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GOOG Alphabet Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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GOOG Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Communication Services Internet Content & Information
Current Price Live
$330.34
Analyst Target
$330.15
-0.1% Downside
52W High
$341.2
52W Low
$142.66

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
72%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a mixed financial profile: the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates borderline stable financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite strong profitability metrics—evidenced by a 32.23% profit margin, 35.45% ROE, and robust 15.90% YoY revenue growth—the stock trades at a premium valuation with a P/E of 32.61, well above the sector average of 22.12. Insider selling activity totaling $47.24M over the last six months signals caution, even as analysts maintain a 'strong_buy' recommendation. The current price of $330.34 sits near the 52-week high of $341.20, suggesting limited near-term upside unless growth accelerates.

Key Strengths

Exceptional profitability with ROE of 35.45% and ROA of 16.28%, significantly above sector averages
Strong revenue and earnings growth: 15.90% YoY revenue growth and 35.30% YoY earnings growth
Low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11, indicating conservative capital structure
Consistently beats earnings estimates, with 3 out of the last 4 quarters exceeding expectations and an average surprise of 24.02%
High profit margins: 32.23% net margin and 59.17% gross margin reflect pricing power and operational efficiency

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests weak to stable financial health, raising concerns about balance sheet or earnings quality trends
Premium valuation: P/E of 32.61 exceeds sector average (22.12) and forward P/E of 29.27 still reflects high expectations
Insider selling pressure: $47.24M in net sell transactions over the past 6 months, including multiple CEO and officer sales
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates strong bearish momentum despite recent price appreciation
Missing key financial data (e.g., Altman Z-Score, ROIC, cash/debt figures) limits comprehensive risk assessment
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$298.84
-9.5% below current price

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