FTDR
BEARISH
$57.68
Live
Frontdoor, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $73.4
(+27.3%)
$37.83
52W Range
$70.77
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 10, 2026
Market cap
$4.07B
P/E
16.67
ROE
106.0%
Profit margin
12.2%
Debt/Equity
5.0
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
FTDR exhibits a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and lacks an Altman Z-Score for bankruptcy risk assessment. The stock is severely overvalued based on deterministic metrics, trading at $57.68 despite a Graham Number of $16.29 and an Intrinsic Value of $24.22. While revenue growth remains positive and the company consistently beats earnings estimates, a catastrophic -84% YoY earnings collapse and high leverage (Debt/Equity of 5.00) create a precarious financial profile. Technicals and insider sentiment are both bearish, suggesting a lack of confidence in the current price level.
Key Strengths
Consistent track record of beating earnings estimates over 25 quarters
Strong gross margins at 55.28%
Positive revenue growth (13.40% YoY)
P/E ratio (16.67) is significantly lower than the sector average (41.10)
Healthy short-term liquidity with a current ratio of 1.55
Key Risks
Severe earnings contraction (-84% YoY growth)
Extreme overvaluation relative to Graham Number ($16.29) and Intrinsic Value ($24.22)
High financial leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.00
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and negative 6-month price performance
Very high Price-to-Book ratio (16.91) indicating a premium far beyond tangible assets
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$25.5
-55.8% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
37
Weak
20
45
80
40
0
AI Verdict
Overvalued with deteriorating earnings
Key drivers: Valuation gap, Earnings collapse, High leverage
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100
Ref P/E 16.67, Graham Number $16.29
Positives
- Low P/E relative to sector
Watchpoints
- Price is 3.5x the Graham Number
- Price is 2.4x the Intrinsic Value
- Extreme P/B ratio
Future
45/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Steady revenue growth
- Analyst target price of $73.40
Watchpoints
- Earnings growth plummeted -84% YoY
- Q/Q earnings growth -77.8%
Past
80/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Exceptional history of earnings surprises
- Strong 3-year price appreciation (+113%)
Watchpoints
- Recent 6-month decline
Health
40/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score, Debt/Equity
Positives
- Current ratio > 1.5
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable/Weak)
- Debt/Equity of 5.00 is highly aggressive
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid
- 0/100 dividend strength
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$57.68
Analyst Target
$73.4
Upside/Downside
+27.3%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for FTDR and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-09
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FTDR
Frontdoor, Inc.
Primary
|
+4.2% | +113.0% | +45.2% | -11.7% | -10.8% | +5.7% |
|
ALH
Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.
Peer
|
-21.4% | -21.4% | -21.4% | -21.4% | -13.1% | -1.6% |
|
CVCO
Cavco Industries, Inc.
Peer
|
+107.0% | +65.0% | +0.5% | -6.9% | -11.0% | -3.2% |
|
ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
Peer
|
+294.4% | +242.8% | -22.4% | +4.3% | -24.0% | -7.5% |
|
BBWI
Bath & Body Works, Inc.
Peer
|
-30.8% | -47.1% | -38.5% | -28.3% | +12.6% | -4.6% |
FTD
Frontdoor, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+4.2%
3Y
+113.0%
1Y
+45.2%
6M
-11.7%
1M
-10.8%
1W
+5.7%
ALH
Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
-21.4%
3Y
-21.4%
1Y
-21.4%
6M
-21.4%
1M
-13.1%
1W
-1.6%
CVC
Cavco Industries, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+107.0%
3Y
+65.0%
1Y
+0.5%
6M
-6.9%
1M
-11.0%
1W
-3.2%
ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
Peer
5Y
+294.4%
3Y
+242.8%
1Y
-22.4%
6M
+4.3%
1M
-24.0%
1W
-7.5%
BBW
Bath & Body Works, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-30.8%
3Y
-47.1%
1Y
-38.5%
6M
-28.3%
1M
+12.6%
1W
-4.6%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
16.67
Forward P/E
11.63
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
16.91
P/S Ratio
1.95
EV/Revenue
2.25
EV/EBITDA
9.51
Market Cap
$4.07B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
12.18%
Operating Margin
4.85%
Gross Margin
55.28%
ROE
106.03%
ROA
11.97%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+13.4%
Earnings Growth
-84.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+13.05%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-77.8%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
5.0
High debt
Current Ratio
1.55
Good
Quick Ratio
1.43
Good
Cash/Share
$8.02
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.4B
Gross Margin
49.2%
Op. Margin
4.6%
Net Margin
0.5%
Total Assets
$2.1B
Liabilities
$1.9B
Equity
$0.2B
Debt/Equity
7.85x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
94%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-02-26
$0.23
+74.1% surprise
2025-11-05
$1.58
+4.6% surprise
2025-08-05
$1.63
+12.0% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing FTDR against 138 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(11 bullish, 56 neutral, 71 bearish)
P/E Ratio
16.67
This Stock
vs
40.61
Sector Avg
-59.0%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
106.03%
This Stock
vs
-1.63%
Sector Avg
-6591.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
12.18%
This Stock
vs
-2.11%
Sector Avg
-678.6%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
5.0
This Stock
vs
1.56
Sector Avg
+220.9%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
13.4%
This Stock
vs
8.04%
Sector Avg
+66.7%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.55
This Stock
vs
2.25
Sector Avg
-31.0%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FTDR
Frontdoor, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.07B | 16.67 | 106.0% | 12.2% | $57.68 | |
|
ALH
Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.
|
BEARISH | $3.96B | 34.82 | 177.3% | 6.0% | $19.5 | Compare |
|
CVCO
Cavco Industries, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $3.66B | 20.37 | 17.2% | 8.4% | $468.67 | Compare |
|
ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.53B | 9.38 | 40.9% | 10.1% | $96.3 | Compare |
|
BBWI
Bath & Body Works, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.58B | 6.87 | -% | 9.5% | $22.2 | Compare |
FTDR
Frontdoor, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$4.1B
P/E
16.7
ROE
106.0%
Price
$57.68
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | COBB WILLIAM C | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 28,048 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | FIARMAN JEFFREY A | Officer | Stock Award | 7,012 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | COLLINS KATHRYN M | Officer | Stock Award | 6,574 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | IVERSON EVAN | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 6,574 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | BAILEY JASON | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 1,753 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | COBB WILLIAM C | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 67,038 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | FIARMAN JEFFREY A | Officer | Stock Award | 17,287 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | COLLINS KATHRYN M | Officer | Stock Award | 12,567 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | IVERSON EVAN | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 9,001 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | BAILEY JASON | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 3,718 | - |
| 2026-03-17 | HOWARD DENNIS | Director | Stock Award | 453 | - |
| 2026-03-03 | FIARMAN JEFFREY A | Officer | Sale | 15,000 | $1,014,024 |
COBB WILLIAM C
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-31
28,048 shares
FIARMAN JEFFREY A
Officer
2026-03-31
7,012 shares
COLLINS KATHRYN M
Officer
2026-03-31
6,574 shares
IVERSON EVAN
Chief Operating Officer
2026-03-31
6,574 shares
BAILEY JASON
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-31
1,753 shares
COBB WILLIAM C
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-27
67,038 shares
FIARMAN JEFFREY A
Officer
2026-03-27
17,287 shares
COLLINS KATHRYN M
Officer
2026-03-27
12,567 shares
IVERSON EVAN
Chief Operating Officer
2026-03-27
9,001 shares
BAILEY JASON
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-27
3,718 shares
HOWARD DENNIS
Director
2026-03-17
453 shares
FIARMAN JEFFREY A
Officer
2026-03-03
15,000 shares
·
$1,014,024
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
5 analysts
Benchmark
2026-03-26
Buy
Goldman Sachs
2026-03-02
Sell
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning FTDR from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.