HLMN
BEARISH
$8.56
Live
Hillman Solutions Corp. · NASDAQ
Target $12.12
(+41.6%)
$6.55
52W Range
$10.85
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
HLMN exhibits a stable but mediocre financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and no Altman Z-Score available. The stock is trading at a significant premium to both its Graham Number ($5.30) and its growth-based Intrinsic Value ($1.40), suggesting a valuation disconnect. While the company maintains a strong current ratio and consistent earnings beats, its net profit margins are dangerously thin (2.60%) and insider sentiment is bearish. The divergence between the current P/E (42.80) and Forward P/E (12.11) suggests expectations of a massive earnings recovery that is not yet supported by current revenue growth (4.50%).
Key Strengths
Strong Gross Margin (48.73%) indicating good product-level profitability
Healthy Current Ratio (2.51) providing a strong short-term liquidity cushion
Consistent track record of beating quarterly earnings estimates (3/4 last 4)
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio (0.62) compared to industrial sector averages
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (1.09) suggesting reasonable revenue valuation
Key Risks
Severe valuation premium over Graham Number ($5.30) and Intrinsic Value ($1.40)
Extremely low Net Profit Margin (2.60%) and ROE (3.34%)
Significant discrepancy between Current Ratio (2.51) and Quick Ratio (0.55), indicating high inventory dependency
Bearish insider activity with selling and zero buying in the last 6 months
Stagnant YoY revenue growth (4.50%) failing to justify the current P/E multiple
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$5.45
-36.3% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare HLMN against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations
Past News Coverage
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