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FTNT Fortinet, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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FTNT Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Technology Software - Infrastructure
Current Price Live
$75.38
Analyst Target
$87.25
+15.7% Upside
52W High
$114.82
52W Low
$70.12

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
72%
Fortinet's financial health is stable with a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, indicating moderate strength, though the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. The company exhibits strong profitability, including a 28.58% profit margin and 228.04% ROE, but faces near-term earnings contraction with YoY and Q/Q declines. Valuation metrics are rich relative to historical and sector norms, with a P/E of 31.02 and Price/Book of 76.14, despite solid revenue growth of 14.4%. Insider selling and bearish technicals contrast with strong historical earnings beats and a favorable analyst target of $87.25, creating a mixed outlook.

Key Strengths

Exceptional profitability with gross margin of 80.87% and operating margin of 31.65%
Consistent earnings beat streak: 3 out of last 4 quarters, with average surprise of 11.4%
Strong historical EPS growth: +17.5% YoY and +15.6% QoQ most recent
Revenue growth of 14.4% outpaces peer average in some infrastructure software segments
High return on equity (228.04%) reflects efficient use of shareholder capital

Key Risks

Earnings declining YoY (-11.4%) and QoQ (-12.2%), signaling potential profitability headwinds
High valuation: P/E of 31x and Price/Book of 76x exceed sector averages and historical norms
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.48 is elevated compared to sector average of 0.80, increasing financial risk
Current and quick ratios (1.03 and 0.90) suggest tight liquidity and limited short-term cushion
Insider selling: $14.03M in sales over 6 months with no buys, indicating leadership caution
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$82.01
+8.8% above current price

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