains
Buy Buy
Barclays
2025-07-11
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Guggenheim
2025-07-10
init
Buy