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GERN

NEUTRAL
$1.76 Live
Geron Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $3.4 (+93.2%)
$1.04 52W Range $2.01

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 10, 2026
Market cap
$1.13B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-33.0%
Profit margin
-45.4%
Debt/Equity
0.54
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
75%
Geron Corporation presents a classic high-risk, high-reward biotechnology profile, characterized by a critical Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 indicating severe fundamental weakness in current profitability and cash flow. While the deterministic health scores are abysmal, the company maintains a strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 4.66 and narrowing losses, as evidenced by a 50% YoY EPS growth. The significant gap between the current price ($1.76) and the analyst target ($3.40) suggests a speculative bullish outlook based on future catalysts rather than current fundamentals. Overall, the stock is a binary bet on commercial success despite poor current financial health.

Key Strengths

Strong liquidity with a Current Ratio of 4.66 and Quick Ratio of 3.56
Exceptional Gross Margin of 97.42% typical of high-value biotech assets
Improving earnings trajectory with 3/4 recent quarterly beats and 50% YoY EPS growth
Manageable leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54
Significant analyst upside potential with a target price of $3.40

Key Risks

Critical fundamental health as indicated by a 0/9 Piotroski F-Score
Persistent negative profitability with a -45.41% profit margin
Stagnant revenue growth (1.00% YoY) suggesting a lack of current commercial scale
Bearish insider sentiment following CFO share sales
High valuation relative to book value (P/B of 4.99) without current earnings
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$2.58
+46.6% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
28
Weak
Value
30
Future
65
Past
20
Health
25
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative
Key drivers: Strong liquidity, Narrowing losses, Poor deterministic health scores, High analyst price targets
Confidence
80%
Value
30/100

Trades at a premium to book value; valuation is based on future expectations rather than current assets or earnings.

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 22.00 suggests a path to profitability
Watchpoints
  • High P/B ratio of 4.99
  • High P/S ratio of 6.13
  • No Graham Number due to lack of earnings
Future
65/100

Future value is tied to the transition from R&D to commercial revenue.

Positives
  • Positive EPS growth trends
  • Strong analyst target price ($3.40)
  • Recent 1Y price appreciation of 26.6%
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth is nearly flat at 1%
Past
20/100

Historical performance is defined by continuous capital burn.

Positives
  • Consistent ability to beat earnings estimates recently
Watchpoints
  • 25 consecutive quarters of negative earnings
  • Long-term 3Y price decline of 12.9%
Health
25/100

While the balance sheet has cash (liquidity), the operational health (Piotroski) is non-existent.

Positives
  • Very high Current Ratio (4.66)
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.54)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 0/9
  • Negative ROE and ROA
Dividend
0/100

Company is in a growth/burn phase; dividends are not applicable.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 dividend strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$1.76
Analyst Target
$3.4
Upside/Downside
+93.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GERN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-09
GER
Geron Corporation
Primary
5Y
+23.9%
3Y
-12.9%
1Y
+26.6%
6M
+26.6%
1M
+8.0%
1W
+6.0%
BFL
Butterfly Network, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-76.9%
3Y
+59.4%
1Y
+8.9%
6M
+128.9%
1M
+14.2%
1W
+8.4%
EYP
EyePoint, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+41.6%
3Y
+326.8%
1Y
+243.1%
6M
+2.1%
1M
-9.6%
1W
+8.8%
ALV
Alvotech
Peer
5Y
-65.9%
3Y
-71.8%
1Y
-66.2%
6M
-52.0%
1M
-17.7%
1W
-1.6%
BLF
BioLife Solutions, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-40.8%
3Y
-0.5%
1Y
-10.7%
6M
+10.1%
1M
-2.1%
1W
+1.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
22.0
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.99
P/S Ratio
6.13
EV/Revenue
4.85
EV/EBITDA
-17.45
Market Cap
$1.13B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -45.41%
Operating Margin -17.72%
Gross Margin 97.42%
ROE -32.99%
ROA -5.54%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +1.0%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +1.01%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.54
Moderate
Current Ratio
4.66
Strong
Quick Ratio
3.56
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.56

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
97.3%
Op. Margin
-17.7%
Net Margin
-60.1%
Total Assets
$0.6B
Liabilities
$0.3B
Equity
$0.2B
Debt/Equity
1.53x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-25
$-0.02
+52.9% surprise
2025-11-05
$-0.03
+12.5% surprise
2025-08-06
$-0.02
+39.0% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing GERN against 205 companies in the Healthcare sector (17 bullish, 70 neutral, 118 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-32.99%
This Stock
vs
-42.45%
Sector Avg
-22.3% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-45.41%
This Stock
vs
-18.49%
Sector Avg
+145.5% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.54
This Stock
vs
4.76
Sector Avg
-88.7% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
1.0%
This Stock
vs
106.86%
Sector Avg
-99.1% (Slower)
Current Ratio
4.66
This Stock
vs
3.53
Sector Avg
+31.9% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

SPIEGEL ROBERT J
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
5,243 shares · $7,812
ROBERTSON MICHELLE
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-02-18
9,855 shares · $19,119
ROBERTSON MICHELLE
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-18
27,500 shares
SPIEGEL ROBERT J
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
5,918 shares · $7,812
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
5 analysts
Needham
2025-11-05
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GERN from our newsroom.

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