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FWRD

BEARISH
$18.87 Live
Forward Air Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $35.33 (+87.2%)
$12.07 52W Range $32.47

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 10, 2026
Market cap
$595.43M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-63.3%
Profit margin
-4.3%
Debt/Equity
13.36
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
90%
FWRD exhibits severe financial distress, anchored by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and an alarming Debt/Equity ratio of 13.36. While the Price/Sales ratio is low, the company suffers from negative profit margins, a deeply negative ROE (-63.34%), and stagnant revenue growth. There is a stark disconnect between the bullish analyst target price ($35.33) and the deteriorating fundamental health and bearish insider sentiment. The combination of extreme leverage and poor operational efficiency suggests significant insolvency risk.

Key Strengths

Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.24) suggesting potential undervaluation of top-line revenue
Current ratio of 1.22 indicates short-term liquidity is currently maintained
Recent quarterly earnings have beaten lowered analyst estimates
Gross margin remains positive at 19.67%
Short-term 1-year price recovery (+36.2%)

Key Risks

Extreme leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 13.36, far exceeding sector averages
Critical financial health indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
Deeply negative Return on Equity (-63.34%) indicating value destruction
Stagnant to negative revenue growth (YoY -0.30%)
Bearish insider activity with $6.58M in recent sales and zero buys

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
16
Weak
Value
30
Future
25
Past
15
Health
10
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High Risk / Speculative
Key drivers: Extreme Debt/Equity ratio, Weak Piotroski F-Score, Negative ROE, Bearish Insider Sentiment
Confidence
95%
Value
30/100

Trades at a high premium to book value despite negative earnings.

Positives
  • Very low P/S ratio (0.24)
Watchpoints
  • High Price/Book (5.22)
  • Excessive Forward P/E (71.21)
  • No Graham Number available due to lack of earnings
Future
25/100

Growth metrics are flat to negative, contradicting the high Forward P/E.

Positives
  • Recent EPS surprises are positive
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY revenue growth
  • Extreme Q/Q EPS volatility
  • Lack of organic growth catalysts
Past
15/100

Long-term trajectory is sharply downward.

Positives
  • 1-year price bounce
Watchpoints
  • Catastrophic 3-year (-82.3%) and 5-year (-78.4%) returns
  • Consistent trend of earnings deterioration since 2023
Health
10/100

Financial health is in a critical state; high risk of credit distress.

Positives
  • Current ratio above 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 (Weak)
  • Debt/Equity of 13.36 is unsustainable
  • Negative Profit Margin
Dividend
0/100

Non-dividend paying stock.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • No history of payouts

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$18.87
Analyst Target
$35.33
Upside/Downside
+87.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for FWRD and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-09
FWR
Forward Air Corporation
Primary
5Y
-78.4%
3Y
-82.3%
1Y
+36.2%
6M
-19.8%
1M
-14.4%
1W
+8.4%
ADS
ADS-TEC Energy PLC
Peer
5Y
+3.5%
3Y
+286.4%
1Y
-27.3%
6M
+4.5%
1M
-2.7%
1W
-11.4%
ERI
Energy Recovery, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-42.5%
3Y
-56.0%
1Y
-25.1%
6M
-30.6%
1M
-3.6%
1W
+4.9%
BWM
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd.
Peer
5Y
+112.1%
3Y
+5.0%
1Y
+38.1%
6M
-28.6%
1M
-1.1%
1W
+4.4%
ESE
Euroseas Ltd.
Peer
5Y
+869.5%
3Y
+448.5%
1Y
+161.7%
6M
+26.3%
1M
+6.7%
1W
+2.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
71.21
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.22
P/S Ratio
0.24
EV/Revenue
1.08
EV/EBITDA
11.22
Market Cap
$595.43M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -4.32%
Operating Margin 3.59%
Gross Margin 19.67%
ROE -63.34%
ROA 1.98%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -0.3%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -0.26%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
13.36
High debt
Current Ratio
1.22
Good
Quick Ratio
1.06
Good
Cash/Share
$3.36

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.6B
Gross Margin
15.2%
Op. Margin
-0.5%
Net Margin
-4.5%
Total Assets
$2.7B
Liabilities
$2.6B
Equity
$0.1B
Debt/Equity
22.56x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
137%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-23
$-0.19
+30.0% surprise
2025-11-05
$0.07
+160.7% surprise
2025-08-11
$0.06
+122.4% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing FWRD against 180 companies in the Industrials sector (15 bullish, 78 neutral, 87 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-63.34%
This Stock
vs
0.44%
Sector Avg
-14378.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-4.32%
This Stock
vs
32.32%
Sector Avg
-113.4% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
13.36
This Stock
vs
4.3
Sector Avg
+210.9% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
-0.3%
This Stock
vs
32.15%
Sector Avg
-100.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.22
This Stock
vs
3.18
Sector Avg
-61.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

PIERSON JAMIE G
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-16
5,732 shares
STEWART SHAWN
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-16
18,692 shares
PIERSON JAMIE G
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-19
20,698 shares
HANCE MICHAEL L
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-19
10,799 shares
SMITH DOUGLAS JAMES
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-19
5,850 shares
FAUGHT JAMES R.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-19
2,340 shares
STEWART SHAWN
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-19
43,197 shares
LORRAIN JEROME JEAN-PIERRE
Officer and Director
Stock Award
2026-02-19
10,799 shares
BRANDT ERIC FREDERICK
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-19
8,999 shares
HERREN JESSICA L
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-19
4,950 shares
OSBORNE TIMOTHY R
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-19
5,850 shares
CETUS CAPITAL VI LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2025-11-12
272,163 shares · $5,940,112
CETUS CAPITAL VI LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Buy
2025-10-20
225,000 shares · $4,034,950
CETUS CAPITAL VI LP
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2025-10-14
30,000 shares · $642,600
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
3 analysts
Stifel
2026-01-21
Maintains
Buy Buy
Susquehanna
2026-01-05
Maintains
Positive Positive
Stifel
2025-10-17
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning FWRD from our newsroom.

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