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FRPT

NEUTRAL
$66.63 Live
Freshpet, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $86.0 (+29.1%)
$46.76 52W Range $89.8

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 10, 2026
Market cap
$3.27B
P/E
24.68
ROE
12.3%
Profit margin
12.6%
Debt/Equity
0.41
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
Freshpet exhibits a stable financial foundation with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and an exceptionally strong liquidity profile (Current Ratio 5.54). While the stock trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($38.72), it remains below its growth-based intrinsic value of $79.65. Explosive earnings growth (79.2% YoY) is the primary bullish driver, yet this is offset by a high PEG ratio of 3.77 and a bearish technical trend. The company is transitioning from a loss-making entity to a profitable one, but valuation remains stretched relative to revenue growth.

Key Strengths

Exceptional liquidity with a Current Ratio of 5.54
Strong earnings growth (79.2% YoY) and consistent earnings beats
Low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.41
Healthy gross margins (40.80%) and operating margins (15.63%)
Positive analyst consensus with a target price of $86.00

Key Risks

High PEG ratio (3.77) suggests the stock is overvalued relative to growth
Bearish technical trend (0/100) indicating negative short-term momentum
Modest revenue growth (8.6%) compared to the aggressive earnings expansion
Significant historical price depreciation (5Y Change: -60.9%)
Lack of dividend yield provides no floor for defensive investors
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$72.5
+8.8% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
47
Moderate
Value
40
Future
85
Past
45
Health
65
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Growth
Key drivers: Earnings acceleration, Balance sheet strength, Valuation premium
Confidence
85%
Value
40/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E is lower than sector average (24.68 vs 32.73)
Watchpoints
  • Price is 72% above Graham Number
  • PEG ratio is excessively high at 3.77
Future
85/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Massive YoY earnings growth (79.2%)
  • Strong analyst target price ($86)
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth is decelerating relative to earnings
Past
45/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Recent 6-month recovery (+33.2%)
Watchpoints
  • Poor 5-year performance (-60.9%)
  • Negative 1-year return (-19.6%)
Health
65/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Very low Debt/Equity
  • High Quick Ratio (4.35)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9 (Stable, not Strong)
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend payments
  • 0% payout ratio

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$66.63
Analyst Target
$86.0
Upside/Downside
+29.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for FRPT and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-09
FRP
Freshpet, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-60.9%
3Y
+1.6%
1Y
-19.6%
6M
+33.2%
1M
-18.5%
1W
+12.2%
BRB
BellRing Brands, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+13.1%
3Y
+2.4%
1Y
-64.0%
6M
-49.5%
1M
-8.2%
1W
+15.7%
CAL
Cal-Maine Foods, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+153.1%
3Y
+66.2%
1Y
-10.2%
6M
-14.8%
1M
-12.0%
1W
-2.4%
CHE
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+87.0%
3Y
+73.2%
1Y
+19.8%
6M
+6.2%
1M
-6.7%
1W
-0.3%
AND
The Andersons, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+169.1%
3Y
+81.2%
1Y
+75.4%
6M
+77.4%
1M
+2.4%
1W
+10.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
24.68
Forward P/E
33.09
PEG Ratio
3.77
P/B Ratio
2.7
P/S Ratio
2.97
EV/Revenue
3.16
EV/EBITDA
18.98
Market Cap
$3.27B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 12.63%
Operating Margin 15.63%
Gross Margin 40.8%
ROE 12.29%
ROA 3.5%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +8.6%
Earnings Growth +79.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +8.57%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +86.6%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.41
Low debt
Current Ratio
5.54
Strong
Quick Ratio
4.35
Excellent
Cash/Share
$5.67

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.3B
Gross Margin
43.3%
Op. Margin
15.6%
Net Margin
11.9%
Total Assets
$1.8B
Liabilities
$0.6B
Equity
$1.2B
Debt/Equity
0.47x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
4%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-04
$N/A
2026-02-23
$0.62
+29.5% surprise
2025-11-03
$1.83
+353.6% surprise
2025-08-04
$0.34
+116.4% surprise

Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison

Comparing FRPT against 66 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector (3 bullish, 33 neutral, 30 bearish)
P/E Ratio
24.68
This Stock
vs
32.13
Sector Avg
-23.2% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
12.29%
This Stock
vs
-12.71%
Sector Avg
-196.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
12.63%
This Stock
vs
-1.43%
Sector Avg
-984.7% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.41
This Stock
vs
1.42
Sector Avg
-71.1% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
8.6%
This Stock
vs
3.4%
Sector Avg
+152.7% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
5.54
This Stock
vs
2.44
Sector Avg
+127.4% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

GEORGE WALTER N III
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-10
1,589 shares
SCALZO JOSEPH E
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-10
1,589 shares
BREWSTER DARYL G
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-10
1,589 shares
BIEGGER DAVID
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-10
1,589 shares
WALSH CATHAL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
1,299 shares
MORRIS SCOTT JAMES
President
Stock Award
2026-03-10
5,456 shares
CYR WILLIAM B.
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
23,688 shares
PRIEST LETA D
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-10
1,589 shares
KELLEY JACKI SUE
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-10
1,589 shares
FAJEMIROKUN-BECK OLUFUNLAYO OLURINDE
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-10
1,589 shares
MACHABA THEMBEKA
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
1,968 shares
PATEL NISHU D
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
983 shares
KOTCHER LAURI KIEN
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-10
1,589 shares
BATY NICOLA J
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
5,382 shares
ALEXANDER LISA
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-10
1,222 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
16 analysts
Wells Fargo
2026-04-08
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
TD Cowen
2026-04-08
up
Hold Buy
Deutsche Bank
2026-03-30
Maintains
Hold Hold
JP Morgan
2026-03-25
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Benchmark
2026-03-23
Maintains
Buy Buy
Oppenheimer
2026-03-20
up
Perform Outperform
DA Davidson
2026-02-25
Maintains
Buy Buy
Wells Fargo
2026-02-25
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
JP Morgan
2026-02-24
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
TD Cowen
2026-02-24
Maintains
Hold Hold

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning FRPT from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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