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GPRE

BEARISH
$15.23 Live
Green Plains Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $14.44 (-5.2%)
$3.14 52W Range $17.94

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
GPRE exhibits severe fundamental weakness, highlighted by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating poor financial health and deteriorating operational efficiency. Despite a massive 1-year price rally of 285.6%, the company is struggling with a significant revenue decline of 26.6% YoY and consistently negative profit margins. The disconnect between the speculative price action and the underlying financial decay, coupled with a bearish technical trend (10/100), suggests the current valuation is unsustainable.

Key Strengths

Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.51) suggesting potential undervaluation of assets
Healthy Current Ratio (1.79) providing short-term liquidity
Recent positive shift in quarterly EPS surprises
Moderate Debt/Equity ratio (0.60) compared to some industry peers
Strong 1-year price momentum indicating high speculative interest

Key Risks

Critically low Piotroski F-Score (2/9) signaling fundamental instability
Severe revenue contraction (-26.6% YoY and Q/Q)
Negative Return on Equity (-14.70%) and Profit Margins (-5.80%)
Bearish technical trend (10/100) suggesting a potential trend reversal
High earnings volatility with a history of significant misses
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$13.5
-11.4% below current price

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