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HLP

NEUTRAL
$0.89 Live
Hongli Group Inc. · NASDAQ
$0.61 52W Range $1.82

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 11, 2026
Market cap
$65.29M
P/E
17.78
ROE
2.7%
Profit margin
6.0%
Debt/Equity
0.17
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
HLP exhibits a stable financial foundation with a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 and a very conservative Debt/Equity ratio of 0.17. While the current price of $0.89 is well-supported by the Graham Number ($0.92), it trades at a significant premium to its growth-based intrinsic value of $0.35. The company is outperforming its sector peers in terms of profitability and debt management, yet it suffers from a devastating technical trend (0/100) and consistent long-term price erosion. The stock is fundamentally sound but lacks any market momentum or catalyst.

Key Strengths

Strong YoY revenue growth of 37.70%
Very low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.17
Positive profit margins (6.04%) in a sector where the average is negative (-9.38%)
Trading near the Graham Number defensive fair value ($0.92)
Stable financial health as indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9

Key Risks

Severe bearish technical trend (0/100) indicating strong selling pressure
Significant discrepancy between current price and intrinsic value ($0.35)
Poor long-term price performance with a 5-year decline of 74.6%
Low Return on Equity (2.65%) suggesting inefficient capital utilization
Micro-cap status ($0.07B) leading to high volatility and liquidity risk
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$0.64
-28.0% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
42
Moderate
Value
65
Future
55
Past
15
Health
75
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Fundamentally stable but technically broken
Key drivers: Strong revenue growth, Low debt, Extreme price momentum decay, Value gap between Graham and Intrinsic numbers
Confidence
85%
Value
65/100

Ref P/E, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 17.78 is significantly lower than sector average of 48.72
  • Price is aligned with Graham Number
Watchpoints
  • Price/Sales ratio of 3.90 is relatively high for basic materials
Future
55/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue growth (37.7%) is competitive with sector average
Watchpoints
  • Intrinsic value formula suggests limited growth-based upside
Past
15/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Negative returns across 1M, 6M, 1Y, 3Y, and 5Y timeframes
Health
75/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score, Debt/Equity

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 (Stable)
  • Very low Debt/Equity (0.17)
Watchpoints
  • Quick ratio below 1.0 (0.88)
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend payments or yield

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$0.89

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HLP and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-10
HLP
Hongli Group Inc.
Primary
5Y
-74.6%
3Y
-73.6%
1Y
-10.2%
6M
-46.1%
1M
-12.8%
1W
+5.8%
BIO
Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp.
Peer
5Y
-85.0%
3Y
-90.1%
1Y
-82.5%
6M
-68.0%
1M
-11.8%
1W
-7.0%
GRM
Greenland Mines Ltd
Peer
5Y
-96.0%
3Y
-96.1%
1Y
+141.0%
6M
-31.6%
1M
-23.7%
1W
+9.9%
AVD
American Vanguard Corporation
Peer
5Y
-83.2%
3Y
-83.3%
1Y
-26.0%
6M
-37.0%
1M
-33.7%
1W
-19.0%
HUD
Huadi International Group Co., Ltd.
Peer
5Y
-78.2%
3Y
-65.8%
1Y
-21.1%
6M
-14.7%
1M
-19.4%
1W
-7.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
17.78
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.18
P/S Ratio
3.9
EV/Revenue
4.41
EV/EBITDA
32.42
Market Cap
$65.29M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 6.04%
Operating Margin 13.39%
Gross Margin 32.91%
ROE 2.65%
ROA 1.73%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +37.7%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.17
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.15
Good
Quick Ratio
0.88
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.01

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q2 2025

Total Assets
$0.1B
Liabilities
$0.0B
Equity
$0.1B
Debt/Equity
0.22x

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing HLP against 60 companies in the Basic Materials sector (1 bullish, 27 neutral, 32 bearish)
P/E Ratio
17.78
This Stock
vs
47.21
Sector Avg
-62.3% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
2.65%
This Stock
vs
-5.96%
Sector Avg
-144.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
6.04%
This Stock
vs
-8.72%
Sector Avg
-169.3% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.17
This Stock
vs
0.52
Sector Avg
-67.1% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
37.7%
This Stock
vs
37.17%
Sector Avg
+1.4% (Growing)
Current Ratio
1.15
This Stock
vs
3.96
Sector Avg
-71.0% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning HLP from our newsroom.

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