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HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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HOOD Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Financial Services Capital Markets
Current Price Live
$108.74
Analyst Target
$149.72
+37.7% Upside
52W High
$153.86
52W Low
$29.66

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 17, 2026
Market cap
$97.78B
P/E
45.5
ROE
27.8%
Profit margin
52.2%
Debt/Equity
1.89
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
68%
Analysis Accuracy
HOOD exhibits mixed financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, indicating stable but not robust fundamentals. While profitability metrics are exceptionally strong—evidenced by 52.19% profit margin and 27.82% ROE—the stock trades at a significant premium to both Graham-based value ($22.64) and even growth-adjusted intrinsic value ($70.51), currently priced at $108.74. Aggressive valuation multiples (P/E 45.50, Price/Sales 23.26) are supported by explosive YoY revenue (100%) and earnings growth (259.5%), though insider selling and a bearish technical trend raise caution. Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation, but recent price weakness and high multiple compression risk suggest limited near-term upside.

Key Strengths

Exceptional profitability with 52.19% net margin and 51.80% operating margin
Outstanding year-over-year revenue growth of 100.00% and earnings growth of 259.50%
Strong return on equity (27.82%) well above sector average (23.50%)
Consistent earnings beat streak with 3 out of last 4 quarters exceeding estimates
High gross margin of 92.25% indicating strong pricing power and low cost of sales

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 5 indicates only moderate financial health, not strong
Extremely high valuation: P/E of 45.50 vs sector average of 24.49
Current price ($108.74) significantly above Graham Number ($22.64) and intrinsic value ($70.51)
Bearish insider activity: $48.26M in net insider sales over last 6 months
Technical trend score of 0/100 signals strong near-term bearish momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$75.0
-31.0% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
48
Moderate
Value
35
Future
80
Past
60
Health
55
Dividend
10
AI Verdict
Moderate potential offset by high valuation and technical weakness
Key drivers: High profitability and growth, Rich valuation multiples, Bearish insider and technical signals, Stable but not strong financial health (Piotroski 5), Analyst optimism despite near-term headwinds
Confidence
70%
Value
35/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Intrinsic value estimate of $70.51 suggests some underlying value
Watchpoints
  • Current price 53% above intrinsic value
  • P/E of 45.50 far above sector average of 24.49
  • Price/Sales of 23.26 indicates extreme premium
Future
80/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 100.00% YoY revenue growth
  • 259.50% YoY earnings growth
  • Q/Q earnings growth of 270.70%
  • Consistent earnings surprises averaging +21.29% over last 4 quarters
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Past
60/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 13 out of 19 quarters beat EPS estimates
  • Strong 3-year price appreciation of +1042.2%
Watchpoints
  • Recent price weakness: -6.1% over last month
  • Earnings misses in 2023 and early 2022
Health
55/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates stable financial condition
  • Current ratio (1.11) and quick ratio (1.05) suggest short-term liquidity adequacy
Watchpoints
  • Debt/Equity ratio of 1.89 is high, above sector average of 1.05
  • Altman Z-Score unavailable, limiting distress risk assessment
Dividend
10/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend policy: Dividend yield N/A, payout ratio 0%
  • Dividend Strength score of 0/100

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$108.74
Analyst Target
$149.72
Upside/Downside
+37.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HOOD and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-16
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
Primary
+212.3% +1042.2% +136.0% -0.9% -6.1% -5.7%
BMO
Bank of Montreal
Peer
+120.0% +57.5% +42.1% +21.6% +5.5% +0.9%
BNS
The Bank of Nova Scotia
Peer
+76.6% +68.7% +49.2% +32.2% +1.1% +1.9%
CME
CME Group Inc.
Peer
+107.0% +88.5% +33.3% +4.1% +6.3% +3.1%
BCS
Barclays PLC
Peer
+313.1% +229.8% +82.1% +34.6% +2.2% +0.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
45.5
Forward P/E
41.69
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
11.41
P/S Ratio
23.26
EV/Revenue
22.5
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$97.78B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 52.19%
Operating Margin 51.8%
Gross Margin 92.25%
ROE 27.82%
ROA 5.18%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +100.0%
Earnings Growth +259.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +270.7%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.89
High debt
Current Ratio
1.11
Good
Quick Ratio
1.05
Good
Cash/Share
$21.58

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-10
$N/A
2025-11-05
$0.68
+10.9% surprise
2025-07-30
$0.5
+39.5% surprise
2025-04-30
$0.37
+13.5% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing HOOD against 208 companies in the Financial Services sector (5 bullish, 111 neutral, 92 bearish)
P/E Ratio
45.5
This Stock
vs
30.37
Sector Avg
+49.8% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
27.82%
This Stock
vs
-7.62%
Sector Avg
-465.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
52.19%
This Stock
vs
82.75%
Sector Avg
-36.9% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.89
This Stock
vs
1.48
Sector Avg
+27.9% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
100.0%
This Stock
vs
28.35%
Sector Avg
+252.8% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.11
This Stock
vs
3.81
Sector Avg
-70.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
NEUTRAL $97.78B 45.5 27.8% 52.2% $108.74
BMO
Bank of Montreal
NEUTRAL $98.97B 16.77 10.1% 26.7% $137.69
BNS
The Bank of Nova Scotia
NEUTRAL $93.29B 18.17 9.0% 24.6% $74.87
CME
CME Group Inc.
NEUTRAL $102.78B 27.62 13.3% 58.9% $285.04
BCS
Barclays PLC
BEARISH $90.49B 12.02 9.4% 26.6% $26.2

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2026-01-05 TENEV VLADIMIR Chief Executive Officer Stock Award 375,000 -
2026-01-05 PINNER JEFFREY TSVI Chief Technology Officer Sale 5,864 $712,984
2026-01-05 GALLAGHER DANIEL MARTIN JR Officer Sale 10,000 $1,215,799
2026-01-05 TENEV VLADIMIR Chief Executive Officer Sale 375,000 $45,609,760
2025-12-31 RUBINSTEIN JONATHAN J Director Stock Award 258 -
2025-12-31 SEGAL SUSAN L Director Stock Award 176 -
2025-12-31 MALKA MEYER Director Stock Award 129 -
2025-12-31 PAYNE CHRISTOPHER D Director Stock Award 173 -
2025-12-31 BHATT BAIJU PRAFULKUMAR Director Stock Award 110 -
2025-12-31 HEGEMAN JOHN WILLIAM Director Stock Award 129 -
2025-12-31 LOOP PAULA Director Stock Award 801 -
2025-12-31 WARNICK JASON Chief Financial Officer Stock Award 19,290 -
2025-12-31 TRESEDER OLUWADARA JOHNSON Director Stock Award 801 -
2025-12-31 BHATT BAIJU PRAFULKUMAR Director Stock Award 801 -
2025-12-31 ZOELLICK ROBERT B. Director Stock Award 801 -
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
21 analysts
Argus Research
2026-01-09
init
Buy
Barclays
2026-01-08
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-22
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Truist Securities
2025-12-17
init
Buy
Barclays
2025-12-12
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Cantor Fitzgerald
2025-12-11
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
B of A Securities
2025-12-10
Maintains
Buy Buy
Needham
2025-12-05
reit
Buy Buy
Needham
2025-11-26
reit
Buy Buy
Citizens
2025-11-07
Maintains
Market Outperform Market Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning HOOD from our newsroom.

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