FOSL

BEARISH

$5.3 Live

Fossil Group, Inc. · NASDAQ

Target $7.0 (+32.1%)

$0.86 52W Range $5.4

FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH

Console Chart News

FOSL Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NASDAQ • Consumer Cyclical • Footwear & Accessories

Current Price Live

$5.3

Analyst Target

$7.0

+32.1% Upside

52W High

$5.4

52W Low

$0.86

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 10, 2026

Market cap

$309.28M

P/E

N/A

ROE

-69.7%

Profit margin

-7.8%

Debt/Equity

3.65

Dividend yield

N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

85%

FOSL exhibits a fragile financial profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating only marginal stability amidst severe fundamental decay. While the stock has experienced a speculative 400% 1-year price surge, this is decoupled from a business suffering from -18% revenue growth and a catastrophic ROE of -69.65%. The company's high leverage (Debt/Equity 3.65) and negative profit margins suggest a high-risk environment where the recent price action is likely driven by volatility rather than value creation.

Key Strengths

Very low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.31) suggesting deep undervaluation of revenue

Strong Gross Margin (56.07%) indicating product pricing power

Current Ratio of 1.55 provides a basic short-term liquidity cushion

Recent 1-year price momentum (+400%) attracting speculative interest

Positive Operating Margin (4.46%) despite negative net profit

Key Risks

Severe revenue contraction (-18% YoY and Q/Q)

Excessive leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.65

Deeply negative Return on Equity (-69.65%)

Bearish technical trend (10/100) despite recent price spikes

Negative net profit margins (-7.80%)

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$3.75

-29.2% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Weak

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

High Risk / Speculative

Key drivers: Structural revenue decline, Extreme debt levels, Negative shareholder returns

Confidence

90%

Value

40/100

Trades at a low multiple of sales, but valuation is skewed by lack of profitability.

Positives

Low P/S ratio

Watchpoints

High Forward P/E (55.79)
Negative earnings

Future

15/100

Revenue growth is -18%, indicating a shrinking market share or dying product line.

Positives

Recent EPS growth recovery

Watchpoints

Consistent double-digit revenue decline
Bearish technical trend

Past

30/100

Long-term trend is overwhelmingly negative.

Positives

Recent 1Y price recovery

Watchpoints

5Y change of -61.5%
Poor earnings surprise track record

Health

35/100

High debt load and negative equity returns create significant solvency risk.

Positives

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable)

Watchpoints

Debt/Equity 3.65
ROE -69.65%

Dividend

0/100

Non-dividend paying stock.

Positives

No standout positives identified.

Watchpoints

No dividend paid
0/100 strength score

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$5.3

Analyst Target

$7.0

Upside/Downside

+32.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for FOSL and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-09

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. Primary	-61.5%	+62.6%	+400.0%	+116.3%	+31.5%	+14.0%
BNED Barnes & Noble Education, Inc. Peer	-98.3%	-95.9%	-17.0%	-1.0%	-3.6%	+4.6%
EM Smart Share Global Limited Peer	-85.6%	+16.0%	+6.5%	-14.9%	+0.9%	0.0%
FLXS Flexsteel Industries, Inc. Peer	+36.1%	+177.0%	+37.7%	+15.1%	+4.3%	+4.2%
ESCA Escalade, Incorporated Peer	+3.5%	+34.6%	+29.1%	+52.9%	+15.1%	-1.2%

FOS

Fossil Group, Inc.

Primary

-61.5%

+62.6%

+400.0%

+116.3%

+31.5%

+14.0%

BNE

Barnes & Noble Education, Inc.

Peer

-98.3%

-95.9%

-17.0%

-1.0%

-3.6%

+4.6%

Smart Share Global Limited

Peer

-85.6%

+16.0%

+6.5%

-14.9%

+0.9%

0.0%

FLX

Flexsteel Industries, Inc.

Peer

+36.1%

+177.0%

+37.7%

+15.1%

+4.3%

+4.2%

ESC

Escalade, Incorporated

Peer

+3.5%

+34.6%

+29.1%

+52.9%

+15.1%

-1.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

N/A

55.79

N/A

2.88

0.31

0.49

13.7

$309.28M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -7.8%

Operating Margin 4.46%

Gross Margin 56.07%

ROE -69.65%

ROA 1.98%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -18.0%

Earnings Growth N/A

Q/Q Revenue Growth -18.05%

Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

3.65

High debt

Current Ratio

1.55

Good

Quick Ratio

0.82

Poor

Cash/Share

$1.83

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue

$0.3B

Gross Margin

57.4%

Op. Margin

4.5%

Net Margin

-6.6%

Total Assets

$0.7B

Liabilities

$0.6B

Equity

$0.1B

Debt/Equity

5.86x

Operating CF

$0.0B

CapEx

$-0.0B

Free Cash Flow

$0.0B

FCF Yield

93%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-13

$N/A

2026-03-11

$-0.15

2025-11-13

$-0.63

-75.0% surprise

2025-08-13

$-0.1

+52.4% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing FOSL against 138 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (11 bullish, 56 neutral, 71 bearish)

Return on Equity (ROE)

-69.65%

This Stock

-1.63%

Sector Avg

+4164.6% (Excellent)

Profit Margin

-7.8%

This Stock

-2.11%

Sector Avg

+270.2% (Superior)

Debt to Equity

3.65

This Stock

1.56

Sector Avg

+134.3% (Higher)

Revenue Growth

-18.0%

This Stock

8.04%

Sector Avg

-323.9% (Slower)

Current Ratio

1.55

This Stock

2.25

Sector Avg

-31.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.	BEARISH	$309.28M	-	-69.7%	-7.8%	$5.3
BNED Barnes & Noble Education, Inc.	BEARISH	$311.59M	12.89	0.7%	0.1%	$9.15	Compare
EM Smart Share Global Limited	BEARISH	$289.1M	-	-0.5%	-0.7%	$1.14	Compare
FLXS Flexsteel Industries, Inc.	BULLISH	$259.42M	13.26	12.3%	4.6%	$48.53	Compare
ESCA Escalade, Incorporated	NEUTRAL	$245.43M	17.6	8.0%	5.7%	$17.78	Compare

FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.

BEARISH

Mkt Cap

$309M

P/E

ROE

-69.7%

Price

$5.3

BNED Barnes & Noble...

Compare with FOSL

Compare with FOSL

Compare with FOSL

ESCA Escalade, Incorporated

Compare with FOSL

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus

NONE

2 analysts

Maxim Group

2026-03-12

Maintains

Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning FOSL from our newsroom.

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FOSL

FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

At a glance

AI Analysis

Key Strengths

Key Risks

Performance Snowflake

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Historical Performance Trends

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Valuation Metrics

Profitability

Growth

Financial Health

Financial Statement Flow

Quarterly Earnings History

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Similar Companies

Wall Street Analysts

Past News Coverage

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