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GWRS

BEARISH
$7.82 Live
Global Water Resources, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $10.85 (+38.7%)
$7.12 52W Range $11.17

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 11, 2026
Market cap
$224.93M
P/E
71.09
ROE
4.4%
Profit margin
5.3%
Debt/Equity
1.6
Dividend yield
3.89%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
95%
GWRS exhibits severe valuation misalignment, with a current price of $7.82 trading at a massive premium to its Graham Number ($2.73) and Intrinsic Value ($0.77). While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests stable but mediocre financial health, the company is facing a liquidity crunch with a current ratio of 0.76. Most alarming is the unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 276.33%, indicating the company is paying dividends far in excess of its earnings. Combined with a P/E of 71.09 (nearly 3x the sector average) and catastrophic YoY EPS growth of -150%, the stock appears fundamentally broken.

Key Strengths

High gross margins (71.75%) typical of regulated utilities
Operates in a defensive, regulated water industry
Positive insider sentiment score (60/100)
Analyst target price ($10.85) suggests potential upside if fundamentals recover
Stable Piotroski F-Score (4/9) prevents a 'weak' health classification

Key Risks

Extreme overvaluation (P/E 71.09 vs Sector Avg 27.32)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (276.33%)
Poor liquidity with Current Ratio (0.76) and Quick Ratio (0.63) below 1.0
Severe earnings collapse (YoY EPS Growth -150%)
Strongly bearish technical trend (0/100) and negative 5-year price performance (-48.2%)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$2.73
-65.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
19
Weak
Value
10
Future
15
Past
20
Health
45
Dividend
5
AI Verdict
High Risk / Overvalued
Key drivers: Extreme P/E premium, Dividend insolvency risk, Negative earnings trajectory, Liquidity constraints
Confidence
90%
Value
10/100

Ref P/E 71.09, Graham Number $2.73

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 71.09 is excessive for a utility
  • Price is 2.8x the Graham Number
  • Price is 10x the growth-based intrinsic value
Future
15/100

Ref Growth rates and EPS trajectory

Positives
  • Regulated industry provides a floor for revenue
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth (2.2%) lags sector average (10.25%)
  • EPS growth is deeply negative (-150%)
Past
20/100

Ref Historical price and earnings track record

Positives
  • Historical ability to beat estimates in previous years
Watchpoints
  • 5-year price decline of 48.2%
  • Recent trend of missing earnings estimates (1/4 beats)
Health
45/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9, Current Ratio 0.76

Positives
  • Debt/Equity (1.60) is in line with sector average (1.70)
Watchpoints
  • Current ratio < 1.0 indicates short-term liquidity risk
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is only marginally stable
Dividend
5/100

Ref Payout Ratio 276.33%

Positives
  • Yield of 3.89% is attractive on the surface
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 276.33% is fundamentally unsustainable

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$7.82
Analyst Target
$10.85
Upside/Downside
+38.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GWRS and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-10
GWR
Global Water Resources, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-48.2%
3Y
-33.0%
1Y
-19.1%
6M
-23.3%
1M
+4.6%
1W
-0.3%
DGX
Digi Power X Inc.
Peer
5Y
-53.2%
3Y
+31.9%
1Y
+125.8%
6M
-22.4%
1M
-21.2%
1W
+5.9%
ART
Artesian Resources Corporation
Peer
5Y
-11.1%
3Y
-31.8%
1Y
+5.2%
6M
+1.1%
1M
-0.2%
1W
-3.0%
HTO
Fusion Fuel Green PLC
Peer
5Y
-99.3%
3Y
-96.9%
1Y
-62.5%
6M
-34.9%
1M
-8.4%
1W
+5.4%
BNR
Brenmiller Energy Ltd
Peer
5Y
-99.8%
3Y
-99.5%
1Y
-94.2%
6M
-75.2%
1M
-24.0%
1W
0.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
71.09
Forward P/E
65.17
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.6
P/S Ratio
4.03
EV/Revenue
6.44
EV/EBITDA
16.21
Market Cap
$224.93M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 5.3%
Operating Margin 2.65%
Gross Margin 71.75%
ROE 4.41%
ROA 1.01%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +2.2%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +2.19%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.6
High debt
Current Ratio
0.76
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.63
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.14

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
70.3%
Op. Margin
2.7%
Net Margin
-7.1%
Total Assets
$0.5B
Liabilities
$0.4B
Equity
$0.1B
Debt/Equity
4.58x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-557%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-13
$N/A
2026-03-04
$-0.01
-125.8% surprise
2025-11-12
$0.06
-29.4% surprise
2025-08-13
$0.06
+20.0% surprise

Utilities Sector Comparison

Comparing GWRS against 28 companies in the Utilities sector (2 bullish, 17 neutral, 9 bearish)
P/E Ratio
71.09
This Stock
vs
29.0
Sector Avg
+145.1% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
4.41%
This Stock
vs
-11.68%
Sector Avg
-137.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
5.3%
This Stock
vs
4.13%
Sector Avg
+28.3% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.6
This Stock
vs
1.63
Sector Avg
-2.1% (Lower)
Revenue Growth
2.2%
This Stock
vs
9.47%
Sector Avg
-76.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.76
This Stock
vs
1.37
Sector Avg
-44.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

CORWIN JONATHAN C
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-31
133 shares
LENDERKING JOHN CARROLL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-31
275 shares
KRYGIER CHRISTOPHER D
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-31
1,427 shares
LIEBMAN MICHAEL J
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-31
2,846 shares
FLEMING RONNIE L
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-31
4,446 shares
COHN ANDREW M
Director
Buy
2026-03-13
18,305 shares · $131,796
STEELE CHRISTA
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-11
1,380 shares · $10,350
ALEXANDER RICHARD M
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-11
1,771 shares · $13,282
HUCKELBRIDGE BRETT D.
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-11
1,246 shares · $9,345
ROUSSEAU DAVID
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-11
1,375 shares · $10,312
COHN ANDREW M
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-11
950 shares · $7,125
LEVINE JONATHAN L
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-11
950 shares · $7,125
COY DEBRA GAINER
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
2,493 shares
LENDERKING JOHN CARROLL
Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-31
386 shares
KRYGIER CHRISTOPHER D
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-31
1,139 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
2 analysts
Freedom Broker
2026-03-05
down
Buy Hold
Freedom Broker
2025-12-04
up
Hold Buy
Freedom Broker
2025-11-13
down
Buy Hold
Freedom Broker
2025-10-14
up
Hold Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GWRS from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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